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Gibraltar Industries, Inc. (ROCK) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.82: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 6.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 4.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Gibraltar Industries, Inc. manufactures and provides products and services for the residential, agtech, and infrastructure markets in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Residential, Agtech, and Infrastructure. The Residential... Read more

$33.82+72.6% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#3 of 18 Building Products & Equipment
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield6.48%
Stop $32.75Target $58.37(analyst − 15%)A.R:R 6.0:1
Analyst target$68.67+103.0%3 analysts
$58.37our TP
$33.82price
$68.67mean
$86

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.82: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 6.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 4.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 77d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Gibraltar Industries, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)17.0
P/E (Fwd)7.5
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA14.2
Profit Mgn-10.7%
ROE6.6%
Rev Growth44.6%
Beta1.26
DividendNone
Rating analysts8

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C4.00bearish
IV86%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
2.2
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -6.5%/30d — confirmed downtrend

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/3M

Unprofitable operations — net margin -10.7%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
1.2
Roe
2.2
Operating Margin
2.4
Roa
2.6
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
4.9
Current Ratio
5.2
No competitive moatQuality concerns
GatesMomentum 1.5<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 6.0 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 77d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
39 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $33.76Resistance $40.93

Price Targets

$33
$58
A.Upside+72.6%
A.R:R6.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 1.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (77d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ROCK stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $33.82: Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.9/10 and A.R:R 6.0:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 4.00; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 39, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $32.75. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ROCK stock price target?

Take-profit target: $58.37 (+72.6% upside). Prior stop was $32.75. Stop-loss: $32.75.

What are the risks of investing in ROCK?

Quality below floor (2.9 < 4.0).

Is ROCK overvalued or undervalued?

Gibraltar Industries, Inc. trades at a P/E of 17.0 (forward 7.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ROCK?

8 analysts cover ROCK with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $69.

What does Gibraltar Industries, Inc. do?Gibraltar Industries, Inc. manufactures and provides products and services for the residential, agtech, and...

Gibraltar Industries, Inc. manufactures and provides products and services for the residential, agtech, and infrastructure markets in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Residential, Agtech, and Infrastructure. The Residential segment offers roof and foundation ventilation products; mail systems and package solutions, including single mailboxes, and cluster style mail, and parcel boxes for single and multi-family housing; roof edgings and flashings; soffits and trim; drywall corner beads; metal roofing and accessories; rain dispersion products comprising gutters, downspouts and accessories; and exterior retractable awnings. The Agtech segment offers controlled environmental agriculture, and custom greenhouse solutions and structural canopies, including the designing, engineering, manufacturing, construction of the structure, and integration of subsystems for retail, fruits and vegetables, flowers, commercial, institutional and conservatories, and car wash structure applications. The Infrastructure segment offers expansion joints, structural bearings, rubber pre-formed seals and other sealants, elastomeric concrete, and bridge cable protection systems. The company serves home improvement retailers, wholesalers, distributors, and contractors, as well as institutional and commercial growers of fruit, vegetables, flowers, and plants. The company was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Buffalo, New York.

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