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CSCOCisco Systems, Inc.Sell5.6·$124.06+1.99%
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Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup · Temp Headwind edge

SellModerate Confidence

Technology · Communication Equipment

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $124.06 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.1% away).

Cisco Systems designs and sells networking, security, collaboration, and observability technologies worldwide, organized into three geographic segments (Americas, EMEA, APJC) and serving enterprises, public sector, and service providers. Revenue comes from hardware, SaaS... Read more

$124.06+2.9% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#7 of 21 Communication Equipment
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.94%
IncomeYield1.38%(5y avg 2.79%)Payout55.00%sustainable
Stop $115.46Target $127.76(resistance)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst target$125.82+1.4%22 analysts
$127.76our TP
$124.06price
$125.82mean
$85
$150

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $124.06 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.1% away). Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 65d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 12, 202665d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.6 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.1% away)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)40.5
P/E (Fwd)25.5
Mkt Cap$479.4B
EV/EBITDA29.2
Profit Mgn19.7%
ROE25.2%
Rev Growth12.0%
Beta1.00
Dividend1.38%
Rating analysts33

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.15bearish
IV52%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-01Item 5.02MEDIUM
    M. Victoria Wong retiring as SVP and Chief Accounting Officer effective May 19, 2026 (advisory role through July 25). Nichlas A. Fink appointed as successor SVP and CAO effective May 20, 2026. Clean handoff with named successor.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-06Item 5.02LOW
    Daniel H. Schulman resigned from Cisco's Board effective May 21, 2026, due to increased demands of his new CEO role at Verizon Communications. Peter A. Shimer appointed to Board effective April 6, 2026, and named to Audit Committee.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
1.9
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.0
Pe
3.0
Analyst Target
4.0
Peg Ratio
4.8
Ps
4.9
Forward Pe
4.9
Forward P/E: 25.5xPEG: 1.69
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 65d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
57 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $95.33Resistance $130.37

Price Targets

$115
$128
A.Upside+3.0%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.8% upside)
! momentum at 3.5 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (65d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CSCO stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $124.06 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.1% away). Chart setup: RSI 57 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $115.46. Score 5.6/10, moderate confidence.

What is the CSCO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $127.76 (+2.9% upside). Prior stop was $115.46. Stop-loss: $115.46.

What are the risks of investing in CSCO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.1% away); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is CSCO overvalued or undervalued?

Cisco Systems, Inc. trades at a P/E of 40.5 (forward 25.5). TrendMatrix value score: 3.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about CSCO?

33 analysts cover CSCO with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $126.

What does Cisco Systems, Inc. do?Cisco Systems designs and sells networking, security, collaboration, and observability technologies worldwide,...

Cisco Systems designs and sells networking, security, collaboration, and observability technologies worldwide, organized into three geographic segments (Americas, EMEA, APJC) and serving enterprises, public sector, and service providers. Revenue comes from hardware, SaaS subscriptions, and technical support and advanced services; Cisco acquired Splunk in fiscal 2024 to strengthen security analytics. With approximately 25,600 worldwide sales and marketing employees, the company sells both directly and through channel partners.

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