Alliance Resource Partners, L.P (ARLP) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Energy · Thermal Coal
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $25.40 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).
Alliance Resource Partners is the second-largest coal producer in the eastern U.S., operating seven underground mining complexes in the Illinois Basin and Appalachia, plus oil & gas mineral royalty interests in the Permian, Anadarko, and Williston Basins. In 2025 it sold 33.0... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $25.40 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 68d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — Alliance Resource Partners, L.P
Latest news
- Earnings Preview: ARLP to Report Financial Results Pre-market on April 27 - Moomoo — Moomoo neutral
- ARLP Leads Oversold Stocks in Materials Sector with RSI of 27 - GuruFocus — GuruFocus negative
- Alliance Resource is the most oversold energy stock as Q1 earnings roll on (XLE:NYSEARCA) - Seeking Alpha — Seeking Alpha negative
- Alliance Resource is the most oversold energy stock as Q1 earnings roll on - MSN — MSN negative
- Alliance Resource Partners Q1 earnings preview - MSN — MSN neutral
Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomerLouisville Gas and Electric Company10-K Item 1: 'we derived more than 10% of our total revenue from each of Louisville Gas and Electric Company and American Electric Power Company Inc.'
- LOWCustomerAmerican Electric Power Company Inc.10-K Item 1: 'we derived more than 10% of our total revenue from each of Louisville Gas and Electric Company and American Electric Power Company Inc.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
3 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -4.5% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $25.40 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2). Chart setup: RSI 44 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $24.16. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $25.78 (+1.5% upside). Prior stop was $24.16. Stop-loss: $24.16.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2); Consecutive earnings misses (2).
Alliance Resource Partners, L.P trades at a P/E of 13.4 (forward 9.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
9 analysts cover ARLP with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $30.
What does Alliance Resource Partners, L.P do?Alliance Resource Partners is the second-largest coal producer in the eastern U.S., operating seven underground mining...
Alliance Resource Partners is the second-largest coal producer in the eastern U.S., operating seven underground mining complexes in the Illinois Basin and Appalachia, plus oil & gas mineral royalty interests in the Permian, Anadarko, and Williston Basins. In 2025 it sold 33.0 million tons of coal, 89.2% to domestic electric utilities, primarily under long-term supply agreements (86.5% of tonnage under multi-year contracts).