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MKC-VMcCormick & Company, IncorporatHold5.7·$47.04-1.90%
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McCormick & Company, Incorporat (MKC-V) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $47.04, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

McCormick manufactures and distributes herbs, spices, seasonings, condiments, and flavor solutions globally in two segments — Consumer (58% of 2025 net sales) and Flavor Solutions (42%) — with approximately 39% of sales from non-U.S. operations and 14,100 employees. Walmart and... Read more

$47.04+4.2% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#8 of 26 Packaged Foods
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.89%
IncomeYield4.00%(5y avg 2.11%)Payout30.00%sustainable
Stop $44.33Target $49.00(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $47.04, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/9 gates (clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Margin of safety: 48%
Wide economic moat
Risks
Negative momentum
Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.9
P/E (Fwd)
Mkt Cap$12.9B
EV/EBITDA13.4
Profit Mgn23.1%
ROE25.3%
Rev Growth16.7%
Beta0.64
Dividend4.00%
Rating analysts

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWCustomerWal-Mart Stores, Inc.12%
    10-K Item 1: 'Sales to one of our Consumer segment customers, Wal-Mart Stores, Inc., accounted for consolidated sales of approximately 12% in 2025'
  • LOWCustomerPepsiCo, Inc.12%
    10-K Item 1: 'Sales to one of our Flavor Solutions segment customers, PepsiCo, Inc., accounted for consolidated sales of approximately 12% in 2025'
  • MEDIUMCustomertop three Flavor Solutions customers49%
    10-K Item 1: 'the top three customers in our Flavor Solutions segment represented 49% of our global Flavor Solutions sales'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-26Item 5.02LOW
    Cindy Hoots appointed to McCormick Board effective June 1, 2026, joining Audit Committee. Ms. Hoots is recently retired Chief Digital Officer and CIO of AstraZeneca PLC. No departures cited.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-04-17Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Andrew Foust, President Americas, appointed Chief Integration Officer for Unilever PLC foods combination. Patrick Davis named Interim President Americas. Foust expected to return to President Americas post-integration.
    SEC filing →
  • 2026-03-18Item 5.02MEDIUM
    Gregory P. Repas retiring as VP & Controller (Principal Accounting Officer) effective April 1, 2026. Julie Giese appointed successor VP & Controller and PAO effective April 1, 2026 at $400,000 annual base salary.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Volume
2.5
Rsi
4.5
Macd
10.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.1%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.8<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentInsider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
47 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $45.70Resistance $50.00

Price Targets

$44
$49
A.Upside+4.2%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 3.8 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

We could not retrieve earnings history for MKC-V.
The company may be recently listed, pre-revenue, or its beat/miss record wasn't available from our source this run. Earnings signals feed the Growth and Catalyst score dimensions — absence here doesn't affect other dimensions.

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MKC-V stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $47.04, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 47. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $49.00 (+4.2%), stop $44.33 (−6.1%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MKC-V stock price target?

Take-profit target: $49.00 (+4.2% upside). Target $49.00 (+4.2%), stop $44.33 (−6.1%), A.R:R 0.0:1. Stop-loss: $44.33.

What are the risks of investing in MKC-V?

Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.1%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is MKC-V overvalued or undervalued?

McCormick & Company, Incorporat trades at a P/E of 7.9 (forward N/A). TrendMatrix value score: 5.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

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What does McCormick & Company, Incorporat do?McCormick manufactures and distributes herbs, spices, seasonings, condiments, and flavor solutions globally in two...

McCormick manufactures and distributes herbs, spices, seasonings, condiments, and flavor solutions globally in two segments — Consumer (58% of 2025 net sales) and Flavor Solutions (42%) — with approximately 39% of sales from non-U.S. operations and 14,100 employees. Walmart and PepsiCo each represented roughly 12% of 2025 consolidated sales, and the top three Flavor Solutions customers accounted for 49% of global Flavor Solutions sales.

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