Skip to main content

Core Natural Resources, Inc. (CNR) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Thermal Coal

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $82.77: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Core Natural Resources is a major U.S. coal producer formed from the January 2025 merger of CONSOL Energy and Arch Resources, operating thermal mines in Pennsylvania (PAMC), Wyoming (Black Thunder, Coal Creek), and Colorado (West Elk), plus metallurgical mines in West Virginia... Read more

$82.77+13.2% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#2 of 4 Thermal Coal
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield8.83%
IncomeYield0.48%Payout31.82%sustainable
Stop $78.16Target $93.71(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$110.25+33.2%4 analysts
$93.71our TP
$82.77price
$110.25mean
$116

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $82.77: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Core Natural Resources, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)12.2
Mkt Cap$4.2B
EV/EBITDA8.2
Profit Mgn-1.5%
ROE-1.7%
Rev Growth6.6%
Beta0.14
Dividend0.48%
Rating analysts9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume
3.8
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.8%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.5
Moat
5.1
Current Ratio
6.1
Piotroski F
6.7
No competitive moatQuality concerns

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Dividend Safety
6.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MDividend: 48.0%
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
38 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $80.58Resistance $92.31

Price Targets

$78
$94
A.Upside+13.2%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 2.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CNR stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $82.77: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $78.16. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CNR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $93.71 (+13.2% upside). Prior stop was $78.16. Stop-loss: $78.16.

What are the risks of investing in CNR?

Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0).

Is CNR overvalued or undervalued?

Core Natural Resources, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 12.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CNR?

9 analysts cover CNR with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $110.

What does Core Natural Resources, Inc. do?Core Natural Resources is a major U.S. coal producer formed from the January 2025 merger of CONSOL Energy and Arch...

Core Natural Resources is a major U.S. coal producer formed from the January 2025 merger of CONSOL Energy and Arch Resources, operating thermal mines in Pennsylvania (PAMC), Wyoming (Black Thunder, Coal Creek), and Colorado (West Elk), plus metallurgical mines in West Virginia (Leer Complex). In 2025, 73% of sales tons went to electric power generators, with ~72% sold domestically.

Related stocks: ARLP (Alliance Resource Partners, L.P) · BTU (Peabody Energy Corporation) · NRP (Natural Resource Partners LP Li) · DMLP (Dorchester Minerals, L.P.) · EXE (Expand Energy Corporation)