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Acadian Asset Management Inc. (AAMI) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Financial Services · Asset Management

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $67.78 — A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.9% away).

Acadian Asset Management operates a systematic investment management business through majority-owned Acadian LLC, with approximately $178 billion AUM as of December 31, 2025, serving institutional clients across more than 40 countries. The institutional channel accounts for over... Read more

$67.78+0.9% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#72 of 109 Asset Management
Stop $63.11Target $68.47(resistance)A.R:R -1.7:1
Analyst target$60.00-11.5%3 analysts
Range unavailable (3 analysts)

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $67.78 — A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.9% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.9% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.1): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.4
P/E (Fwd)11.7
Mkt Cap$2.3B
EV/EBITDA17.0
Profit Mgn14.2%
ROE124.6%
Rev Growth2.6%
Beta1.27
Dividend0.61%
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV58%elevated
Max Pain$50-26.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMProducttop-5 investment strategies46%
    10-K Item 1: 'As of December 31, 2025, $81 billion, or 46%, of our assets under management were concentrated across five investment strategies'
  • LOWCustomertop-5 client relationships14%
    10-K Item 1: 'our top five client relationships represented approximately 14% of total run rate gross management fee revenue'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
0.7
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.0
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
4.0
Value Rank
4.1
Quality Rank
6.3
Superior ROE vs peers
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R -1.7=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
69 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $51.85Resistance $69.87

Price Targets

$63
$68
A.Upside+1.0%
A.R:R-1.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-24.8% upside)
! Momentum score 3.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AAMI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $67.78 — A.R:R is negative (-1.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.9% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $63.11. Score 5.4/10, high confidence.

What is the AAMI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $68.47 (+0.9% upside). Prior stop was $63.11. Stop-loss: $63.11.

What are the risks of investing in AAMI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.9% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 3.1): -1.5.

Is AAMI overvalued or undervalued?

Acadian Asset Management Inc. trades at a P/E of 29.4 (forward 11.7). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about AAMI?

8 analysts cover AAMI with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $60.

What does Acadian Asset Management Inc. do?Acadian Asset Management operates a systematic investment management business through majority-owned Acadian LLC, with...

Acadian Asset Management operates a systematic investment management business through majority-owned Acadian LLC, with approximately $178 billion AUM as of December 31, 2025, serving institutional clients across more than 40 countries. The institutional channel accounts for over 80% of AUM; revenues are primarily AUM-based management fees.

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