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MBGLMobility Global Inc.Sell5.7·$18.52
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Mobility Global is a high-quality software infrastructure business (Piotroski 8 of 9, top margin scores) that looks attractively valued at an 11.3x forward P/E with 15.9% upside to the analyst target, but growth is weak and earnings estimates are trending down.

Thesis pillars

  • Weak Growth Falling Estimates↓Deteriorating
  • High Quality Business→Stable
  • Attractive Software Valuation→Stable
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Mobility Global Inc. (MBGL) Stock Analysis

SellValueQualityShortModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. At $18.52, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Mobility Global, Inc. provides automotive data, insights, and technology solutions in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, CARFAX and Business-to-Business (B2B). The CARFAX segment provides consumers, dealers, car service providers, and finance and... Read more

$18.52+10.8% A.UpsideScore 5.7/10#50 of 99 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield1.30%Payout0.00%sustainable
Stop $17.36Analyst target $20.52(−13% haircut)A.R:R 1.3:1
Analyst consensus$23.58+27.3%12 analysts
$20.52Analyst target
$18.52price
$23.58mean
$32

Sell if holding. At $18.52, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 22d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-21
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 12, 202622d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.1 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Positive insider activity
Risks
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Earnings estimates trending DOWN
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)42.9
P/E (Fwd)11.5
Mkt Cap$5.4B
EV/EBITDA10.1
Profit Mgn11.3%
ROE—
Rev Growth6.6%
Beta—
Dividend1.30%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C5.14bearish
IV53%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
4.1
GatesA.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotMomentum 5.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 22d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
66 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MASupport $16.95Resistance $19.20

Price Targets

$17
$21
A.Upside+10.8%
A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! asymmetry at 1.3 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-12 (22d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MBGL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $18.52, A.R:R 1.3:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $17.36. Score 5.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MBGL stock price target?

Analyst target: $20.52 (+10.8% upside). Prior stop was $17.36. Stop-loss: $17.36.

What are the risks of investing in MBGL?

Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Weak growth.

Is MBGL overvalued or undervalued?

Mobility Global Inc. trades at a P/E of 42.9 (forward 11.5). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MBGL?

16 analysts cover MBGL with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $24.

What does Mobility Global Inc. do?Mobility Global, Inc. provides automotive data, insights, and technology solutions in the United States and...

Mobility Global, Inc. provides automotive data, insights, and technology solutions in the United States and internationally. It operates in two segments, CARFAX and Business-to-Business (B2B). The CARFAX segment provides consumers, dealers, car service providers, and finance and insurance with vehicle history, valuations, listings, and service reminders through proprietary data estate and brand to help consumers buy the right car at the right price, sell, and maintain vehicles. The B2B segment delivers data, forecasts, and sales and marketing solutions for product planning, supply-chain and technology decisions, market analytics, pricing and incentives, and targeted customer activation to original equipment manufacturers, suppliers, dealers, and finance and insurance markets. This segment also provides suite of solutions, including automotiveMastermind, Polk Auto Solutions, Market Scan, various market reporting tools, and Data Studio platform, as well as vehicle and supply chain forecasting, and global reporting. It sells its products through subscription and non-subscription transactions. The company was formerly known as S&P Global Mobility Holding Company and changed its name to Mobility Global, Inc. in February 2026. The company was incorporated in 2025 and is based in Centreville, Virginia.

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