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Equitable Holdings, Inc. (EQH) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $42.78: Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10 and A.R:R 2.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Equitable Holdings operates three franchises: Equitable (retirement/annuities), AllianceBernstein (global asset manager with $866.9B AUM), and Equitable Advisors (wealth management), with $1.1 trillion total AUM and administration. Revenue derives from fee income, investment... Read more

$42.78+17.8% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#109 of 112 Asset Management
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-77.11%
IncomeYield2.52%(5y avg 2.38%)Payout76.74%
Stop $39.79Target $50.39(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.4:1
Analyst target$57.92+35.4%13 analysts
$50.39our TP
$42.78price
$57.92mean
$63

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $42.78: Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10 and A.R:R 2.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.50, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Equitable Holdings, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)4.9
Mkt Cap$12.0B
EV/EBITDA17.3
Profit Mgn-7.3%
ROE-13.5%
Rev Growth-7.6%
Beta1.13
Dividend2.52%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.86neutral
IV54%elevated
Max Pain$23-47.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerEquitable Advisors38%
    10-K Item 1: 'Equitable Advisors represented 38% of our individual annuity FYP, while Third-Party Distribution represented 62%'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -7.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.6
Declining revenue: -8%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Unprofitable operations — net margin -7.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Moat
2.5
Piotroski F
4.4
Current Ratio
8.0
Operating Margin
9.0
Cash-burning: FCF -82% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.4
Growth Rank
2.2
Value Rank
9.8

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
5.5
News Activity
6.0
Erm
6.5
Earnings concerns: 1B/3MDividend: 252.0%
GatesMomentum 5.4<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Death cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.4>=4.5A.R:R 2.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.50EARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
55 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $39.58Resistance $44.78

Price Targets

$40
$50
A.Upside+17.8%
A.R:R2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EQH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $42.78: Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.4/10 and A.R:R 2.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $39.79. Score 4.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EQH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $50.39 (+17.8% upside). Prior stop was $39.79. Stop-loss: $39.79.

What are the risks of investing in EQH?

Quality below floor (2.7 < 4.0).

Is EQH overvalued or undervalued?

Equitable Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 4.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EQH?

18 analysts cover EQH with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $58.

What does Equitable Holdings, Inc. do?Equitable Holdings operates three franchises: Equitable (retirement/annuities), AllianceBernstein (global asset manager...

Equitable Holdings operates three franchises: Equitable (retirement/annuities), AllianceBernstein (global asset manager with $866.9B AUM), and Equitable Advisors (wealth management), with $1.1 trillion total AUM and administration. Revenue derives from fee income, investment income, and insurance premiums on annuity and life products sold across all 50 states.

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