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Core Natural Resources, Inc. (CNR) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Thermal Coal

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $88.83: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.33; Below-average business quality.

Core Natural Resources (formed from the January 2025 merger of CONSOL Energy and Arch) is a coal producer mining metallurgical and thermal coals primarily in the Appalachian Basin since 1864. It owns interests in two East Coast marine export terminals and sells domestically and... Read more

$88.83+7.6% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#1 of 4 Thermal Coal
Stop $82.49Target $95.41(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.9:1
Analyst target$112.25+26.4%4 analysts
$95.41our TP
$88.83price
$112.25mean
$119

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $88.83: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.33; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. electric power generators (68.0%)
Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)11.9
Mkt Cap$4.6B
EV/EBITDA11.6
Profit Mgn-3.7%
ROE-5.8%
Rev Growth81.8%
Beta0.25
Dividend0.44%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C1.33bearish
IV65%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCustomerU.S. electric power generators68%
    10-K Item 1A: 'During the year ended December 31, 2025, the Company sold approximately 68% of its sales tons to U.S. electric power generators'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
5.8
Piotroski F
6.7
Cash-burning: FCF -1% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns
GatesA.R:R 0.9 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $83.00Resistance $106.29

Price Targets

$82
$95
A.Upside+7.4%
A.R:R0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0)
! Reward/Risk 0.9:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CNR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $88.83: Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 1.33; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 45 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $82.49. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CNR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $95.41 (+7.6% upside). Prior stop was $82.49. Stop-loss: $82.49.

What are the risks of investing in CNR?

Concentration risk — Customer: U.S. electric power generators (68.0%); Quality below floor (1.9 < 4.0).

Is CNR overvalued or undervalued?

Core Natural Resources, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 11.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CNR?

9 analysts cover CNR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $112.

What does Core Natural Resources, Inc. do?Core Natural Resources (formed from the January 2025 merger of CONSOL Energy and Arch) is a coal producer mining...

Core Natural Resources (formed from the January 2025 merger of CONSOL Energy and Arch) is a coal producer mining metallurgical and thermal coals primarily in the Appalachian Basin since 1864. It owns interests in two East Coast marine export terminals and sells domestically and to export markets. In 2025, 72% of sales were domestic and 28% export.

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