Natural Resource Partners LP Li (NRP) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the NRP stock price target?

Take-profit $122.10 (+3.8% upside). Prior stop was $112.27.

Q: What are the risks of investing in NRP?

Earnings expected to decline ~70% (cyclical peak); Leverage penalty (D/E 5.9): -1.5; Earnings in 5 days (event risk); Cyclical trap - fwd PE 39x vs trail 12x (3.3x); EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d.

Q: Is NRP overvalued or undervalued?

Natural Resource Partners LP Li trades at a P/E of 11.7 (forward 39.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about NRP?

5 analysts cover NRP with a consensus score of 4.0/5.

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Energy · Thermal Coal

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $117.61: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.9): -1.5; Earnings expected to decline ~70% (cyclical peak).

$117.61+3.8% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#4 of 4 Thermal Coal

Stop $112.27Target $122.10(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $117.61: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.9): -1.5; Earnings expected to decline ~70% (cyclical peak). Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards

High-quality business

Risks

Earnings expected to decline ~70% (cyclical peak)

Leverage penalty (D/E 5.9): -1.5

Earnings in 5 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.7

P/E (Fwd)39.0

Mkt Cap$1.6B

EV/EBITDA10.2

Profit Mgn66.0%

ROE23.0%

Rev Growth-25.3%

Beta0.25

Dividend2.56%

Rating analysts5

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.24bullish

IV47%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value4.315%0.64

Quality7.515%1.13

Growth0.015%0.00

Momentum5.710%0.57

Sentiment5.010%0.50

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank3.810%0.38

Technical Setup6.75%0.34

Risk Profile5.75%0.29

Catalyst6.75%0.34

Overall (Σ contributions)4.67

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Revenue shrinking — -25.3% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth

0.0

Earnings Growth

0.0

Declining revenue: -25%

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank

0.0

Value Rank

2.5

Quality Rank

7.5

GatesEARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 5.7>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

43 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $114.16Resistance $124.59

Price Targets

$112

$122

A.Upside+3.8%

A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 39x vs trail 12x (3.3x)

! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:5d<=7d

Earnings

2/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-06 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is NRP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $117.61: Leverage penalty (D/E 5.9): -1.5; Earnings expected to decline ~70% (cyclical peak). Chart setup: RSI 43 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $112.27. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

What is the NRP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $122.10 (+3.8% upside). Prior stop was $112.27. Stop-loss: $112.27.

What are the risks of investing in NRP?

Earnings expected to decline ~70% (cyclical peak); Leverage penalty (D/E 5.9): -1.5; Earnings in 5 days (event risk).

Is NRP overvalued or undervalued?

Natural Resource Partners LP Li trades at a P/E of 11.7 (forward 39.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NRP?

5 analysts cover NRP with a consensus score of 4.0/5.

What does Natural Resource Partners LP Li do?Natural Resource Partners L.P., together with its subsidiaries, owns, manages, and leases a portfolio of mineral...

Natural Resource Partners L.P., together with its subsidiaries, owns, manages, and leases a portfolio of mineral properties in the United States. It operates in two segments, Mineral Rights and Soda Ash. It owns interests in coal, soda ash, trona, and other natural resources. The company's coal reserves are primarily located in the Appalachia Basin, the Illinois Basin, and the Northern Powder River Basin in the United States; industrial minerals and aggregates properties located in the United States; and oil and gas properties located in Louisiana. It leases a portion of its reserves in exchange for royalty payments; and owns and leases transportation and processing infrastructure related to coal properties. Natural Resource Partners L.P. was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.