Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) Stock Analysis

Q: What is the ALGT stock price target?

Take-profit $86.84 (+16.3% upside). Prior stop was $69.43.

Q: Is ALGT overvalued or undervalued?

Allegiant Travel Company trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 7.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Overall verdict: Sell.

Q: What do analysts say about ALGT?

17 analysts cover ALGT with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $100.

SellModerate ConfidenceUpdated 1 days ago (May 19, 2026, 8:01 AM ET)

Industrials · Airlines

$73.55+16.3% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#9 of 12 Airlines

QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield-1.38%

Stop $69.43Target $86.84(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.3:1

Analyst target$99.82+35.7%11 analysts

$86.84our TP

$73.55price

$99.82mean

$120

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $73.55: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 76d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Allegiant Travel Company

Latest news

Allegiant Travel Unveils Eight New Nonstop Routes To Florida Offering Budget Fares As Low As $59 One-Way — benzinga May 19, 2026 positive
Reported Saturday, Allegiant Offers Spirit Airlines Passengers 50% Back In Allways Rewards Points And Temporary Fare Fre — benzinga May 4, 2026 positive
Full Transcript: Allegiant Travel Q1 2026 Earnings Call — benzinga Apr 30, 2026 neutral
Allegiant Travel Sees Q2 2026 Adj EPS $(1.00)-$0.00 May Not Be Comparable To $0.95 Est — benzinga Apr 30, 2026 negative
Allegiant Travel Q1 Adj. EPS $3.77 Beats $3.34 Estimate, Sales $732.400M Beat $707.639M Estimate — benzinga Apr 30, 2026 positive

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards

No bull case signals

Risks

Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—

P/E (Fwd)7.5

Mkt Cap$2.0B

EV/EBITDA6.8

Profit Mgn-1.3%

ROE-3.1%

Rev Growth4.8%

Beta1.50

DividendNone

Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.61bullish

IV73%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Overall = weighted sum of the 10 dimension scores. Fundamentals (Value/Quality/Growth) carry 45%; market signals (Momentum/Sentiment/Insider/Peer) carry 40%; structure (Technical/Risk/Catalyst) carries 15%.

DimensionScoreWeightContribution

Value8.915%1.33

Quality2.315%0.34

Growth6.115%0.91

Momentum2.710%0.27

Sentiment7.910%0.79

Insider Activity5.010%0.50

Peer Rank2.510%0.25

Technical Setup6.15%0.30

Risk Profile4.15%0.20

Catalyst3.05%0.15

Overall (Σ contributions)5.06

Small float-rounding may cause last-digit differences between this sum and the displayed Overall.

Unprofitable operations — net margin -1.3%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe

0.0

Net Margin

0.0

Fcf Quality

0.0

Gross Margin

0.6

Roa

1.7

Moat

3.1

Current Ratio

3.6

Piotroski F

5.6

Operating Margin

5.9

Cash-burning: FCF -1% of revenueNo competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank

0.8

Quality Rank

0.9

Value Rank

3.3

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv

1.0

Ma Position

2.2

Macd

2.4

Volume

3.6

Rsi

4.5

Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+5.7%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History

0.0

Surprise Avg

0.0

Erm

5.0

Earnings Timing

5.0

News Activity

5.0

Earnings concerns: 1B/3M

GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5A.R:R 1.3 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 76d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive

RSI

46 · Neutral

↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $70.28Resistance $91.65

Price Targets

$69

$87

A.Upside+18.1%

A.R:R1.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone

Suggested %0.5%

Max %1%

RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0)

! Momentum score 2.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum

! Reward/Risk 1.3:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

1/4 beats

Next Earnings2026-08-03 (76d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first

Loading history...

Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is ALGT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $73.55: Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.1/10. Specifically: High short interest: 16%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $69.43. Score 5.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ALGT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $86.84 (+16.3% upside). Prior stop was $69.43. Stop-loss: $69.43.

What are the risks of investing in ALGT?

Quality below floor (2.3 < 4.0).

Is ALGT overvalued or undervalued?

Allegiant Travel Company trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 7.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ALGT?

17 analysts cover ALGT with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $100.

What does Allegiant Travel Company do?Allegiant Travel Company, a leisure travel company, provides travel and leisure services and products to residents of...

Allegiant Travel Company, a leisure travel company, provides travel and leisure services and products to residents of under-served cities in the United States. The company offers scheduled air transportation on limited-frequency, nonstop flights between underserved cities and leisure destinations. As of February 1, 2026, it operated a fleet of 106 Airbus A320 series aircraft and 16 Boeing 737 series aircraft. The company also provides air-related services and products in conjunction with air transportation, including larger seats, baggage fees, advance seat assignments, travel protection products, change fees, priority boarding, customer convenience fee, food and beverage purchases on board, and other air-related services, as well as use of its call center for purchases. In addition, it offers third party travel products, such as hotel rooms, rental cars, and travel insurance from a third-party insurer; air transportation services; and charter services on a year-round and ad-hoc basis. Further, the company owns and operates a golf course. Allegiant Travel Company was founded in 1997 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.