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NOKNokia Corporation SponsoredHold5.9·$8.48
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Nokia offers excellent cash conversion at 201% of net income and a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9, but its forward P/E of 30.4x is expensive for a slow-growing telecom equipment company trading above analyst consensus targets with below-average peer rankings.

Thesis pillars

  • Expensive Valuation At Consensus→Stable
  • Perfect Piotroski Financial Health→Stable
  • Exceptional Cash Conversion→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Nokia Corporation Sponsored (NOK) Stock Analysis

HoldGrowthModerate Confidence

Technology · Communication Equipment

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.48, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Nokia Oyj, together with its subsidiaries, provides mobile, fixed, and cloud network solutions in North and Latin America, Greater China, India, Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. It operates in four segments: Network Infrastructure, Mobile Networks, Cloud and... Read more

$8.48+48.9% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#11 of 25 Communication Equipment
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.72%
IncomeYield1.59%(5y avg 1.75%)Payout100.17%at-risk
Stop $7.89Analyst target $12.63(−13% haircut)A.R:R 4.0:1
Analyst consensus$14.52+71.2%12 analysts with price targets
$12.63Analyst target
$8.48price
$14.52mean
$21

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.48, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 85d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 3, 2026

Recent Developments — Nokia Corporation Sponsored

Latest news

Latest item Nov 3, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:44:36Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jan 28, 202785d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Earnings estimates trending UP
Strong growth profile
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)49.9
P/E (Fwd)17.5
Mkt Cap$47.5B
EV/EBITDA16.9
Profit Mgn3.8%
ROE3.9%
Rev Growth9.7%
Beta0.75
Dividend1.59%
Analysts with ratings35

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.96neutral
IV68%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.

No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.

Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
1.1
Ma Position
2.2
Macd
3.4
Rsi
4.5
Obv
6.9
Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+4.9%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.6<4.5A.R:R 4.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 85d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
41 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $7.77Resistance $10.74

Price Targets

$8
$13
A.Upside+48.9%
A.R:R4.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! News modifier +2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! momentum at 3.6 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-01-28 (85d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NOK stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $8.48, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Analyst target $12.63 (+48.9%), stop $7.89 (−7.5%), A.R:R 4.0:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NOK stock price target?

Analyst target: $12.63 (+48.9% upside). Analyst target $12.63 (+48.9%), stop $7.89 (−7.5%), A.R:R 4.0:1. Stop-loss: $7.89.

What are the risks of investing in NOK?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Negative momentum.

Is NOK overvalued or undervalued?

Nokia Corporation Sponsored trades at a P/E of 49.9 (forward 17.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about NOK?

35 analysts rate NOK, with a consensus score of 3.7/5. 12 analysts publish price targets averaging $15.

What does Nokia Corporation Sponsored do?Nokia Oyj, together with its subsidiaries, provides mobile, fixed, and cloud network solutions in North and Latin...

Nokia Oyj, together with its subsidiaries, provides mobile, fixed, and cloud network solutions in North and Latin America, Greater China, India, Asia Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. It operates in four segments: Network Infrastructure, Mobile Networks, Cloud and Network Services, and Nokia Technologies. The company offers fixed network solutions, such as fiber and copper technologies, access infrastructure, in-home Wi-Fi solutions, and cloud and virtualization services; IP network solutions, which delivers IP edge routing and data center networking solutions for residential, mobile, enterprise, and cloud applications; and optical networks solutions, which provides optical transport networks for metro, regional, and long-haul applications. It also provides mobile technology products, agentic AI platform, and services for radio access networks and microwave radio links for transport networks; and network management solutions, as well as network planning, optimization, network deployment, and technical support services. In addition, the company offers cloud and network services, including open, secure, automated, and scalable software and solutions; and 5G core, secure autonomous networks, private wireless and industrial edge, and network APIs. Further, it licenses intellectual property, including patents, technologies, and the Nokia brand. The company serves its products and services to defense communications energy and resources, enterprise and industrial campus, private networks, public sector, and transportation industries. Nokia Oyj was founded in 1865 and is headquartered in Espoo, Finland.

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