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NTRSNorthern Trust CorporationHold6.3·$174.84+1.23%
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Northern Trust Corporation (NTRS) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $174.84, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.7% away).

Northern Trust serves institutions and high-net-worth individuals through Asset Servicing and Wealth Management segments, providing custody, investment management, and banking. Total consolidated assets reached $177.1 billion at December 31, 2025, with $1.8 trillion in AUM and... Read more

$174.84-1.3% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#20 of 112 Asset Management
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield1.85%(5y avg 2.96%)Payout32.98%sustainable
Stop $166.44Target $172.59(resistance)A.R:R -2.0:1
Analyst target$171.00-2.2%13 analysts
$172.59our TP
$174.84price
$171.00mean
$145
$192

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $174.84, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.7% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 35d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Northern Trust Corporation

About Northern Trust Corporation

Northern Trust managed $1.8 trillion in assets under management at December 31, 2025—$1.3 trillion for institutional Asset Servicing clients and $507.2 billion for Wealth Management clients—with Asset Servicing AUC/A reaching $17.4 trillion. Consolidated total assets were $177.1 billion and stockholders' equity was $13.0 billion. The company held a Common Equity Tier 1 capital ratio of 12.6% (standardized approach) against a 4.5% regulatory minimum, with offices in 24 U.S. states and 22 international locations.

Northern Trust earns revenue primarily through fee-based services, with fees tied to AUM, custody, and administration valuations—making earnings correlated to equity and fixed-income market performance rather than loan spreads. Asset Servicing serves corporate and public retirement funds, foundations, endowments, fund managers, insurance companies, and sovereign wealth funds, offering custody, fund administration, securities lending, and foreign exchange. Wealth Management delivers trust, investment management, and banking to high-net-worth individuals and family offices through 19 U.S. states and international offices in London, Guernsey, Singapore, and Abu Dhabi. The Bank is a member of the Federal Reserve System with deposits insured by the FDIC, and is subject to Illinois state regulation as an Illinois banking corporation; it is also registered as a swap dealer with the CFTC. Asset Management strategies span active and passive equity, fixed income, cash management, and alternative asset classes including private equity and hedge funds of funds.

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Northern Trust is classified as a Category II banking organization under Federal Reserve Board tailoring rules, requiring annual capital plans, supervisory stress tests, and liquidity risk management, though not subject to all standards applicable to global systemically important banks. The 2025 DFAST results published June 27, 2025 held the stress capital buffer at 2.5% and the effective CET1 minimum at 7.0% through the capital plan cycle ending September 30, 2026. The pending Basel III Endgame re-proposal, expected for publication in early 2026, may alter risk-weighted asset calculations applicable to Northern Trust as a Category II organization, with the final capital impact uncertain until a rule is finalized.

See also: Financial Services · Asset Management

From Northern Trust Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Jul 22, 202635d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.7% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)18.1
P/E (Fwd)14.6
Mkt Cap$32.0B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn22.4%
ROE14.5%
Rev Growth13.9%
Beta1.27
Dividend1.85%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.46bullish
IV41%normal
Max Pain$115-34.2% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.1
Support Resistance
0.9
52w Position
9.9
GatesA.R:R -2.0=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.1>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 35d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $161.67Resistance $176.11

Price Targets

$166
$173
A.Upside-1.3%
A.R:R-2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-14.9% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (35d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NTRS stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $174.84, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.7% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 61, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $172.59 (-1.3%), stop $166.44 (−5.0%), A.R:R -2.0:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NTRS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $172.59 (-1.3% upside). Target $172.59 (-1.3%), stop $166.44 (−5.0%), A.R:R -2.0:1. Stop-loss: $166.44.

What are the risks of investing in NTRS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.7% away).

Is NTRS overvalued or undervalued?

Northern Trust Corporation trades at a P/E of 18.1 (forward 14.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NTRS?

22 analysts cover NTRS with a consensus score of 3.4/5. Average price target: $171.

What does Northern Trust Corporation do?Northern Trust serves institutions and high-net-worth individuals through Asset Servicing and Wealth Management...

Northern Trust serves institutions and high-net-worth individuals through Asset Servicing and Wealth Management segments, providing custody, investment management, and banking. Total consolidated assets reached $177.1 billion at December 31, 2025, with $1.8 trillion in AUM and $17.4 trillion in Asset Servicing AUC/A. Fee-based income from AUM and custody valuations accounts for the majority of revenues.

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