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McGraw Hill, Inc. (MH) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Education & Training Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.81: Risk below floor (0.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 5.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

McGraw Hill, Inc., doing business as McGraw Hill, provides information solutions for K-12, higher education, and professional markets in the United States and internationally. It operates through K-12, Higher Education, Global Professional, and International segments. The K-12... Read more

$11.81+50.4% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#12 of 15 Education & Training Services
Stop $11.34Target $17.76(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 5.1:1
Analyst target$20.42+72.9%12 analysts
$17.76our TP
$11.81price
$20.42mean
$27

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.81: Risk below floor (0.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 5.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 40d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Risk below floor (0.9 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)6.8
Mkt Cap$2.3B
EV/EBITDA7.7
Profit Mgn-3.4%
ROE-11.8%
Rev Growth4.2%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Days To Cover
0.0
Volatility
0.2
Debt Equity
1.5
Short Interest
1.9
High short interest justified: 16%

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.5
Rsi
3.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.3
Growth Rank
1.3
Value Rank
7.3

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.6
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesMomentum 1.4<4.5A.R:R 5.1 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 40d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
35 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $11.69Resistance $14.97

Price Targets

$11
$18
A.Upside+50.4%
A.R:R5.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (0.9 < 3.0)
! Momentum score 1.4/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-06-09 (40d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MH stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.81: Risk below floor (0.9 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10 and A.R:R 5.1:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $11.34. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MH stock price target?

Take-profit target: $17.76 (+50.4% upside). Prior stop was $11.34. Stop-loss: $11.34.

What are the risks of investing in MH?

Risk below floor (0.9 < 3.0).

Is MH overvalued or undervalued?

McGraw Hill, Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 6.8). TrendMatrix value score: 9.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MH?

21 analysts cover MH with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $20.

What does McGraw Hill, Inc. do?McGraw Hill, Inc., doing business as McGraw Hill, provides information solutions for K-12, higher education, and...

McGraw Hill, Inc., doing business as McGraw Hill, provides information solutions for K-12, higher education, and professional markets in the United States and internationally. It operates through K-12, Higher Education, Global Professional, and International segments. The K-12 segment provides core, supplemental, and intervention curricula to support the needs of the K-12 schools. It sells blended digital and print learning solutions directly to school districts across the United States. The Higher Education segment offers students, instructors, and institutions with adaptive digital learning solutions and content, and instructional materials. Its solutions are used by students enrolled in non-profit colleges and universities, as well as for-profit institutions. This segment sells its higher education solutions to online retailers and distribution partners, as well as sells directly to student through its proprietary e-commerce platform. The Global Professional segment provides students, institutions, and professionals with comprehensive medical and engineering learning solutions. This segment sells digital learning solutions and print materials accessible through a range of mediums for learners and customers. The International segment offers digital and print solutions in approximately 100 countries and 80 languages outside of the United States. This segment, through its distribution network, serve the needs of learners and educators with K-12 and higher education solutions. McGraw Hill, Inc. was formerly known as Mav Holding Corporation and changed its name to McGraw Hill, Inc. in October 2022. The company was founded in 1888 and is headquartered in Columbus, Ohio. McGraw Hill, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Pe Mav Holdings, Llc.

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