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NiSource Inc (NI) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Gas

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $46.55 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (5.0% away).

NiSource is a regulated energy holding company serving approximately 3.8 million natural gas and electric customers across six states through Columbia Operations (Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Kentucky, Maryland) and NIPSCO Operations (northern Indiana). Revenue is substantially... Read more

$46.55+3.1% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#8 of 14 Utilities - Regulated Gas
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield-7.00%
IncomeYield2.58%(5y avg 3.20%)Payout56.72%sustainable
Stop $44.78Target $48.00(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$51.36+10.3%14 analysts
$48.00our TP
$46.55price
$51.36mean
$43
$56

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $46.55 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (5.0% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — NiSource Inc

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Utilities): +1.0
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (5.0% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)23.2
P/E (Fwd)20.8
Mkt Cap$22.3B
EV/EBITDA13.9
Profit Mgn14.1%
ROE9.1%
Rev Growth8.2%
Beta0.57
Dividend2.58%
Rating analysts24

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV37%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
3.2
Revenue Growth
4.5
GatesMomentum 4.0<4.5A.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
33 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $46.16Resistance $48.98

Price Targets

$45
$48
A.Upside+3.1%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.0% upside)
! Momentum score 4.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $46.55 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (5.0% away). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $44.78. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $48.00 (+3.1% upside). Prior stop was $44.78. Stop-loss: $44.78.

What are the risks of investing in NI?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (5.0% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.0).

Is NI overvalued or undervalued?

NiSource Inc trades at a P/E of 23.2 (forward 20.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NI?

24 analysts cover NI with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $51.

What does NiSource Inc do?NiSource is a regulated energy holding company serving approximately 3.8 million natural gas and electric customers...

NiSource is a regulated energy holding company serving approximately 3.8 million natural gas and electric customers across six states through Columbia Operations (Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Kentucky, Maryland) and NIPSCO Operations (northern Indiana). Revenue is substantially all rate-regulated; it also executed the ADS Contract in 2025 for customized electric service to a data center customer through its GenCo subsidiary. NiSource derives substantially all revenues and earnings from its regulated utility subsidiaries.

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