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MBGLMobility Global Inc.Sell5.5·$17.71
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Mobility Global is a high-quality, moderately undervalued software business with roughly 21% upside to its analyst target, but it just failed the engine's momentum gate and faces declining forward earnings estimates.

Thesis pillars

  • High Quality Software Business→Stable
  • Meaningful Analyst Upside To Target→Stable
  • Momentum Gate Failure↓Deteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Mobility Global Inc. (MBGL) Stock Analysis

Temporary headwind edge

SellValueQualityShortModerate Confidence

Technology · Software - Infrastructure

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $17.71 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8.

Mobility Global, Inc. provides mobility intelligence, offering critical data and analytics across the full vehicle lifecycle. Its portfolio of brands and products includes CARFAX, automotiveMastermind, Polk Automotive Solutions, and Market Scan, supporting automakers, suppliers,... Read more

$17.71+19.2% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#65 of 103 Software - Infrastructure
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield—
IncomeYield1.35%Payout0.00%sustainable
Stop $16.51Target $21.12(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.8:1
Analyst target$24.27+37.1%11 analysts
$21.12our TP
$17.71price
$24.27mean
$32

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $17.71 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 34d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-10-01
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Nov 5, 202634d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
V7 flight-to-quality bonus: +0.5 (Q=8.1 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Attractive valuation
Risks
Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8
Earnings estimates trending DOWN
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)41.8
P/E (Fwd)10.6
Mkt Cap$5.1B
EV/EBITDA9.6
Profit Mgn11.3%
ROE—
Rev Growth6.6%
Beta—
Dividend1.35%
Rating analysts13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C4.50bearish
IV77%elevated
Max Pain$23+27.0% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
4.1

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.9
Ma Position
2.5
Volume
2.7
Rsi
3.0
Capitulation risk (RSI 21, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)
GatesMomentum 2.0<4.5A.R:R 2.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 34d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
21 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MASupport $16.95Resistance $20.90

Price Targets

$17
$21
A.Upside+19.2%
A.R:R2.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! momentum at 2.0 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-05 (34d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is MBGL stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 2.0/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $17.71 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $16.51. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the MBGL stock price target?

Take-profit target: $21.12 (+19.2% upside). Prior stop was $16.51. Stop-loss: $16.51.

What are the risks of investing in MBGL?

Sector modifier (Technology): -0.8; Earnings estimates trending DOWN; Weak growth.

Is MBGL overvalued or undervalued?

Mobility Global Inc. trades at a P/E of 41.8 (forward 10.6). TrendMatrix value score: 7.2/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about MBGL?

13 analysts cover MBGL with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $24.

What does Mobility Global Inc. do?Mobility Global, Inc. provides mobility intelligence, offering critical data and analytics across the full vehicle...

Mobility Global, Inc. provides mobility intelligence, offering critical data and analytics across the full vehicle lifecycle. Its portfolio of brands and products includes CARFAX, automotiveMastermind, Polk Automotive Solutions, and Market Scan, supporting automakers, suppliers, dealer groups, media, financial institutions, and consumers with data, forecast, insights, technology, and innovation. The company was formerly known as S&P Global Mobility Holding Company and changed its name to Mobility Global, Inc. in February 2026. The company was incorporated in 2025 and is based in Centreville, Virginia.

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