Skip to main content

Ingevity Corporation (NGVT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $75.10: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Ingevity makes specialty chemicals in three segments: Performance Materials (activated carbon for automotive evaporative emissions control), Performance Chemicals (pavement technologies, road markings), and Advanced Polymer Technologies (caprolactone-based products). Following a... Read more

$75.10+1.3% A.UpsideScore 4.9/10#26 of 36 Specialty Chemicals
Stop $70.94Target $76.07(resistance)A.R:R -1.1:1
Analyst target$80.50+7.2%4 analysts
$76.07our TP
$75.10price
$80.50mean
$87

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $75.10: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-8.9% upside)
Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)12.3
Mkt Cap$2.6B
EV/EBITDA10.5
Profit Mgn-14.3%
ROE-133.7%
Rev Growth-14.6%
Beta1.27
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.20bullish
IV69%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomertop-10 customers (41% of sales)41%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Sales to the Company's ten largest customers (across all three segments) accounted for 41 percent of total sales for 2025. No customer accounted for more than 10 percent of total sales for 2025.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-23Item 5.02LOW
    Jean S. Blackwell and Daniel F. Sansone will not stand for election at Ingevity 2026 Annual Meeting. Blackwell: no disagreement cited. Sansone: retirement age policy. Both serve until the meeting.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
0.3
Value Rank
4.3

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Cyclical trough — margins compressed or negative. Profitability typically recovers with the cycle, but floor fires on current data.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
3.9
Current Ratio
5.0
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
5.6
Roa
5.9
Operating Margin
6.1
No competitive moat
GatesMomentum 3.1<4.5A.R:R -1.1=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $69.09Resistance $77.62

Price Targets

$71
$76
A.Upside+1.3%
A.R:R-1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-8.9% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 3.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NGVT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $75.10: Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.9/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $70.94. Score 4.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NGVT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $76.07 (+1.3% upside). Prior stop was $70.94. Stop-loss: $70.94.

What are the risks of investing in NGVT?

Target reached (-8.9% upside); Quality below floor (3.9 < 4.0).

Is NGVT overvalued or undervalued?

Ingevity Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 12.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NGVT?

10 analysts cover NGVT with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $81.

What does Ingevity Corporation do?Ingevity makes specialty chemicals in three segments: Performance Materials (activated carbon for automotive...

Ingevity makes specialty chemicals in three segments: Performance Materials (activated carbon for automotive evaporative emissions control), Performance Chemicals (pavement technologies, road markings), and Advanced Polymer Technologies (caprolactone-based products). Following a 2025 strategic review, the company is divesting APT and road markings to focus on Performance Materials and Pavement Technologies.

Related stocks: ECVT (Ecovyst Inc.) · ESI (Element Solutions Inc.) · FUL (H. B. Fuller Company) · KWR (Quaker Houghton) · PRM (Perimeter Solutions, SA)