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ROCKGibraltar Industries, Inc.Sell5.0·$40.88
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Gibraltar Industries is a building products company with 45% year-over-year revenue growth and 70% analyst upside to price targets, but a quality score well below the minimum acceptable threshold and two consecutive earnings misses indicate the rapid growth is not translating into durable business quality.

Thesis pillars

  • 45 Pct Revenue Growth Industry Leader→Stable
  • Quality Below Floor Earnings Misses→Stable
  • 70 Pct Analyst Upside Valuation Gap↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Gibraltar Industries, Inc. (ROCK) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup · Inst Constrain edge

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Earnings today — results expected after close (2026-11-05). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $40.88: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 4.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.20; Below-average business quality.

Gibraltar Industries manufactures building products and engineered solutions across three segments - Residential (roofing accessories, rainwater management, mail and package systems), Agtech (controlled-environment agriculture structures and canopies), and Infrastructure (bridge... Read more

$40.88+56.5% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#21 of 26 Building Products & Equipment
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield25.35%
Stop $38.02Analyst target $63.96(−15% haircut)A.R:R 4.4:1
Analyst consensus$75.25+84.1%4 analysts with price targets
$63.96Analyst target
$40.88price
$75.25mean
$86

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $40.88: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 4.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.20; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 67. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Oct 30, 2026

Recent Developments — Gibraltar Industries, Inc.

Latest item Oct 30, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T12:04:37Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 2026Earnings today — results expected after close· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)20.2
P/E (Fwd)8.6
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA12.7
Profit Mgn-10.4%
ROE6.2%
Rev Growth64.6%
Beta1.31
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings9

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C3.20bearish
IV77%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerhome improvement retailer12%
    10-K Item 1: 'One customer, a home improvement retailer which purchases from the Residential segment, represented 12%, 16% and 17% of the Company's consolidated net sales for the years ended December 31, 2025, 2024, and 2023, respectively.'
  • MEDIUMCustomerten largest customers43%
    10-K Item 1A: 'The Company's ten largest customers accounted for approximately 43%, 42%, and 46% of the Company's net sales during 2025, 2024, and 2023, respectively'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.8
52w Position
0.9
Support Resistance
3.4

Unprofitable operations — net margin -10.4%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
1.1
Roe
2.1
Roa
3.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Operating Margin
4.9
Moat
4.9
Current Ratio
5.4
No competitive moat
GatesMomentum 4.1<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dA.R:R 4.4 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Speculative
RSI
67 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $35.63Resistance $43.56

Price Targets

$38
$64
A.Upside+56.5%
A.R:R4.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
! momentum at 4.1 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (Earnings today — results expected after close)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ROCK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $40.88: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10 and A.R:R 4.4:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Elevated put/call ratio: 3.20; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 67. Prior stop was $38.02. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ROCK stock price target?

Analyst target: $63.96 (+56.5% upside). Prior stop was $38.02. Stop-loss: $38.02.

What are the risks of investing in ROCK?

Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0).

Is ROCK overvalued or undervalued?

Gibraltar Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 20.2 (forward 8.6). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ROCK?

9 analysts rate ROCK, with a consensus score of 4.1/5. 4 analysts publish price targets averaging $75.

What does Gibraltar Industries, Inc. do?Gibraltar Industries manufactures building products and engineered solutions across three segments - Residential...

Gibraltar Industries manufactures building products and engineered solutions across three segments - Residential (roofing accessories, rainwater management, mail and package systems), Agtech (controlled-environment agriculture structures and canopies), and Infrastructure (bridge and highway components) - serving the U.S. and Canada from 34 facilities as of December 31, 2025. The company sells primarily through home improvement retailers, wholesalers, distributors, and contractors, and closed its $1.335 billion acquisition of OmniMax International in February 2026, expanding its Residential seg

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