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SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Ooma combines strong cash conversion, solid growth, and a technical breakout with a perfect earnings beat streak, but the stock has already reached its price target and notable insider selling tempers the setup.

Thesis pillars

  • Strong Revenue Growth→Stable
  • Strong Cash Conversion Quality→Stable
  • Technical Breakout Momentum→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 5, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Apr 3, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Ooma, Inc. (OOMA) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5GrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Application

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $19.32 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: Equinix; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4).

Ooma, Inc. provides communications services and related technologies for businesses and consumers in the United States and Canada. The company's products and services include Ooma Office, a cloud-based multi-user communications system for small and medium-sized businesses; and... Read more

$19.32+20.7% A.UpsideScore 6.4/10#16 of 116 Software - Application
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield7.77%
Stop $18.66Analyst target $23.32(−13% haircut)A.R:R 3.0:1
Analyst consensus$26.80+38.7%5 analysts with price targets
$23.32Analyst target
$19.32price
$26.80mean
$30

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $19.32 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: Equinix; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 34d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

No fresh coverage since Oct 7, 2026

Recent Developments — Ooma, Inc.

Latest item Oct 7, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-03T11:34:08Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Dec 7, 202634d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 21%
Risks
Concentration risk — Supplier: Equinix
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4)
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)49.5
P/E (Fwd)12.9
Mkt Cap$533M
EV/EBITDA21.3
Profit Mgn3.6%
ROE11.7%
Rev Growth25.4%
Beta1.12
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.25bullish
IV92%elevated
Max Pain$15-22.4% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHSupplierEquinix
    10-K Item 1: 'We currently serve most of our customers from three separate data center facilities located in Northern California, Texas and Virginia, where we lease space from Equinix, Inc.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 ceiling hit

GatesMomentum 4.3<4.5INSIDER 0.53%=EXTREMEA.R:R 3.0 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 34d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
40 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $19.24Resistance $21.08

Price Targets

$19
$23
A.Upside+20.7%
A.R:R3.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 4.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Insider activity: 0.53%=extreme

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-12-07 (34d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is OOMA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 4.3/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $19.32 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Concentration risk — Supplier: Equinix; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $18.66. Score 6.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OOMA stock price target?

Analyst target: $23.32 (+20.7% upside). Prior stop was $18.66. Stop-loss: $18.66.

What are the risks of investing in OOMA?

Concentration risk — Supplier: Equinix; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Is OOMA overvalued or undervalued?

Ooma, Inc. trades at a P/E of 49.5 (forward 12.9). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OOMA?

13 analysts rate OOMA, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 5 analysts publish price targets averaging $27.

What does Ooma, Inc. do?Ooma, Inc. provides communications services and related technologies for businesses and consumers in the United States...

Ooma, Inc. provides communications services and related technologies for businesses and consumers in the United States and Canada. The company's products and services include Ooma Office, a cloud-based multi-user communications system for small and medium-sized businesses; and Ooma Enterprise, a unified-communications-as-a-service (UCaaS) solution. It also provides Ooma AirDial, a plain old telephone service; PureVoice HD, a residential phone services; Ooma Basic that provides unlimited personal calling within the United States; and Ooma Premier, a suite of advanced calling features on a monthly or annual subscription basis. In addition, the company offers Ooma Telo, a home communications solution to serve as the primary phone line in the home; Ooma Telo Air, a wireless Ooma Telo with built-in Wi-Fi and Bluetooth; and Ooma Telo LTE, which combines the Ooma Telo base station with the Ooma LTE Adapter and battery back-up. Further, it provides Ooma Mobile HD app that allows users to make and receive phone calls and access Ooma features and settings; 2600Hz provides business communication applications; Talkatone mobile app; OnSIP, an UCaaS solution; FluentStream for voice, text, mobile, and call center features, as well as supports remote/hybrid workforces; and Phone.com that provides UCaaS solutions, such as voice, video, text, specialized call handling, and desktop and mobile applications for small and medium-sized organizations. The company offers its products through direct channels, retailers, value-added resellers, technology services distributors, and other resellers, as well as online and sales representatives. Ooma, Inc. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Sunnyvale, California.

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