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NICENICE LtdSell5.8·$91.00-2.30%
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NICE Ltd (NICE) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $91.00 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

NICE Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides AI-powered cloud platforms for customer engagement, and financial crime and compliance in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates in two segments, Customer Engagement; and Financial... Read more

$91.00+26.5% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#43 of 98 Software - Application
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield9.08%
Stop $84.96Target $115.59(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.1:1
Analyst target$132.86+46.0%14 analysts
$115.59our TP
$91.00price
$132.86mean
$170

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $91.00 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Score 5.8/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 65d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 13, 202665d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 27%
Risks
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.8
P/E (Fwd)7.2
Mkt Cap$5.3B
EV/EBITDA6.2
Profit Mgn17.6%
ROE14.8%
Rev Growth9.8%
Beta0.01
DividendNone
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.16bullish
IV70%elevated
Max Pain$60-34.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
5.0
GatesMomentum 4.4<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 3.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 65d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $84.38Resistance $101.75

Price Targets

$85
$116
A.Upside+27.0%
A.R:R3.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.4 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-13 (65d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NICE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.4/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $91.00 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 48. Prior stop was $84.96. Score 5.8/10, high confidence.

What is the NICE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $115.59 (+26.5% upside). Prior stop was $84.96. Stop-loss: $84.96.

What are the risks of investing in NICE?

Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Weak growth.

Is NICE overvalued or undervalued?

NICE Ltd trades at a P/E of 10.8 (forward 7.2). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NICE?

16 analysts cover NICE with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $133.

What does NICE Ltd do?NICE Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides AI-powered cloud platforms for customer engagement, and financial...

NICE Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides AI-powered cloud platforms for customer engagement, and financial crime and compliance in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It operates in two segments, Customer Engagement; and Financial Crime and Compliance. The Customer Engagement segment provides CXone Mpower platform for organizations to automate service, augment the workforce with AI-powered solutions, and unify enterprise knowledge, data and AI models resolutions, and customer experiences. The Financial Crime and Compliance segment offers embedded-AI solutions that identify risks and help prevent money laundering and fraud, as well as help ensure financial markets compliance in real-time. It also provides NICE Evidencentral, a digital evidence management and investigation platform for criminal justice system. In addition, the company offers NiCE Actimize provides cloud platforms embedded with AI capabilities for real-time and cross-channel fraud prevention, know-your-customer, anti-money laundering, and capital markets compliance; X-Sight, an open AI-cloud platform for Financial Crime and Compliance, enabling financial services organizations; Xceed which provides AI, data intelligence, machine learning, and insights for AML and fraud prevention for small and mid-sized organizations; cloud platforms provide financial services organizations with the agility required to adapt changing regulatory and threat landscapes; data intelligence solutions enable organizations to turn raw data into actionable intelligence to prevent and detect financial crimes; AI and analytics; intelligent investigations solutions; and self-service solutions. The company was formerly known as NICE-Systems Ltd. and changed its name to NICE Ltd. in June 2016. NICE Ltd. was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Ra'anana, Israel.

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