The company has beaten consensus estimates in each of the last four quarters at an average 12.5% positive surprise, and about 15.5% of headroom remains to the near-term target at a risk/reward of roughly 2.3-to-1; however, elevated leverage at 2.6x debt-to-equity and free cash flow converting at only 40% of net income constrain financial flexibility, and the stock is pulling back below its 200-day moving average while that average remains upward-sloping.
Thesis pillars
- Perfect Beat Streak Strong Surprise↓Deteriorating
- Favorable Risk Reward And Analyst Upside↑Improving
- Elevated Leverage Weak Fcf Conversion→Stable
- +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Atmus Filtration Technologies I (ATMU) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup · Catalyst-Driven edge
Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $43.07: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.
Atmus Filtration Technologies makes filtration products under the Fleetguard brand for on-highway and off-highway commercial vehicles and equipment. Net sales of $1,764.3 million in 2025 were approximately 86% aftermarket and 14% OEM first-fit, with Cummins (18.8%), PACCAR... Read more
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $43.07: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 41. Score 6.2/10, high confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 22d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-15Recent Developments — Atmus Filtration Technologies I
Latest news
- NEWS Atmus Filtration Technologies (ATMU) Recently Broke Out Above the 200-Day Moving Average - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance positive
- NEWS Atmus Filtration Technologies (ATMU) Recently Broke Out Above the 200-Day Moving Average - finance.yahoo.com — finance.yahoo.com positive
- NEWS Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc (ATMU) Technical Analysis: Support, Resistance, Indicators & Moving Averages - Trading — TradingKey neutral
- NEWS Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc (ATMU) Technical Analysis: Support, Resistance, Indicators & Moving Averages - trading — tradingkey.com neutral
- NEWS ATMU (Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc.) notches 15.1 percent Q4 2025 EPS beat, lifting shares 3.8 percent in today’s t — Cổng thông tin điện tử tỉnh Lào Cai positive
Generated 2026-10-15T11:32:13Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
10 dimensions · all in-band
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $43.07: Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 41. Prior stop was $40.19. Score 6.2/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $54.46 (+26.4% upside). Prior stop was $40.19. Stop-loss: $40.19.
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.3): -1.5; Below 200-MA, MA slope -1.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Atmus Filtration Technologies I trades at a P/E of 16.7 (forward 13.4). TrendMatrix value score: 7.3/10. Verdict: Sell.
12 analysts cover ATMU with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $63.
What does Atmus Filtration Technologies I do?Atmus Filtration Technologies makes filtration products under the Fleetguard brand for on-highway and off-highway...
Atmus Filtration Technologies makes filtration products under the Fleetguard brand for on-highway and off-highway commercial vehicles and equipment. Net sales of $1,764.3 million in 2025 were approximately 86% aftermarket and 14% OEM first-fit, with Cummins (18.8%), PACCAR (16.3%), and the Traton Group (11.5%) as the top three customers, together representing about 47% of net sales.