MNRO screens with excellent cash conversion and an earnings catalyst backed by a 3-of-4 beat streak, but quality sits below the engine's floor, the asymmetry gate narrowly failed, revenue is declining, and short interest is elevated.
Thesis pillars
- Quality Below Floor Despite Cash Conversion→Stable
- Asymmetry Gate Near Miss→Stable
- Earnings Catalyst With Beat Streak→Stable
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Monro, Inc. (MNRO) Stock Analysis
Catalyst-Driven edge
Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.25: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 28%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.
Monro, Inc. operates 1,115 retail tire and automotive repair stores nationwide, having closed 145 locations under a Store Closure Plan, and relies on American Tire Distributors for managed distribution services since divesting its wholesale operations in June 2022. The company's... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.25: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 28%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 24d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHSuppliertop ten vendors (stocking purchases)88%10-K Item 1: 'Our ten largest vendors accounted for approximately 88 percent of our total stocking purchases, with the largest vendor accounting for approximately 35 percent of total stocking purchases in 2026.'
- MEDIUMSupplierlargest single vendor (stocking purchases)35%10-K Item 1: 'Our ten largest vendors accounted for approximately 88 percent of our total stocking purchases, with the largest vendor accounting for approximately 35 percent of total stocking purchases in 2026.'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers
Revenue shrinking — -7.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $17.25: Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 28%; Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $16.04. Score 4.1/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $19.87 (+15.2% upside). Prior stop was $16.04. Stop-loss: $16.04.
Concentration risk — Supplier: top ten vendors (stocking purchases) (88.0%); Quality below floor (3.1 < 4.0).
Monro, Inc. trades at a P/E of 573.7 (forward 27.8). TrendMatrix value score: 6.2/10. Verdict: Sell.
11 analysts cover MNRO with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $23.
What does Monro, Inc. do?Monro, Inc. operates 1,115 retail tire and automotive repair stores nationwide, having closed 145 locations under a...
Monro, Inc. operates 1,115 retail tire and automotive repair stores nationwide, having closed 145 locations under a Store Closure Plan, and relies on American Tire Distributors for managed distribution services since divesting its wholesale operations in June 2022. The company's ten largest vendors supplied approximately 88% of 2026 stocking purchases, with a single vendor accounting for about 35%.