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Veracyte, Inc. (VCYT) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellModerate Confidence

Healthcare · Diagnostics & Research

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $42.52: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.33.

Veracyte is a global diagnostics company offering molecular tests for cancer including Decipher Prostate, Afirma (thyroid), Prosigna (breast), and Decipher Bladder, performed in CLIA labs in California and Texas plus IVD distribution internationally. Revenue comes from testing... Read more

$42.52-1.3% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#3 of 26 Diagnostics & Research
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield3.14%
Stop $39.71Target $42.14(resistance)A.R:R -0.2:1
Analyst target$47.40+11.5%10 analysts
$42.14our TP
$42.52price
$47.40mean
$37
$55

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $42.52: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.33. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 78. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Veracyte, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Product: Decipher Prostate and Afirma tests
Concentration risk — Supplier: sole suppliers for reagents, equipment, and materials
Target reached (-3.4% upside)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)38.6
P/E (Fwd)21.9
Mkt Cap$3.3B
EV/EBITDA28.1
Profit Mgn16.2%
ROE6.9%
Rev Growth21.5%
Beta1.89
DividendNone
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.33bearish
IV68%elevated
Max Pain$25-41.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHProductDecipher Prostate and Afirma tests
    10-K Item 1A: 'financial results currently depend mainly on sales of our Decipher Prostate and Afirma laboratory developed tests (LDTs)'
  • MEDIUMCustomerMedicare Fee-For-Service34%
    10-K Item 1: 'Medicare Fee-For-Service accounted for 34%, 33% and 35% of our testing revenue'
  • HIGHSuppliersole suppliers for reagents, equipment, and materials
    10-K Item 1A: 'We rely on sole suppliers for some of the reagents, equipment, and other materials used to perform or develop our tests, as well as certain sole source providers for kit components'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-16Item 5.02LOW
    Veracyte appointed Dr. Kevin Haas (age 40), former CTO at Myriad Genetics, as Chief Development and Technology Officer effective March 24, 2026. New role; no departure cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Volatile — 5.5% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Days To Cover
0.8
Implied Vol
2.0
Debt Equity
2.1
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Beta
3.7
Short Interest
4.9
News Risk
6.0
Elevated put/call: 2.33High IV: 68%Above max pain $25Concentration risks: 2 HIGH, 1 MED (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.3
Bollinger
1.3
Gap
5.0
52w Position
6.8

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
2.7
Quality Rank
5.9
Growth Rank
6.5
GatesA.R:R -0.2=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
78 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $31.16Resistance $43.00

Price Targets

$40
$42
A.Upside-0.9%
A.R:R-0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.4% upside)
! Risk below floor (2.5 < 3.0)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is VCYT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $42.52: a dimension score below its floor triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10. Specifically: High short interest: 10%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.33. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 78. Prior stop was $39.71. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the VCYT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $42.14 (-1.3% upside). Prior stop was $39.71. Stop-loss: $39.71.

What are the risks of investing in VCYT?

Concentration risk — Product: Decipher Prostate and Afirma tests; Concentration risk — Supplier: sole suppliers for reagents, equipment, and materials; Target reached (-3.4% upside).

Is VCYT overvalued or undervalued?

Veracyte, Inc. trades at a P/E of 38.6 (forward 21.9). TrendMatrix value score: 5.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about VCYT?

19 analysts cover VCYT with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $47.

What does Veracyte, Inc. do?Veracyte is a global diagnostics company offering molecular tests for cancer including Decipher Prostate, Afirma...

Veracyte is a global diagnostics company offering molecular tests for cancer including Decipher Prostate, Afirma (thyroid), Prosigna (breast), and Decipher Bladder, performed in CLIA labs in California and Texas plus IVD distribution internationally. Revenue comes from testing services billed to Medicare (34%), Medicare Advantage (18%), and commercial payers (47%).

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