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Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. (SWX) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Gas

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $88.95 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9).

Southwest Gas Holdings distributes natural gas to approximately 2.28 million customers in Arizona, Nevada, and California through Southwest Gas Corporation, regulated by the ACC, PUCN, and CPUC respectively. Revenue comes from rate-regulated distribution margins under decoupled... Read more

$88.95+3.3% A.UpsideScore 4.8/10#10 of 14 Utilities - Regulated Gas
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-4.64%
IncomeYield2.94%(5y avg 3.42%)Payout75.15%
Stop $85.05Target $91.87(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1
Analyst target$100.00+12.4%8 analysts
$91.87our TP
$88.95price
$100.00mean
$107

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $88.95 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9). Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9)
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)26.6
P/E (Fwd)17.9
Mkt Cap$6.3B
EV/EBITDA11.3
Profit Mgn26.1%
ROE6.1%
Rev Growth-21.6%
Beta0.62
Dividend2.94%
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
0.7
Quality Rank
5.1
Best-in-class margins

Revenue shrinking — -21.6% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Earnings Growth
6.2
Declining revenue: -22%
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $87.08Resistance $93.74

Price Targets

$85
$92
A.Upside+3.3%
A.R:R-0.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-2.2% upside)
! Momentum score 2.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is SWX stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $88.95 — A.R:R is negative (-0.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9). Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $85.05. Score 4.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the SWX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $91.87 (+3.3% upside). Prior stop was $85.05. Stop-loss: $85.05.

What are the risks of investing in SWX?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.9); Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is SWX overvalued or undervalued?

Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. trades at a P/E of 26.6 (forward 17.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about SWX?

12 analysts cover SWX with a consensus score of 4.4/5. Average price target: $100.

What does Southwest Gas Holdings, Inc. do?Southwest Gas Holdings distributes natural gas to approximately 2.28 million customers in Arizona, Nevada, and...

Southwest Gas Holdings distributes natural gas to approximately 2.28 million customers in Arizona, Nevada, and California through Southwest Gas Corporation, regulated by the ACC, PUCN, and CPUC respectively. Revenue comes from rate-regulated distribution margins under decoupled rate structures, with Arizona contributing 53% of operating margin in 2025.

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