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Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $164.13, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.8% away).

Northern Trust Corporation is a financial holding company providing wealth management, asset servicing, asset management, and banking to corporations, institutions, families, and individuals globally. At December 31, 2025, consolidated assets were $177.1B and AUM was $1.8T... Read more

$164.13+3.0% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#30 of 109 Asset Management
Stop $156.23Target $169.73(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$168.58+2.7%13 analysts
$169.73our TP
$164.13price
$168.58mean
$130
$192

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $164.13, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.8% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 82d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.8% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.3
P/E (Fwd)14.0
Mkt Cap$30.5B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn22.4%
ROE14.5%
Rev Growth13.9%
Beta1.24
Dividend1.94%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C2.44bearish
IV44%normal
Max Pain$95-42.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 82d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
68 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $138.27Resistance $173.19

Price Targets

$156
$170
A.Upside+3.4%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-11.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (82d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NTRS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $164.13, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.8% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 68, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $169.73 (+3.4%), stop $156.23 (−5.1%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NTRS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $169.73 (+3.0% upside). Target $169.73 (+3.4%), stop $156.23 (−5.1%), A.R:R -0.7:1. Stop-loss: $156.23.

What are the risks of investing in NTRS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.8% away).

Is NTRS overvalued or undervalued?

Northern Trust Corporation trades at a P/E of 17.3 (forward 14.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.4/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NTRS?

22 analysts cover NTRS with a consensus score of 2.8/5. Average price target: $169.

What does Northern Trust Corporation do?Northern Trust Corporation is a financial holding company providing wealth management, asset servicing, asset...

Northern Trust Corporation is a financial holding company providing wealth management, asset servicing, asset management, and banking to corporations, institutions, families, and individuals globally. At December 31, 2025, consolidated assets were $177.1B and AUM was $1.8T across Asset Servicing and Wealth Management segments. Revenue is primarily fee-based from assets under management and custody.

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