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Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) Stock Analysis

HoldModerate Confidence

Technology · Communication Equipment

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $115.94, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.6% away).

Cisco Systems designs and sells networking, security, collaboration, and observability technologies worldwide, organized into three geographic segments (Americas, EMEA, APJC) and serving enterprises, public sector, and service providers. Revenue comes from hardware, SaaS... Read more

$115.94+0.6% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#2 of 21 Communication Equipment
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield2.12%
IncomeYield1.46%(5y avg 2.82%)Payout55.00%sustainable
Stop $108.46Target $117.00(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$122.87+6.0%23 analysts
$117.00our TP
$115.94price
$122.87mean
$85
$150

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $115.94, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.6% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.70, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Cisco Systems, Inc.

Material events (past 30 days)

  • May 1, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: M. Victoria Wong retiring as SVP and Chief Accounting Officer effective May 19, 2026 (advisory role through July 25). Nichlas A. Fink appointed as successor SVP and CAO effective May 20, 2026. Clean handoff with named successor.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.6 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Contrarian signal: extreme negativity (-0.87) on quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.6% away)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)38.5
P/E (Fwd)24.3
Mkt Cap$455.7B
EV/EBITDA27.7
Profit Mgn19.7%
ROE25.2%
Rev Growth12.0%
Beta0.91
Dividend1.46%
Rating analysts32

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.47bullish
IV44%normal
Max Pain$45-61.2% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-01Item 5.02MEDIUM
    M. Victoria Wong retiring as SVP and Chief Accounting Officer effective May 19, 2026 (advisory role through July 25). Nichlas A. Fink appointed as successor SVP and CAO effective May 20, 2026. Clean handoff with named successor.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-06Item 5.02LOW
    Daniel H. Schulman resigned from Cisco's Board effective May 21, 2026, due to increased demands of his new CEO role at Verizon Communications. Peter A. Shimer appointed to Board effective April 6, 2026, and named to Audit Committee.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
3.2
Analyst Target
4.0
Peg Ratio
4.8
Ps
5.2
Forward Pe
5.2
Forward P/E: 24.3xPEG: 1.70

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.9
Bollinger
1.2
52w Position
9.5
GatesA.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 84d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
83 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $85.78Resistance $119.39

Price Targets

$108
$117
A.Upside+0.9%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.9% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=+2: SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (84d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CSCO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $115.94, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.6% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position. | News modifier +2 (SELL_IF_HOLDING → HOLD_IF_HOLDING) Target $117.00 (+0.9%), stop $108.46 (−6.9%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CSCO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $117.00 (+0.6% upside). Target $117.00 (+0.9%), stop $108.46 (−6.9%), A.R:R -0.3:1. Stop-loss: $108.46.

What are the risks of investing in CSCO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.6% away); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is CSCO overvalued or undervalued?

Cisco Systems, Inc. trades at a P/E of 38.5 (forward 24.3). TrendMatrix value score: 3.9/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about CSCO?

32 analysts cover CSCO with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $123.

What does Cisco Systems, Inc. do?Cisco Systems designs and sells networking, security, collaboration, and observability technologies worldwide,...

Cisco Systems designs and sells networking, security, collaboration, and observability technologies worldwide, organized into three geographic segments (Americas, EMEA, APJC) and serving enterprises, public sector, and service providers. Revenue comes from hardware, SaaS subscriptions, and technical support and advanced services; Cisco acquired Splunk in fiscal 2024 to strengthen security analytics. With approximately 25,600 worldwide sales and marketing employees, the company sells both directly and through channel partners.

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