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Motorola Solutions, Inc. (MSI) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Technology · Communication Equipment

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $395.92 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.7): -1.5; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Motorola Solutions develops mission-critical safety and security technologies for public safety, government, and enterprise customers through MCN (Mission Critical Networks), Video, and Command Center product lines. Revenue of ~$11.7B in 2025 comes from devices, infrastructure,... Read more

$395.92+11.3% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#15 of 21 Communication Equipment
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield2.74%
IncomeYield1.21%(5y avg 1.12%)Payout37.10%sustainable
Stop $369.81Target $440.69(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$506.55+27.9%11 analysts
$440.69our TP
$395.92price
$506.55mean
$530

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $395.92 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.7): -1.5; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

Val4.7Qual7.2Grw2.1Mom2.0Sent7.0Ins3.4Peer3.9Tech7.2Risk5.74.7OVERALL

Recent Developments — Motorola Solutions, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.2 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.7): -1.5
Weak overall score: 4.7/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)32.2
P/E (Fwd)21.6
Mkt Cap$66.2B
EV/EBITDA21.4
Profit Mgn17.6%
ROE99.3%
Rev Growth7.4%
Beta0.94
Dividend1.21%
Rating analysts19

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.14bearish
IV33%normal
Max Pain$300-24.2% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWGeographicinternational (outside North America)28%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, 28% of our revenue was generated outside of North America.'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-12Item 5.02LOW
    Peter A. Leav joined the Board as director and member of Compensation and Leadership Committee, effective March 12, 2026. Currently Senior Advisor at TPG Inc. No reason cited.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.2%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
4.3

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.1
Value Rank
5.1
Quality Rank
8.4
Superior ROE vs peers
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5A.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
31 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $381.25Resistance $444.82

Price Targets

$370
$441
A.Upside+11.3%
A.R:R1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 2.0/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MSI stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $395.92 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.7): -1.5; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $369.81. Score 4.7/10, high confidence.

What is the MSI stock price target?

Take-profit target: $440.69 (+11.3% upside). Prior stop was $369.81. Stop-loss: $369.81.

What are the risks of investing in MSI?

Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Leverage penalty (D/E 3.7): -1.5; Weak overall score: 4.7/10.

Is MSI overvalued or undervalued?

Motorola Solutions, Inc. trades at a P/E of 32.2 (forward 21.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MSI?

19 analysts cover MSI with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $507.

What does Motorola Solutions, Inc. do?Motorola Solutions develops mission-critical safety and security technologies for public safety, government, and...

Motorola Solutions develops mission-critical safety and security technologies for public safety, government, and enterprise customers through MCN (Mission Critical Networks), Video, and Command Center product lines. Revenue of ~$11.7B in 2025 comes from devices, infrastructure, software, and managed services sold to 100,000+ customers in 100+ countries.

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