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Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Wait for pullback to $152.45. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $164.13. Engine's entry $152.45 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Northern Trust Corporation is a financial holding company providing wealth management, asset servicing, asset management, and banking globally through The Northern Trust Company. At December 31, 2025, consolidated total assets were $177.1B and AUM was $1.8 trillion ($1.3T Asset... Read more

$164.13+6.8% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#19 of 109 Asset Management
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield1.94%(5y avg 2.96%)Payout32.98%sustainable
Entry $152.45(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $146.82Target $165.85(resistance)A.R:R -1.8:1Setup A.R:R 1.9:1
Analyst target$171.00+4.2%13 analysts
$165.85our TP
$164.13price
$171.00mean
$145
$192

Wait for pullback to $152.45. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $164.13. Engine's entry $152.45 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 62d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Northern Trust Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.3
P/E (Fwd)13.9
Mkt Cap$30.5B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn22.4%
ROE14.5%
Rev Growth13.9%
Beta1.29
Dividend1.94%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.15bearish
IV37%normal
Max Pain$115-29.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R -1.8=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 62d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $158.98Resistance $169.23

Price Targets

$147
$152
$166
A.Upside+1.0%
A.R:R-1.8:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)1.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.0% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Momentum score 2.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (62d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NTRS stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $152.45. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $164.13. Engine's entry $152.45 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $165.85 (+1.0%), stop $146.82 (−11.8%), Setup A.R:R 1.9:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NTRS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $165.85 (+6.8% upside). Target $165.85 (+1.0%), stop $146.82 (−11.8%), Setup A.R:R 1.9:1. Stop-loss: $146.82.

What are the risks of investing in NTRS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative momentum.

Is NTRS overvalued or undervalued?

Northern Trust Corporation trades at a P/E of 17.3 (forward 13.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about NTRS?

22 analysts cover NTRS with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $171.

What does Northern Trust Corporation do?Northern Trust Corporation is a financial holding company providing wealth management, asset servicing, asset...

Northern Trust Corporation is a financial holding company providing wealth management, asset servicing, asset management, and banking globally through The Northern Trust Company. At December 31, 2025, consolidated total assets were $177.1B and AUM was $1.8 trillion ($1.3T Asset Servicing + $507.2B Wealth Management). Operations span 24 U.S. states and 22 international locations.

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