Allegiant Travel is an airline trading at 7.2x forward earnings, 42% off its high with 43.2% upside to the analyst target and 37% revenue growth, but quality is below the 4.0 floor, there is no competitive moat, and earnings are due in 3 days.
Thesis pillars
- Quality Below Floor→Stable
- Deep Value With Analyst Upside→Stable
- Rapid Revenue Growth→Stable
- +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning
Pillars as of Nov 1, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026
Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) Stock Analysis
Recovery setup
Industrials · Airlines
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $81.53: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.5/10 and A.R:R 1.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend.
We are a leisure travel company focused on providing travel and leisure services and products to residents of under-served cities in the United States. Our vision is to be the leading airline in the communities we serve, offering reliable, nonstop travel at unbeatable value. We... Read more
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $81.53: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.5/10 and A.R:R 1.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news boost earnings 0.60, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: aggressive.
Recent developments
updated Nov 4, 2026Recent Developments — Allegiant Travel Company
Material events (past 30 days)
- 8K Oct 27, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers Pursuant to the charter of the Nominating and Governance Committee of Allegiant Travel Company (the "Company"), a director is to offer his or her resig...
- 8K Oct 23, 2026 MEDIUM Item 5.02: Allegiant Travel Company | | | | | | (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) | | | | | | | | | | | | | Nevada | | 001-33166 | | 20-4745737 | | (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) | | (Commission File Number) | | (I.R.S.
Latest news
- NEWS Allegiant Travel Company Reports Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results — fiscal.ai Nov 4, 2026
- NEWS Allegiant Travel Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript — benzinga Nov 4, 2026 neutral
- NEWS Allegiant Travel Sees Q4 Adj EPS $1.00-$1.50 vs $0.79 Est — benzinga Nov 4, 2026 positive
- NEWS Allegiant Travel Q3 Adj. EPS $(0.03) Beats $(0.53) Estimate, Sales $961.559M Beat $948.195M Estimate — benzinga Nov 4, 2026 positive
- NEWS Allegiant Releases Pro Forma Financials Reflecting Sun Country Acquisition — fiscal.ai Nov 3, 2026 neutral
Latest item Nov 4, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:28:59Z.
Upcoming dated catalysts
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-10-27Item 5.02MEDIUMDeparture of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers Pursuant to the charter of the Nominating and Governance Committee of Allegiant Travel Company (the "Company"), a director is to offer his or her resig...SEC filing →
- 2026-10-23Item 5.02MEDIUMAllegiant Travel Company | | | | | | (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) | | | | | | | | | | | | | Nevada | | 001-33166 | | 20-4745737 | | (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) | | (Commission File Number) | | (I.R.S.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy
Show full disclosure ▾Hide full disclosure ▴
About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.
Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.
Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.
No paid promotion. TrendMatrix does not accept payment from any issuer, broker, or third party in exchange for coverage of any security.
No fiduciary duty. No fiduciary, advisory, or agency relationship is created between you and TrendMatrix by reading our content or subscribing to our service.
Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $81.53: Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 6.5/10 and A.R:R 1.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 66. Prior stop was $75.82. Score 6.5/10, moderate confidence.
Analyst target: $102.16 (+25.3% upside). Prior stop was $75.82. Stop-loss: $75.82.
Quality below floor (3.5 < 4.0).
Allegiant Travel Company trades at a P/E of 69.7 (forward 8.2). TrendMatrix value score: 8.0/10. Verdict: Sell.
21 analysts rate ALGT, with a consensus score of 4.0/5. 14 analysts publish price targets averaging $117.
What does Allegiant Travel Company do?We are a leisure travel company focused on providing travel and leisure services and products to residents of...
We are a leisure travel company focused on providing travel and leisure services and products to residents of under-served cities in the United States. Our vision is to be the leading airline in the communities we serve, offering reliable, nonstop travel at unbeatable value. We were founded in 1997 and, in conjunction with our initial public offering in 2006, we incorporated in the state of Nevada.