Skip to main content

Ingevity Corporation (NGVT) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Basic Materials · Specialty Chemicals

Sell if holding. At $65.79, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1.

Ingevity Corporation makes specialty chemicals and materials across three segments: Performance Materials (activated carbon for automotive emissions control, $606.9M revenue), Performance Chemicals (asphalt pavement and road markings, $400.5M), and Advanced Polymer Technologies... Read more

$65.79+10.5% A.UpsideScore 5.6/10#7 of 36 Specialty Chemicals
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield9.99%
Stop $62.29Target $72.67(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$85.50+30.0%4 analysts
$72.67our TP
$65.79price
$85.50mean
$92

Sell if holding. At $65.79, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 75d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Ingevity Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Attractive valuation
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5)
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Leverage penalty (D/E 32.0): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)11.3
Mkt Cap$2.3B
EV/EBITDA9.5
Profit Mgn-10.9%
ROE-114.1%
Rev Growth4.1%
Beta1.24
DividendNone
Rating analysts10

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

IV38%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.4
Growth Rank
4.4
Value Rank
4.6

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.1
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 28)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.6<4.5A.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 75d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
28 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $64.22Resistance $79.28

Price Targets

$62
$73
A.Upside+10.5%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.6/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (75d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NGVT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $65.79, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $62.29. Score 5.6/10, high confidence.

What is the NGVT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $72.67 (+10.5% upside). Prior stop was $62.29. Stop-loss: $62.29.

What are the risks of investing in NGVT?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.5); Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Leverage penalty (D/E 32.0): -1.5.

Is NGVT overvalued or undervalued?

Ingevity Corporation trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 11.3). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NGVT?

10 analysts cover NGVT with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $86.

What does Ingevity Corporation do?Ingevity Corporation makes specialty chemicals and materials across three segments: Performance Materials (activated...

Ingevity Corporation makes specialty chemicals and materials across three segments: Performance Materials (activated carbon for automotive emissions control, $606.9M revenue), Performance Chemicals (asphalt pavement and road markings, $400.5M), and Advanced Polymer Technologies ($160.2M). It sells primarily to automotive OEM supply chains and pavement contractors. The company is executing a Strategic Portfolio Review to divest its APT segment and road markings business, focusing future operations on Performance Materials and Pavement Technologies.

Related stocks: ECVT (Ecovyst Inc.) · MTX (Minerals Technologies Inc.) · AXTA (Axalta Coating Systems Ltd.) · ALB (Albemarle Corporation) · IOSP (Innospec Inc.)