MDU Resources Group, Inc. (MDU) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Utilities · Utilities - Regulated Gas
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $22.46: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.
MDU Resources is a pure-play regulated energy delivery company operating electric and natural gas distribution utilities (Montana-Dakota, Cascade, Intermountain) and a natural gas pipeline (WBI Energy) in the northern and western U.S. Revenue comes from regulated retail rates;... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $22.46: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 3.9/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Recent Developments — MDU Resources Group, Inc.
Latest news
- TD Cowen Maintains Hold on MDU Resources Group, Raises Price Target to $22 — benzinga May 15, 2026 positive
- MDU Resources Group Affirms FY2026 GAAP EPS Guidance of $0.93-$1.00 vs $0.99 Est — benzinga May 7, 2026 positive
- MDU Resources Gr Q1 EPS $0.39 Misses $0.42 Estimate, Sales $606.000M Miss $688.260M Estimate — benzinga May 7, 2026 negative
- JP Morgan Initiates Coverage On MDU Resources Group with Neutral Rating, Announces Price Target of $22 — benzinga Apr 16, 2026
- Top 2 Utilities Stocks That May Keep You Up At Night In Q2 — benzinga Apr 9, 2026 neutral
Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicNorth Dakota67%10-K Item 1: 'North Dakota| 67 | %| 65 | %| 66 | %'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
5 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -10.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $22.46: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 3.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 59 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $21.39. Score 3.9/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $22.52 (+0.3% upside). Prior stop was $21.39. Stop-loss: $21.39.
Concentration risk — Geographic: North Dakota (67.0%); Target reached (-9.8% upside); Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0).
MDU Resources Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 24.1 (forward 21.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.1/10. Verdict: Sell.
12 analysts cover MDU with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $23.
What does MDU Resources Group, Inc. do?MDU Resources is a pure-play regulated energy delivery company operating electric and natural gas distribution...
MDU Resources is a pure-play regulated energy delivery company operating electric and natural gas distribution utilities (Montana-Dakota, Cascade, Intermountain) and a natural gas pipeline (WBI Energy) in the northern and western U.S. Revenue comes from regulated retail rates; Montana-Dakota supplies ~170,000 electric customers, with North Dakota representing 67% of electric retail revenues in 2025.