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NDSNNordson CorporationSell5.8·$318.36+0.27%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Nordson Corporation is a high-quality industrial machinery business with a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9 out of 9, best-in-class margins at 18%, strong momentum with a golden-cross breakout and rising on-balance volume, and 3 consecutive quarters of earnings beats — but the stock has already exceeded its analyst price target and revenue growth of roughly 4.6% is weak for the current valuation of 23.5x forward earnings.

Thesis pillars

  • Best In Class Quality Perfect F ScoreStable
  • Weak Revenue Growth Premium ValuationDeteriorating
  • Breakout Momentum Volume AccumulationDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Nordson Corporation (NDSN) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $318.36 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Nordson is an innovative precision technology company that leverages a scalable growth framework to deliver top tier growth with leading margins and returns. We engineer, manufacture and market differentiated products and systems used for precision dispensing, applying and... Read more

$318.36-4.4% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#16 of 55 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.46%
IncomeYield1.18%(5y avg 1.08%)Payout33.20%sustainable
Stop $301.76Target $332.34(resistance)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$349.71+9.8%7 analysts
$332.34our TP
$318.36price
$349.71mean
$282
$375

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $318.36 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 95d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-05
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Dec 9, 202695d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.7 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.3
P/E (Fwd)24.6
Mkt Cap$17.7B
EV/EBITDA20.3
Profit Mgn18.6%
ROE17.8%
Rev Growth10.3%
Beta0.97
Dividend1.18%
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C1.82bearish
IV36%normal
Max Pain$400+25.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.0<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.0>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 95d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $302.92Resistance $339.12

Price Targets

$302
$332
A.Upside-4.4%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-4.4% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-12-09 (95d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is NDSN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $318.36 — A.R:R is negative (-0.8) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $301.76. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the NDSN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $332.34 (-4.4% upside). Prior stop was $301.76. Stop-loss: $301.76.

What are the risks of investing in NDSN?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is NDSN overvalued or undervalued?

Nordson Corporation trades at a P/E of 32.3 (forward 24.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about NDSN?

15 analysts cover NDSN with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $350.

What does Nordson Corporation do?Nordson is an innovative precision technology company that leverages a scalable growth framework to deliver top tier...

Nordson is an innovative precision technology company that leverages a scalable growth framework to deliver top tier growth with leading margins and returns. We engineer, manufacture and market differentiated products and systems used for precision dispensing, applying and controlling of adhesives, coatings, polymers, sealants, biomaterials, and other fluids, to test and inspect for quality, and to treat and cure surfaces and various medical products such as: catheters, cannulas, medical ball...

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