ONE Gas, Inc. (OGS) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the OGS stock price target?

Take-profit $88.96 (-0.1% upside). Prior stop was $85.54.

Q: What are the risks of investing in OGS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.9% away); Earnings in 4 days (event risk); Target reached (-9.8% upside); Momentum score 3.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum.

Q: Is OGS overvalued or undervalued?

ONE Gas, Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.0 (forward 17.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about OGS?

11 analysts cover OGS with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $92.

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate ConfidenceUpdated 2026-04-30

Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Gas

Earnings in 4 days (2026-05-04). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $89.16 — A.R:R is negative (-2.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.9% away).

$89.16-0.1% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#13 of 14 Utilities - Regulated Gas

Stop $85.54Target $88.96(resistance)A.R:R -2.0:1

Analyst target$92.38+3.6%8 analysts

$88.96our TP

$89.16price

$92.38mean

$78

$103

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 4d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining

Near 52-week high (1.9% away)

Earnings in 4 days (event risk)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.0

P/E (Fwd)17.6

Mkt Cap$5.5B

EV/EBITDA11.4

Profit Mgn10.9%

ROE8.1%

Rev Growth9.3%

Beta0.74

Dividend3.10%

Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.33bullish

IV47%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

MEDIUMGeographicOklahoma, Kansas, and Texas
10-K Item 1A: 'Our business activities are concentrated in three states. We provide natural gas distribution services to customers in Oklahoma, Kansas, and Texas'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

2026-02-18Item 5.02LOW
Curtis L. Dinan promoted to President and COO effective March 1, 2026; Robert S. McAnnally continues as CEO. Dinan's base salary increased to $600,000 with updated incentive terms. No officer departures.
SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value5.715%0.85

Quality4.115%0.61

Growth4.015%0.60

Momentum3.310%0.33

Sentiment5.910%0.59

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank4.710%0.47

Technical Setup5.75%0.29

Risk Profile6.85%0.34

Catalyst5.95%0.30

Overall (Σ contributions)4.88

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume

0.0

Macd

1.0

Obv

1.0

Rsi

5.5

Ma Position

9.0

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

GatesMomentum 3.3<4.5A.R:R -2.0=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 4d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate

RSI

46 · Neutral

↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $86.07Resistance $90.78

Price Targets

$86

$89

A.Upside-0.2%

A.R:R-2.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.8% upside)

! Momentum score 3.3/10 — below 4.5 minimum

! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

2/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-05-04 (4d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is OGS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $89.16 — A.R:R is negative (-2.0) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (1.9% away). Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $85.54. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the OGS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $88.96 (-0.1% upside). Prior stop was $85.54. Stop-loss: $85.54.

What are the risks of investing in OGS?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (1.9% away); Earnings in 4 days (event risk).

Is OGS overvalued or undervalued?

ONE Gas, Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.0 (forward 17.6). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about OGS?

11 analysts cover OGS with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $92.

What does ONE Gas, Inc. do?ONE Gas is a 100% regulated natural gas distribution utility serving approximately 2.3 million customers in Oklahoma,...

ONE Gas is a 100% regulated natural gas distribution utility serving approximately 2.3 million customers in Oklahoma, Kansas, and Texas, and one of the largest publicly traded natural gas utilities in the United States. Revenue comes from regulated distribution rates set by state regulators (OCC, KCC, RRC, and Texas municipalities), with capital tracking mechanisms allowing rate recovery between general rate cases.