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HSBC Holdings, plc. (HSBC) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Financial Services · Banks - Diversified

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $90.13 — A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.9% away).

HSBC Holdings plc engages in the provision of banking and financial products and services worldwide. It operates through four segments: Hong Kong, UK, Corporate and Institutional Banking, and International Wealth and Premier Banking. The Hong Kong segment is involved in the... Read more

$90.13+2.7% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#16 of 19 Banks - Diversified
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield
IncomeYield4.24%(5y avg 4.98%)Payout61.98%
Stop $85.59Target $92.60(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 0.5:1
Analyst target$108.94+20.9%3 analysts
$92.60our TP
$90.13price
$108.94mean
$132

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $90.13 — A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.9% away). Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — HSBC Holdings, plc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Financial Services): +1.0
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (4.9% away)
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.6
P/E (Fwd)9.5
Mkt Cap$303.1B
EV/EBITDA
Profit Mgn35.0%
ROE11.6%
Rev Growth3.3%
Beta0.57
Dividend4.24%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C0.04bullish
IV34%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.5
Revenue Growth
3.3

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.6
Value Rank
2.1
Quality Rank
6.3
Best-in-class margins

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Dividend Safety
4.2
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesA.R:R 0.5 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.5<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.5>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
52 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $84.75Resistance $92.31

Price Targets

$86
$93
A.Upside+2.7%
A.R:R0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (2.7% upside)
! NEWS_MOD=-1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → SELL_IF_HOLDING
! Reward/Risk 0.5:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-04 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HSBC stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $90.13 — A.R:R 0.5:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (4.9% away). Chart setup: RSI 52 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $85.59. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HSBC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $92.60 (+2.7% upside). Prior stop was $85.59. Stop-loss: $85.59.

What are the risks of investing in HSBC?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (4.9% away); V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.2).

Is HSBC overvalued or undervalued?

HSBC Holdings, plc. trades at a P/E of 14.6 (forward 9.5). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about HSBC?

22 analysts cover HSBC with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $109.

What does HSBC Holdings, plc. do?HSBC Holdings plc engages in the provision of banking and financial products and services worldwide. It operates...

HSBC Holdings plc engages in the provision of banking and financial products and services worldwide. It operates through four segments: Hong Kong, UK, Corporate and Institutional Banking, and International Wealth and Premier Banking. The Hong Kong segment is involved in the retail banking and wealth and commercial banking of HSBC Hong Kong and Hang Seng Bank. The UK segment engages in UK retail banking and wealth, as well as first direct and M&S Bank, UK Commercial Banking, and HSBC Innovation Bank. The Corporate and Institutional Banking segment is involved in transaction banking and capital markets. The International Wealth and Premier Banking segment is involved in the business comprising premier banking outside of Hong Kong and the UK, its private bank, asset management, and insurance businesses. The company was founded in 1865 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

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