McCormick & Company, Incorporat (MKC) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the MKC stock price target?

Take-profit $53.61 (+13.5% upside). Target $53.61 (+13.5%), stop $44.37 (−6.5%), A.R:R 2.2:1.

HoldModerate ConfidenceUpdated 16 hr ago (May 20, 2026, 1:36 AM ET)

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

McCormick manufactures and markets herbs, spices, seasonings, condiments, and flavor solutions globally through Consumer (~58% of 2025 net sales) and Flavor Solutions (~42%) segments. Products reach retailers in ~150 countries and multinational food manufacturers; approximately... Read more

$47.25+13.5% A.UpsideScore 6.0/10#4 of 26 Packaged Foods

QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.97%

IncomeYield4.11%(5y avg 2.07%)Payout30.00%sustainable

Stop $44.37Target $53.61(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.2:1

Analyst target$61.62+30.4%13 analysts

$53.61our TP

$47.25price

$61.62mean

$77

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $47.25, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing); Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 8/10 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — McCormick & Company, Incorporat

Latest news

Stocks For Navigating Inflation Stress — benzinga May 14, 2026 neutral
BTIG Initiates Coverage On McCormick & Co with Neutral Rating — benzinga Apr 14, 2026
Deal Dispatch: McCormick, Unilever Merge, Sysco Acquires Jetro Restaurant Depot For $29 Billion, QVC Considers Bankruptc — benzinga Apr 3, 2026 positive

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards

Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8

Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)

Margin of safety: 49%

Risks

Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing)

Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)7.7

P/E (Fwd)14.0

Mkt Cap$12.6B

EV/EBITDA13.2

Profit Mgn23.1%

ROE25.3%

Rev Growth16.7%

Beta0.67

Dividend4.11%

Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatWideCompounder✓

Options Flow

P/C5.74bearish

IV39%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

LOWCustomerWal-Mart Stores, Inc.12%
10-K Item 1: 'Sales to one of our Consumer segment customers, Wal-Mart Stores, Inc., accounted for consolidated sales of approximately 12% in 2025, 2024, and 2023.'
LOWCustomerPepsiCo, Inc.12%
10-K Item 1: 'Sales to one of our Flavor Solutions segment customers, PepsiCo, Inc., accounted for consolidated sales of approximately 12% in 2025'
MEDIUMCustomertop two large customers24%
10-K Item 1A: 'two large customers that, in the aggregate, constituted approximately 24% of consolidated sales in 2025'
MEDIUMCustomertop three Flavor Solutions customers49%
10-K Item 1: 'the top three customers in our Flavor Solutions segment represented 49% of our global Flavor Solutions sales'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

2026-04-17Item 5.02LOW
Andrew Foust appointed Chief Integration Officer for Unilever combination on April 15, 2026; remains executive officer. Patrick Davis appointed Interim President Americas while Foust leads integration.
SEC filing →
2026-03-18Item 5.02MEDIUM
Gregory Repas (VP & Controller, Principal Accounting Officer) retiring July 1, 2026; stepping down April 1, 2026. Julie Giese appointed VP & Controller and PAO effective April 1, 2026 as successor.
SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value6.815%1.02

Quality5.715%0.85

Growth6.715%1.00

Momentum4.610%0.46

Sentiment7.210%0.72

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank5.710%0.57

Technical Setup5.45%0.27

Risk Profile5.65%0.28

Catalyst5.95%0.30

Overall (Σ contributions)5.98

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

GatesDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 4.6>=4.5A.R:R 2.2 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate

RSI

32 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $44.82Resistance $52.59

Price Targets

$44

$54

A.Upside+13.5%

A.R:R2.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

3/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-07-02 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is MKC stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $47.25, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing); Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $53.61 (+13.5%), stop $44.37 (−6.5%), A.R:R 2.2:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MKC stock price target?

Take-profit target: $53.61 (+13.5% upside). Target $53.61 (+13.5%), stop $44.37 (−6.5%), A.R:R 2.2:1. Stop-loss: $44.37.

What are the risks of investing in MKC?

Cyclical risk: PE expanding 1.8x (earnings normalizing); Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.8%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is MKC overvalued or undervalued?

McCormick & Company, Incorporat trades at a P/E of 7.7 (forward 14.0). TrendMatrix value score: 6.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about MKC?

20 analysts cover MKC with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $62.

What does McCormick & Company, Incorporat do?McCormick manufactures and markets herbs, spices, seasonings, condiments, and flavor solutions globally through...