Natural Resource Partners LP Li (NRP) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the NRP stock price target?

Take-profit $116.58 (+10.4% upside). Prior stop was $101.57.

Q: What are the risks of investing in NRP?

Earnings expected to decline ~65% (cyclical peak); Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak overall score: 4.5/10; Cyclical trap - fwd PE 35x vs trail 13x (2.8x); NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING.

Q: Is NRP overvalued or undervalued?

Natural Resource Partners LP Li trades at a P/E of 12.5 (forward 35.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about NRP?

5 analysts cover NRP with a consensus score of 4.0/5.

Temp Headwind edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 1 days ago (May 19, 2026, 7:41 AM ET)

Energy · Thermal Coal

$106.28+10.4% A.UpsideScore 4.5/10#4 of 4 Thermal Coal

QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield8.49%

IncomeYield2.82%(5y avg 4.38%)Payout35.25%sustainable

Stop $101.57Target $116.58(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $106.28 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Earnings expected to decline ~65% (cyclical peak). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Natural Resource Partners LP Li

Latest news

EU Commission green light for ninth instalment of the NRP for Italia of EUR 12.8 billion - Il Sole 24 ORE — Il Sole 24 ORE positive
Is Natural Resource Partners L.P. (NRP) A Good Stock To Buy Now? - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
Is It Time To Revisit Natural Resource Partners (NRP) After Recent Share Price Pullback? - Sahm — Sahm neutral
Earnings Scheduled For May 6, 2026 — benzinga May 6, 2026 neutral
Natural Resources Q1 EPS $1.44 Down From $2.97 YoY, Sales $39.353M Down From $60.538M YoY — benzinga May 6, 2026 negative

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards

V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.0 in RISK_OFF)

Sector modifier (Energy): +1.2

High-quality business

Risks

Earnings expected to decline ~65% (cyclical peak)

Consecutive earnings misses (2)

Weak overall score: 4.5/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)12.5

P/E (Fwd)35.5

Mkt Cap$1.4B

EV/EBITDA9.8

Profit Mgn58.5%

ROE19.3%

Rev Growth-15.3%

Beta0.18

Dividend2.82%

Rating analysts5

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.16bullish

IV38%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value4.415%0.66

Quality8.015%1.20

Growth0.015%0.00

Momentum1.810%0.18

Sentiment5.010%0.50

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank3.810%0.38

Technical Setup8.45%0.42

Risk Profile6.85%0.34

Catalyst5.75%0.29

Overall (Σ contributions)4.46

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Revenue shrinking — -15.3% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth

0.0

Earnings Growth

0.0

Declining revenue: -15%

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd

0.0

Obv

1.0

Ma Position

2.2

Volume

2.9

Rsi

3.0

Capitulation risk (RSI 13, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.7%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank

0.0

Value Rank

2.5

Quality Rank

7.5

GatesMomentum 1.8<4.5A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

13 · Oversold

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $104.71Resistance $118.96

Price Targets

$102

$117

A.Upside+9.7%

A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Cyclical trap - fwd PE 35x vs trail 13x (2.8x)

! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING

! Momentum score 1.8/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

2/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-08-05 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is NRP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.8/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $106.28 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Consecutive earnings misses (2); Earnings expected to decline ~65% (cyclical peak). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $101.57. Score 4.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NRP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $116.58 (+10.4% upside). Prior stop was $101.57. Stop-loss: $101.57.

What are the risks of investing in NRP?

Earnings expected to decline ~65% (cyclical peak); Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak overall score: 4.5/10.

Is NRP overvalued or undervalued?

Natural Resource Partners LP Li trades at a P/E of 12.5 (forward 35.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NRP?

5 analysts cover NRP with a consensus score of 4.0/5.

What does Natural Resource Partners LP Li do?Natural Resource Partners L.P., together with its subsidiaries, owns, manages, and leases a portfolio of mineral...

Natural Resource Partners L.P., together with its subsidiaries, owns, manages, and leases a portfolio of mineral properties in the United States. It operates in two segments, Mineral Rights and Soda Ash. It owns interests in coal, soda ash, trona, and other natural resources. The company's coal reserves are primarily located in the Appalachia Basin, the Illinois Basin, and the Northern Powder River Basin in the United States; industrial minerals and aggregates properties located in the United States; and oil and gas properties located in Louisiana. It leases a portion of its reserves in exchange for royalty payments; and owns and leases transportation and processing infrastructure related to coal properties. Natural Resource Partners L.P. was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.