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NYAXNayax Ltd.Sell5.9·$49.54
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Nayax Ltd. is a high-growth software infrastructure company delivering 32% year-over-year revenue growth and rising analyst estimates, but consecutive earnings misses, negative free cash flow, and a stock price that has reached analyst targets limit the near-term risk/reward.

Thesis pillars

  • Industry Leading Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Rising Estimate Revisions↓Deteriorating
  • Negative Fcf Earnings Quality→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Nayax Ltd. (NYAX) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Earnings in 6 days (2026-11-11). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $49.54: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Nayax Ltd., a fintech company, designs, develops, and sells integrated POS devices and software for automated self-service customers in-house in the United States, Europe, the United Kingdom, Australia, Israel, and internationally. It offers POS, cashless payments, and charging... Read more

$49.54+32.9% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#43 of 99 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield-2.00%
Stop $46.07Analyst target $65.82(−13% haircut)A.R:R 2.3:1
Analyst consensus$75.66+52.7%5 analysts with price targets
$65.82Analyst target
$49.54price
$75.66mean
$83

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $49.54: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 67. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 30, 2026

Recent Developments — Nayax Ltd.

Latest item Oct 30, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:44:08Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Nov 11, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)235.9
P/E (Fwd)38.4
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA56.3
Profit Mgn1.7%
ROE3.5%
Rev Growth28.2%
Beta-0.13
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MEarnings in 6 days

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Operating Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Roa
0.9
Net Margin
0.9
Roe
1.2
Gross Margin
5.6
Moat
5.6
Current Ratio
7.4
Piotroski F
8.9
Earnings quality RED FLAG: -470% FCF/NIStrong Piotroski F-Score: 8/9

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
2.7
52w Position
2.9
Bollinger
3.1
Gap
6.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.7
Value Rank
2.7
Growth Rank
7.6
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 4.9<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.9>=4.5A.R:R 2.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
67 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $42.47Resistance $52.12

Price Targets

$46
$66
A.Upside+32.9%
A.R:R2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-11 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NYAX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $49.54: Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 2.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 67. Prior stop was $46.07. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NYAX stock price target?

Analyst target: $65.82 (+32.9% upside). Prior stop was $46.07. Stop-loss: $46.07.

What are the risks of investing in NYAX?

Quality below floor (3.4 < 4.0).

Is NYAX overvalued or undervalued?

Nayax Ltd. trades at a P/E of 235.9 (forward 38.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NYAX?

9 analysts rate NYAX, with a consensus score of 4.4/5. 5 analysts publish price targets averaging $76.

What does Nayax Ltd. do?Nayax Ltd., a fintech company, designs, develops, and sells integrated POS devices and software for automated...

Nayax Ltd., a fintech company, designs, develops, and sells integrated POS devices and software for automated self-service customers in-house in the United States, Europe, the United Kingdom, Australia, Israel, and internationally. It offers POS, cashless payments, and charging stations, such as VPOS Touch, Onyx, Nova Market, DOT, Nova C4, Nova C3, EV-Meter, EV Kiosk, Nova 55F, Nova 22, Nova 156, Nova Modu, and Nova Kiosk; management suite and telemetry solutions, Nayax Core Management Suite, MoMa, Vending Management System, Nayax Energy Core, and Retail Management Cloud; marketing, loyalty, and consumer engagement platforms, such as Monyx Wallet and Weezmo; and payments and integrations solutions, including API Suite and Coinbridge. The company serves vending machines, kiosks, self-checkouts, ticketing machines, laundromats, gaming terminals, and EV charging stations. Nayax Ltd. has a strategic alliance with Getnet Payments S.L. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Herzliya, Israel.

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