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NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc. (NWE) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Electric

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $71.59 — A.R:R is negative (-2.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.8% away).

NorthWestern Energy Group (dba NorthWestern Energy) provides electricity and natural gas to approximately 850,300 customers in Montana, South Dakota, Nebraska, and Yellowstone NP as a regulated utility. Montana operations (NW Corp) serve 440,700 electric customers across ~73% of... Read more

$71.59+0.9% A.UpsideScore 4.3/10#39 of 40 Utilities - Regulated Electric
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield-4.29%
IncomeYield3.75%(5y avg 4.53%)Payout97.43%at-risk
Stop $68.33Target $72.25(resistance)A.R:R -2.6:1
Analyst target$71.42-0.2%6 analysts
$72.25our TP
$71.59price
$71.42mean
$54
$79

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $71.59 — A.R:R is negative (-2.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.8% away). Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 70d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.8% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.1
P/E (Fwd)17.9
Mkt Cap$4.4B
EV/EBITDA13.5
Profit Mgn10.2%
ROE5.8%
Rev Growth6.6%
Beta0.38
Dividend3.75%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.73neutral
IV43%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
4.1

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
0.3
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
1.0
Value Rank
2.6
Growth Rank
4.5
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R -2.6=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 70d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $69.29Resistance $73.72

Price Targets

$68
$72
A.Upside+0.9%
A.R:R-2.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.2% upside)
! Momentum score 2.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-29 (70d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NWE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $71.59 — A.R:R is negative (-2.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.8% away). Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $68.33. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NWE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $72.25 (+0.9% upside). Prior stop was $68.33. Stop-loss: $68.33.

What are the risks of investing in NWE?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.8% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5).

Is NWE overvalued or undervalued?

NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.1 (forward 17.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NWE?

11 analysts cover NWE with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $71.

What does NorthWestern Energy Group, Inc. do?NorthWestern Energy Group (dba NorthWestern Energy) provides electricity and natural gas to approximately 850,300...

NorthWestern Energy Group (dba NorthWestern Energy) provides electricity and natural gas to approximately 850,300 customers in Montana, South Dakota, Nebraska, and Yellowstone NP as a regulated utility. Montana operations (NW Corp) serve 440,700 electric customers across ~73% of the state's land area. A pending all-stock merger of equals with Black Hills Corporation was announced August 2025.

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