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Stagwell Inc. (STGW) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Communication Services · Advertising Agencies

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.29: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality.

Stagwell Inc. is a global marketing services holding company operating in 34+ countries with five segments: Marketing Services, Digital Transformation, Media & Commerce, Communications, and The Marketing Cloud. Revenue comes from 4,500+ clients; top 10 clients were ~18% of... Read more

$6.29+14.1% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#7 of 9 Advertising Agencies
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield20.25%
Stop $5.85Target $7.18(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$8.25+31.2%7 analysts
$7.18our TP
$6.29price
$8.25mean
$10

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.29: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Stagwell Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)89.9
P/E (Fwd)5.3
Mkt Cap$1.6B
EV/EBITDA10.0
Profit Mgn0.6%
ROE2.9%
Rev Growth8.0%
Beta1.23
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.79neutral
IV89%elevated
Max Pain$1-84.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Net Margin
0.3
Roe
1.0
Operating Margin
1.1
Roa
1.5
Gross Margin
3.2
Current Ratio
3.3
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
6.7
Fcf Quality
10.0
Excellent cash conversion: 1000% FCF/NINo competitive moat
GatesA.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Momentum 5.2>=4.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $5.76Resistance $7.12

Price Targets

$6
$7
A.Upside+14.1%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0)
! Reward/Risk 1.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is STGW stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $6.29: Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.2/10. Specifically: High short interest: 11%; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: RSI 42 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $5.85. Score 5.2/10, moderate confidence.

What is the STGW stock price target?

Take-profit target: $7.18 (+14.1% upside). Prior stop was $5.85. Stop-loss: $5.85.

What are the risks of investing in STGW?

Quality below floor (3.6 < 4.0).

Is STGW overvalued or undervalued?

Stagwell Inc. trades at a P/E of 89.9 (forward 5.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.4/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about STGW?

14 analysts cover STGW with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $8.

What does Stagwell Inc. do?Stagwell Inc. is a global marketing services holding company operating in 34+ countries with five segments: Marketing...

Stagwell Inc. is a global marketing services holding company operating in 34+ countries with five segments: Marketing Services, Digital Transformation, Media & Commerce, Communications, and The Marketing Cloud. Revenue comes from 4,500+ clients; top 10 clients were ~18% of revenue and no single client exceeded 4% in 2025.

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