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Atmus Filtration Technologies I (ATMU) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Auto Parts

Earnings in 1 day (2026-05-01). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $55.35. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $62.22. Engine's entry $55.35 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0.

Atmus Filtration Technologies manufactures Fleetguard-brand filtration products for commercial vehicles and off-highway equipment, with approximately 86% of $1,764.3 million in 2025 net sales from the aftermarket. Revenue is driven by OEM first-fit placement and recurring... Read more

$62.22+10.7% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#10 of 26 Auto Parts
Entry $55.35(Support Atr Sticky)Stop $51.29Target $63.05(resistance)A.R:R -0.4:1Setup A.R:R 2.3:1
Analyst target$68.60+10.3%5 analysts
$63.05our TP
$62.22price
$68.60mean
$58
$76

Wait for pullback to $55.35. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $62.22. Engine's entry $55.35 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 1d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.6), Material insider selling (24 sells, 0.16% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)24.2
P/E (Fwd)18.8
Mkt Cap$4.9B
EV/EBITDA17.1
Profit Mgn11.8%
ROE68.5%
Rev Growth9.8%
Beta1.59
Dividend0.36%
Rating analysts11

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.29bullish
IV57%elevated
Max Pain$33-47.8% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomerCummins19%
    10-K Item 1A: 'net sales to Cummins, our largest customer, accounted for approximately 18.8% of our net sales'
  • MEDIUMCustomerPACCAR16%
    10-K Item 1A: 'net sales to PACCAR and the Traton Group accounted for approximately 16.3% and 11.5%, respectively, of our net sales'
  • MEDIUMCustomerTraton Group12%
    10-K Item 1A: 'net sales to PACCAR and the Traton Group accounted for approximately 16.3% and 11.5%, respectively, of our net sales'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-02-06Item 5.02LOW
    Heath Sharp appointed as an independent director on February 5, 2026. Board size increased from seven to eight. No reason cited for prior vacancy.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.4
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
9.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.4<4.5A.R:R -0.4=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 1d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
46 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $55.94Resistance $64.34

Price Targets

$51
$55
$63
A.Upside+1.3%
A.R:R-0.4:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.8% upside)
! Earnings in 1 day - binary event risk
! Momentum score 3.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-01 (1d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ATMU stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $55.35. Weak momentum — blocks BUY_NOW at $62.22. Engine's entry $55.35 (Support Atr Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risks: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0. Chart setup: RSI 46 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Earnings in 1 day. Wait until post-earnings. Target $63.05 (+1.3%), stop $51.29 (−21.3%), Setup A.R:R 2.3:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ATMU stock price target?

Take-profit target: $63.05 (+10.7% upside). Target $63.05 (+1.3%), stop $51.29 (−21.3%), Setup A.R:R 2.3:1. Stop-loss: $51.29.

What are the risks of investing in ATMU?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Leverage penalty (D/E 1.6): -1.0; Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 1.6), Material insider selling (24 sells, 0.16% of cap).

Is ATMU overvalued or undervalued?

Atmus Filtration Technologies I trades at a P/E of 24.2 (forward 18.8). TrendMatrix value score: 5.7/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about ATMU?

11 analysts cover ATMU with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $69.

What does Atmus Filtration Technologies I do?Atmus Filtration Technologies manufactures Fleetguard-brand filtration products for commercial vehicles and off-highway...

Atmus Filtration Technologies manufactures Fleetguard-brand filtration products for commercial vehicles and off-highway equipment, with approximately 86% of $1,764.3 million in 2025 net sales from the aftermarket. Revenue is driven by OEM first-fit placement and recurring aftermarket replacement demand across a global footprint in over 25 countries.

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