Value
7.9/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| P/E | 8.2 |
| P/S | 8.3 |
| EV/EBITDA | 2.3 |
| Fwd P/E | 9.0 |
| PEG | 8.8 |
| Analyst target | 9.0 |
- ▸Forward P/E: 11.9x
- ▸PEG: 0.70
- ▸Attractively valued
MGNI · Why this verdict
Why Magnite (MGNI) is rated SELL
Updated
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
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VerdictSELL
Overall score5.6/10
ConfidenceMEDIUM
MacroRISK_OFF
Per-dimension breakdown
Quality
5.3/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| ROE | 6.4 |
| ROA | 1.6 |
| Gross margin | 8.7 |
| Op margin | 1.9 |
| Net margin | 10.0 |
| Current ratio | 4.0 |
| FCF quality | 0.1 |
| Moat | 7.0 |
| Piotroski F | 7.8 |
- ▸Strong margins: 22%
- ▸Earnings quality RED FLAG: 1% FCF/NI
- ▸Strong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
Growth
4.7/10data confidence 67%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| Rev growth | 3.9 |
| EPS growth | 5.4 |
Momentum
4.4/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| RSI | 3.1 |
| MACD | 8.9 |
| OBV | 1.0 |
| MA position | 6.0 |
| Volume | 2.9 |
- ▸Volume distribution (falling OBV)
- ▸Below 200-MA, MA slope -8.2%/30d — confirmed downtrend
Sentiment
8.8/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| LLM sentiment | 8.2 |
| Analyst rating | 8.6 |
| Price target | 9.6 |
- ▸LLM news sentiment: +0.65 (n=2)
- ▸Analyst upside: 51%
Insider
5.0/10data confidence 50%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| materiality | 5.0 |
| holder change | 5.1 |
- ▸Insider selling (low materiality) — $154,435 (0.007% of mkt cap)
Peer rank
5.2/10data confidence 80%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| value rank | 5.3 |
| quality rank | 8.2 |
| growth rank | 2.2 |
- ▸Attractive P/E vs peers
- ▸Superior ROE vs peers
Technical
2.0/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| bollinger | 2.2 |
| support resistance | 2.7 |
| 52w position | 1.0 |
Risk (lower is worse)
3.6/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| short interest | 5.2 |
| days to cover | 6.1 |
| volatility | 0.0 |
| put call | 0.0 |
| implied vol | 0.0 |
| max pain risk | 7.0 |
| beta | 2.3 |
| debt equity | 8.1 |
- ▸Elevated put/call: 6.46
- ▸High IV: 102%
Catalyst
7.2/10data confidence 100%| Component | Sub-score |
|---|---|
| erm | 5.0 |
| earnings history | 10.0 |
| earnings timing | 5.0 |
| surprise avg | 10.0 |
| news activity | 6.0 |
How the verdict was assembled
Engine trigger
Multiple concerning factors. Consider reducing position.
Engine technical detail
verdict_path:
L4:PATH_F_SELLPassed (5)
- ASYMMETRY:2.1>=1.5
- INSIDER:OK
- EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:58d clear
- SEMI_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
- MATERIALS_CYCLE_PEAK:CLEAR
Failed (2)
- MOMENTUM:4.4<4.5
- DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK
Warning (1)
- 8K_CSUITE_CHANGE:5.02 (officer departure/appointment)
Reward-to-Risk
2.11
Upside
+31.7%
Downside
15.0%
Sizing output
AVOID
SetupRECOVERY — Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 69
EdgeNO_EDGE — No clear edge identified
SuitabilityAGGRESSIVE — Beta 2.31>1.3, MCap $2.1B<$5B
Investment implication
The F-path SELL output reflects an overall score of 4.3 below the 5.6 soft trigger — multiple weakening dimensions accumulated rather than a single hard-floor breach. The strongest dimension ( Sentiment at 8.8) was not enough to lift the adjusted overall above the threshold. Co-occurring failed gates ( MOMENTUM:4.4<4.5, DEATH_CROSS:HARD_BLOCK) reinforce the read. Current asymmetry R:R is 2.11 — supplementary context, not the trigger for this path.
The strongest dimensions are Sentiment at 8.8, Value at 7.9, and Catalyst at 7.2; the weakest are Technical at 2.0, Risk (lower is worse) at 3.6, and Momentum at 4.4. The V9 engine flagged 2 failed gates with 1 warning, producing an asymmetric reward-to-risk of 2.11 and an engine sizing output of AVOID.