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EQHEquitable Holdings, Inc.Hold7.1·$56.12
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Equitable Holdings screens attractively on valuation — with a forward price-to-earnings of 5.1 times and a near-zero price-to-growth ratio — and shows improving price momentum, but the business is generating deeply negative free cash flow equivalent to 82% of revenue, revenue is declining at 8% year-over-year, and three of the last four earnings reports have missed estimates, making the cheap multiple more likely a value trap than an opportunity.

Thesis pillars

  • Attractive Valuation Surface↑Improving
  • Deep Negative Free Cash Flow↑Improving
  • Persistent Earnings Miss Pattern↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

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Equitable Holdings, Inc. (EQH) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $56.12, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.2% away).

Equitable Holdings provides retirement, asset management, and wealth management through three franchises: Equitable (insurer), AllianceBernstein (global active asset manager), and Equitable Advisors (wealth management), with $1.1 trillion in assets under management and... Read more

$56.12-0.8% A.UpsideScore 7.1/10#4 of 229 Asset Management
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield2.03%(5y avg 2.34%)Payout84.62%at-risk
Stop $52.78Analyst target $55.68(reached)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst consensus$64.00+14.0%11 analysts with price targets
$56.12price
$64.00mean
$68

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $56.12, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.2% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 7.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 90d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Equitable Holdings, Inc.

About Equitable Holdings, Inc.

Equitable Holdings closed 2025 with $1.1 trillion in total assets under management and administration, including $866.9 billion managed by AllianceBernstein across institutional ($354.2 billion), retail ($356.4 billion), and private wealth ($156.3 billion) channels. Total Retirement first-year premiums and deposits reached $22.4 billion, with RILA products contributing $15.4 billion, up from $11.3 billion in 2023. EQH owns an approximate 68% economic interest in AB, a publicly traded master limited partnership on the NYSE.

Equitable Holdings earns revenue across three segments. The Retirement segment anchors the business with $174.9 billion in total account value as of December 31, 2025, composed of RILA products ($81.6 billion), traditional variable annuities ($47.8 billion), and tax-exempt products ($33.3 billion). Distribution of individual annuity products runs through Equitable Advisors (38% of first-year premiums in 2025) and third-party channels (62%), with no single third-party firm exceeding 10% of sales in 2025. The Asset Management segment — AB — generated $4.59 billion in total revenues in 2025 on $826.0 billion in average AUM, with advisory fees of $3.35 billion (base) plus $185 million in performance-based fees. AB experienced net long-term outflows of $(11.3) billion in 2025, compared with $(2.2) billion in 2024, driven by active equity net outflows of $(22.5) billion partially offset by alternatives and multi-asset inflows of $10.6 billion.

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EQH's variable annuity and guaranteed minimum benefit products create asymmetric exposure to equity market and interest rate conditions simultaneously. While GMxB features accounted for approximately 1.3% of total account value as of December 31, 2025 — limiting immediate obligation risk — the broader RILA and variable annuity base of $174.9 billion may be affected by sustained equity market weakness. The 10-K notes that equity market declines increase GMxB obligation amounts and may raise hedging costs, while rapid rate increases could accelerate surrenders and withdrawals. EQH mitigates this through derivatives programs, but counterparty failures on those instruments could leave net exposure if collateral agreements do not fully offset losses.

See also: Financial Services · Asset Management

From Equitable Holdings, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 4, 2026

Recent Developments — Equitable Holdings, Inc.

Latest item Nov 4, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:29:00Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Feb 3, 202790d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive news sentiment (+0.60)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (1.2% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 30.0): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.1
P/E (Fwd)6.3
Mkt Cap$15.1B
EV/EBITDA1.9
Profit Mgn11.5%
ROE171.1%
Rev Growth168.4%
Beta1.05
Dividend2.03%
Analysts with ratings18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.47bullish
IV39%normal
Max Pain$40-28.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesA.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEMomentum 7.2>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 90d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
64 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $49.88Resistance $56.83

Price Targets

A.Upside-0.8%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.8% upside)
! News modifier suppressed: positive news (+2) cannot lift HOLD to buy-class with analyst upside -0.8% (lift floor +1.5%)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-03 (90d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EQH stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $56.12, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.2% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Analyst target $55.68 reached (−0.8%), stop $52.78 (−6.3%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Score 7.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EQH stock price target?

Analyst target $55.68 reached (−0.8% from $56.12); no take-profit level is published. Analyst target $55.68 reached (−0.8%), stop $52.78 (−6.3%), A.R:R -0.1:1. Stop-loss: $52.78.

What are the risks of investing in EQH?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.2% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 30.0): -1.5.

Is EQH overvalued or undervalued?

Equitable Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 11.1 (forward 6.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about EQH?

18 analysts rate EQH, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 11 analysts publish price targets averaging $64.

What does Equitable Holdings, Inc. do?Equitable Holdings provides retirement, asset management, and wealth management through three franchises: Equitable...

Equitable Holdings provides retirement, asset management, and wealth management through three franchises: Equitable (insurer), AllianceBernstein (global active asset manager), and Equitable Advisors (wealth management), with $1.1 trillion in assets under management and administration as of December 31, 2025. Revenue comes from fee income, investment income, and insurance premiums; AB managed $866.9 billion in AUM across institutional, retail, and private wealth channels.

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