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MYGNMyriad Genetics, Inc.Sell4.7·$5.50-3.43%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Myriad Genetics faces a sharp revenue decline and a failed Rule of 40 score, with late-cycle momentum risk and modest insider selling adding to the caution despite a strong earnings-surprise average.

Thesis pillars

  • Rule Of Forty FailureStable
  • Sharp Revenue DeclineStable
  • Late Cycle Momentum RiskDeteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Myriad Genetics, Inc. (MYGN) Stock Analysis

Inst Constrain edge

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5GrowthModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Diagnostics & Research

Earnings in 6 days (2026-07-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.50: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Myriad Genetics develops and commercializes molecular diagnostic tests spanning hereditary cancer risk (MyRisk), companion diagnostics (BRACAnalysis CDx, MyChoice CDx), prostate and breast cancer prognostics (Prolaris, EndoPredict), prenatal screening (Prequel, Foresight,... Read more

$5.50-3.1% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#28 of 32 Diagnostics & Research
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield-8.56%
Stop $5.22Target $6.30(resistance)A.R:R -0.3:1
Analyst target$6.25+13.6%8 analysts
$6.30our TP
$5.50price
$6.25mean
$4
$10

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.50: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/9 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Myriad Genetics, Inc.

About Myriad Genetics, Inc.

Myriad Genetics sells its MyRisk hereditary cancer test across eleven cancer types and BRACAnalysis CDx, the only FDA-approved germline BRCA companion diagnostic for breast cancer with additional approvals in ovarian, pancreatic and prostate cancer, alongside MyChoice CDx, an HRD companion diagnostic validated in more than 20,000 patients. The company invested $106.8 million in research and development during 2025, down from $113.4 million in 2024, as it advanced newer tests including Precise MRD for molecular residual disease monitoring and FirstGene, a combined prenatal screen in early-access clinical study. Myriad primarily sells through its own sales force in the United States and Japan, expanding into Europe and Asia-Pacific through indirect distribution channels.

Myriad organizes its testing menu around three franchises: Oncology, spanning hereditary cancer risk, companion diagnostics and molecular residual disease monitoring; Women's Health, covering prenatal screening and carrier testing; and Mental Health, anchored by the GeneSight pharmacogenomic test used to guide antidepressant and ADHD medication selection. The company competes against Natera, Foundation Medicine, Caris Life Sciences, Tempus, LabCorp, Quest Diagnostics, Veracyte, Guardant Health, MDxHealth and NeoGenomics across its oncology and diagnostics businesses, differentiating through its brand reputation in hereditary cancer testing and community-medicine commercial reach. In August 2024, Myriad divested its EndoPredict business to Eurobio Scientific while retaining rights to sell EndoPredict as a laboratory-developed test outside the European Union, and the company plans to discontinue U.S. EndoPredict sales during the first half of 2026 as it shifts focus toward the Cancer Care Continuum.

Show full overview

Myriad frames molecular residual disease testing, through its Precise MRD assay, as a significant new growth opportunity, but the test remains newly commercialized and competes in a market where Natera and Guardant Health already hold established MRD franchises with longer clinical track records. Because Myriad's community-medicine commercial reach is its stated competitive advantage for winning MRD share rather than a first-mover technology edge, the ultimate size of this opportunity depends on physician adoption patterns that the 10-K does not yet quantify with test-volume or revenue-contribution figures specific to Precise MRD.

See also: Healthcare · Diagnostics & Research

From Myriad Genetics, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 20266d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Target reached (-3.1% upside)
Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)37.7
Mkt Cap$538M
EV/EBITDA-3.5
Profit Mgn-41.3%
ROE-23.5%
Rev Growth-20.8%
Beta1.64
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.41bullish
IV151%elevated

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-06-23Item 5.02LOW
    On June 17, 2026 director Daniel M. Skovronsky notified the Board of his resignation, effective immediately, not due to any disagreement with the company's operations, policies or practices. No successor named.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-06-04Item 5.02LOW
    At Myriad Genetics' 2026 annual meeting, stockholders approved a 4,000,000-share increase to the Employee Stock Purchase Plan and a new 2026 Equity Incentive Plan reserving 8,463,567 shares. Routine equity-compensation plan approvals.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
1.3
Macd
2.0
Ma Position
3.0
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.3%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Unprofitable operations — net margin -41.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Rule Of 40
3.0
Moat
4.8
Piotroski F
5.6
Current Ratio
9.0
Gross Margin
9.6
Cash-burning: FCF -8% of revenueNo competitive moatRule of 40: -29 (fail)
GatesMomentum 2.2<4.5A.R:R -0.3=NEGATIVEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $5.34Resistance $6.43

Price Targets

$5
$6
A.Upside-3.1%
A.R:R-0.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.1% upside)
! Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MYGN stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $5.50: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.7/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $5.22. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MYGN stock price target?

Take-profit target: $6.30 (-3.1% upside). Prior stop was $5.22. Stop-loss: $5.22.

What are the risks of investing in MYGN?

Target reached (-3.1% upside); Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0).

Is MYGN overvalued or undervalued?

Myriad Genetics, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 37.7). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MYGN?

15 analysts cover MYGN with a consensus score of 2.6/5. Average price target: $6.

What does Myriad Genetics, Inc. do?Myriad Genetics develops and commercializes molecular diagnostic tests spanning hereditary cancer risk (MyRisk),...

Myriad Genetics develops and commercializes molecular diagnostic tests spanning hereditary cancer risk (MyRisk), companion diagnostics (BRACAnalysis CDx, MyChoice CDx), prostate and breast cancer prognostics (Prolaris, EndoPredict), prenatal screening (Prequel, Foresight, FirstGene, SneakPeek) and pharmacogenomic mental-health testing (GeneSight). The company sells these tests to providers and health systems primarily in the United States and Japan, competing against Natera, Foundation Medicine, Caris Life Sciences, Tempus, LabCorp and Quest Diagnostics. Myriad spent $106.8 million on research

Related stocks: NEO (NeoGenomics, Inc.) · VCYT (Veracyte, Inc.) · SHC (Sotera Health Company) · WGS (GeneDx Holdings Corp.) · CDNA (CareDx, Inc.)
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