McCormick & Company, Incorporat (MKC-V) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the MKC-V stock price target?

Take-profit $51.71 (+10.1% upside). Target $51.71 (+10.1%), stop $44.02 (−6.7%), A.R:R 0.0:1.

Q: What are the risks of investing in MKC-V?

Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend); Momentum score 4.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum; Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA.

Q: Is MKC-V overvalued or undervalued?

McCormick & Company, Incorporat trades at a P/E of 7.7 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Overall verdict: Hold.

HoldModerate ConfidenceUpdated 16 hr ago (May 20, 2026, 1:41 AM ET)

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $46.96, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

McCormick manufactures and markets herbs, spices, seasonings, condiments, and flavor solutions globally through Consumer (~58% of 2025 net sales) and Flavor Solutions (~42%) segments. Products reach retailers in ~150 countries and multinational food manufacturers; approximately... Read more

$46.96+10.1% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#6 of 26 Packaged Foods

QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.97%

IncomeYield4.11%(5y avg 2.07%)Payout30.00%sustainable

Stop $44.02Target $51.71(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $46.96, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards

Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8

Margin of safety: 49%

Wide economic moat

Risks

Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.7

P/E (Fwd)—

Mkt Cap$12.6B

EV/EBITDA13.2

Profit Mgn23.1%

ROE25.3%

Rev Growth16.7%

Beta0.67

Dividend4.11%

Rating analysts—

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

LOWCustomerWal-Mart Stores, Inc.12%
10-K Item 1: 'Sales to one of our Consumer segment customers, Wal-Mart Stores, Inc., accounted for consolidated sales of approximately 12% in 2025, 2024, and 2023.'
LOWCustomerPepsiCo, Inc.12%
10-K Item 1: 'Sales to one of our Flavor Solutions segment customers, PepsiCo, Inc., accounted for consolidated sales of approximately 12% in 2025'
MEDIUMCustomertop two large customers24%
10-K Item 1A: 'two large customers that, in the aggregate, constituted approximately 24% of consolidated sales in 2025'
MEDIUMCustomertop three Flavor Solutions customers49%
10-K Item 1: 'the top three customers in our Flavor Solutions segment represented 49% of our global Flavor Solutions sales'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

2026-04-17Item 5.02LOW
Andrew Foust appointed Chief Integration Officer for Unilever combination on April 15, 2026; remains executive officer. Patrick Davis appointed Interim President Americas while Foust leads integration.
SEC filing →
2026-03-18Item 5.02MEDIUM
Gregory Repas (VP & Controller, Principal Accounting Officer) retiring July 1, 2026; stepping down April 1, 2026. Julie Giese appointed VP & Controller and PAO effective April 1, 2026 as successor.
SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value5.815%0.87

Quality5.715%0.85

Growth6.715%1.00

Momentum4.210%0.42

Sentiment5.010%0.50

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank5.610%0.56

Technical Setup5.45%0.27

Risk Profile8.25%0.41

Catalyst7.05%0.35

Overall (Σ contributions)5.74

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate

RSI

31 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $44.30Resistance $52.77

Price Targets

$44

$52

A.Upside+10.1%

A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 4.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for MKC-V.

The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is MKC-V stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $46.96, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reason: Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $51.71 (+10.1%), stop $44.02 (−6.7%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MKC-V stock price target?

Take-profit target: $51.71 (+10.1% upside). Target $51.71 (+10.1%), stop $44.02 (−6.7%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $44.02.

What are the risks of investing in MKC-V?

Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is MKC-V overvalued or undervalued?

McCormick & Company, Incorporat trades at a P/E of 7.7 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What does McCormick & Company, Incorporat do?McCormick manufactures and markets herbs, spices, seasonings, condiments, and flavor solutions globally through...