Alliance Resource Partners, L.P (ARLP) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Energy · Thermal Coal
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $26.64 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2).
Alliance Resource Partners is the second largest coal producer in the eastern U.S., operating seven underground mining complexes across Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia. It also holds ~70,000 net royalty acres of oil and gas mineral... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $26.64 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/6 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 87d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- MEDIUMCustomera few customers10-K Item 1A: 'We depend upon a few customers for significant portions of our revenues'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Revenue shrinking — -4.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $26.64 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $25.21. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $27.83 (+4.4% upside). Prior stop was $25.21. Stop-loss: $25.21.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth.
Alliance Resource Partners, L.P trades at a P/E of 14.0 (forward 9.7). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
9 analysts cover ARLP with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $30.
What does Alliance Resource Partners, L.P do?Alliance Resource Partners is the second largest coal producer in the eastern U.S., operating seven underground mining...
Alliance Resource Partners is the second largest coal producer in the eastern U.S., operating seven underground mining complexes across Illinois, Indiana, Kentucky, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia. It also holds ~70,000 net royalty acres of oil and gas mineral interests primarily in the Permian, Anadarko, and Williston Basins. Approximately 84.6% of 2025 coal tonnage sold under contracts with terms greater than one year.