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Gibraltar Industries, Inc. (ROCK) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Earnings in 6 days (2026-05-07). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $38.95: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 6.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.

Gibraltar Industries, Inc. manufactures and provides products and services for the residential, agtech, and infrastructure markets in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Residential, Agtech, and Infrastructure. The Residential... Read more

$38.95+57.1% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#1 of 18 Building Products & Equipment
Stop $36.22Target $61.20(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 6.3:1
Analyst target$72.00+84.9%3 analysts
$61.20our TP
$38.95price
$72.00mean
$86

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $38.95: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 6.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 46. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)11.5
P/E (Fwd)7.9
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA6.1
Profit Mgn-3.9%
ROE9.8%
Rev Growth16.0%
Beta1.36
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.21bullish
IV101%elevated
Max Pain$70+79.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Unprofitable operations — net margin -3.9%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
1.4
Roe
3.3
Operating Margin
3.8
Roa
4.2
Moat
5.0
Current Ratio
6.2
Piotroski F
6.7
No competitive moat
GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)EARNINGS PROXIMITY 6d<=7dMomentum 4.8<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.8>=4.5A.R:R 6.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $37.30Resistance $41.81

Price Targets

$36
$61
A.Upside+57.1%
A.R:R6.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:6d<=7d

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-07 (6d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ROCK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $38.95: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.0/10 and A.R:R 6.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 46. Prior stop was $36.22. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ROCK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $61.20 (+57.1% upside). Prior stop was $36.22. Stop-loss: $36.22.

What are the risks of investing in ROCK?

Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is ROCK overvalued or undervalued?

Gibraltar Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 11.5 (forward 7.9). TrendMatrix value score: 9.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ROCK?

8 analysts cover ROCK with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $72.

What does Gibraltar Industries, Inc. do?Gibraltar Industries, Inc. manufactures and provides products and services for the residential, agtech, and...

Gibraltar Industries, Inc. manufactures and provides products and services for the residential, agtech, and infrastructure markets in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Residential, Agtech, and Infrastructure. The Residential segment offers roof and foundation ventilation products; mail systems and package solutions, including single mailboxes, and cluster style mail, and parcel boxes for single and multi-family housing; roof edgings and flashings; soffits and trim; drywall corner beads; metal roofing and accessories; rain dispersion products comprising gutters, downspouts and accessories; and exterior retractable awnings. The Agtech segment offers controlled environmental agriculture, and custom greenhouse solutions and structural canopies, including the designing, engineering, manufacturing, construction of the structure, and integration of subsystems for retail, fruits and vegetables, flowers, commercial, institutional and conservatories, and car wash structure applications. The Infrastructure segment offers expansion joints, structural bearings, rubber pre-formed seals and other sealants, elastomeric concrete, and bridge cable protection systems. The company serves home improvement retailers, wholesalers, distributors, and contractors, as well as institutional and commercial growers of fruit, vegetables, flowers, and plants. The company was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Buffalo, New York.

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