McCormick is a wide-moat consumer franchise with best-in-class margins and three beats in the last four quarters trading below its 200-day moving average — with earnings nine days away, the technical downtrend may prove transient if the company delivers again, but a persistent free cash flow quality gap warrants ongoing monitoring.
Thesis pillars
- Wide Moat Superior Margins→Stable
- Valuation Margin Of Safety→Stable
- Fcf Conversion Quality Gap→Stable
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
McCormick & Company, Incorporat (MKC) Stock Analysis
Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $44.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.5%; Weak growth.
McCormick manufactures and distributes herbs, spices, seasonings, condiments, and flavor solutions globally in two segments — Consumer (58% of 2025 net sales) and Flavor Solutions (42%) — with approximately 39% of sales from non-U.S. operations and 14,100 employees. Walmart and... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $44.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.5%; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 6/10 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 99d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: moderate.
Recent developments
updated 2026-10-15Recent Developments — McCormick & Company, Incorporat
Latest news
- NEWS McCormick Slides Ahead of Earnings as Investors Weigh Deal Uncertainty - Quiver Quantitative — Quiver Quantitative negative
- NEWS McCormick Slides Ahead of Earnings as Investors Weigh Deal Uncertainty - quiverquant.com — quiverquant.com negative
- NEWS Could McCormick and Company (NYSE:MKC) Reset Its Market Story? - kalkinemedia.com — kalkinemedia.com neutral
- NEWS Could McCormick and Company (NYSE:MKC) Reset Its Market Story? - Kalkine Media — Kalkine Media neutral
- NEWS McCormick (MKC) Set to Report Q2 Earnings with Positive Expectat - GuruFocus — GuruFocus positive
Generated 2026-10-15T11:37:20Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomerWal-Mart Stores, Inc.12%10-K Item 1: 'Sales to one of our Consumer segment customers, Wal-Mart Stores, Inc., accounted for consolidated sales of approximately 12% in 2025'
- LOWCustomerPepsiCo, Inc.12%10-K Item 1: 'Sales to one of our Flavor Solutions segment customers, PepsiCo, Inc., accounted for consolidated sales of approximately 12% in 2025'
- MEDIUMCustomertop three Flavor Solutions customers49%10-K Item 1: 'the top three customers in our Flavor Solutions segment represented 49% of our global Flavor Solutions sales'
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-05-26Item 5.02LOWCindy Hoots appointed to McCormick Board effective June 1, 2026, joining Audit Committee. Ms. Hoots is recently retired Chief Digital Officer and CIO of AstraZeneca PLC. No departures cited.SEC filing →
- 2026-04-17Item 5.02MEDIUMAndrew Foust, President Americas, appointed Chief Integration Officer for Unilever PLC foods combination. Patrick Davis named Interim President Americas. Foust expected to return to President Americas post-integration.SEC filing →
- 2026-03-18Item 5.02MEDIUMGregory P. Repas retiring as VP & Controller (Principal Accounting Officer) effective April 1, 2026. Julie Giese appointed successor VP & Controller and PAO effective April 1, 2026 at $400,000 annual base salary.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security. Our sole compensation is subscription revenue.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $44.80, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Thin upside margin: 6.5%; Weak growth. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $47.72 (+6.5%), stop $42.00 (−6.7%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $47.72 (+6.5% upside). Target $47.72 (+6.5%), stop $42.00 (−6.7%), A.R:R 1.0:1. Stop-loss: $42.00.
Thin upside margin: 6.5%; Weak growth; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.4%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
McCormick & Company, Incorporat trades at a P/E of 8.1 (forward 13.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.0/10. Verdict: Hold.
20 analysts cover MKC with a consensus score of 3.6/5. Average price target: $55.
What does McCormick & Company, Incorporat do?McCormick manufactures and distributes herbs, spices, seasonings, condiments, and flavor solutions globally in two...
McCormick manufactures and distributes herbs, spices, seasonings, condiments, and flavor solutions globally in two segments — Consumer (58% of 2025 net sales) and Flavor Solutions (42%) — with approximately 39% of sales from non-U.S. operations and 14,100 employees. Walmart and PepsiCo each represented roughly 12% of 2025 consolidated sales, and the top three Flavor Solutions customers accounted for 49% of global Flavor Solutions sales.