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Allegiant Travel Company (ALGT) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Airlines

Earnings in 0 days (2026-04-30). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $77.63: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.04; Below-average business quality.

Allegiant Travel Company, a leisure travel company, provides travel and leisure services and products to residents of under-served cities in the United States. The company offers scheduled air transportation on limited-frequency, nonstop flights between underserved cities and... Read more

$77.63+13.4% A.UpsideScore 4.3/10#11 of 12 Airlines
Stop $72.19Target $88.03(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.1:1
Analyst target$101.18+30.3%11 analysts
$88.03our TP
$77.63price
$101.18mean
$120

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $77.63: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.04; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 3/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)7.5
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA8.0
Profit Mgn-1.7%
ROE-4.2%
Rev Growth4.5%
Beta1.63
DividendNone
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C2.04bearish
IV92%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
5.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Volatile — 6.3% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Short Interest
2.0
Debt Equity
3.5
Beta
4.6
Days To Cover
5.6
High short interest justified: 15%Elevated put/call: 2.04High IV: 92%

Unprofitable operations — net margin -1.7%. Quality floor flags this regardless of sector context.static

Roe
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Gross Margin
0.5
Roa
1.3
Operating Margin
2.9
Current Ratio
3.8
Moat
5.0
Piotroski F
5.6
No competitive moatQuality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
0.9
Value Rank
5.0

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Revenue Growth
3.6
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).
GatesMomentum 2.1<4.5A.R:R 1.1 < 1.5@spotEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
40 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $73.08Resistance $95.72

Price Targets

$72
$88
A.Upside+13.4%
A.R:R1.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0)
! Momentum score 2.1/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.1:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-30 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ALGT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $77.63: Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.3/10. Specifically: High short interest: 15%; Elevated put/call ratio: 2.04; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $72.19. Score 4.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ALGT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $88.03 (+13.4% upside). Prior stop was $72.19. Stop-loss: $72.19.

What are the risks of investing in ALGT?

Quality below floor (2.4 < 4.0).

Is ALGT overvalued or undervalued?

Allegiant Travel Company trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 7.5). TrendMatrix value score: 8.5/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ALGT?

17 analysts cover ALGT with a consensus score of 3.8/5. Average price target: $101.

What does Allegiant Travel Company do?Allegiant Travel Company, a leisure travel company, provides travel and leisure services and products to residents of...

Allegiant Travel Company, a leisure travel company, provides travel and leisure services and products to residents of under-served cities in the United States. The company offers scheduled air transportation on limited-frequency, nonstop flights between underserved cities and leisure destinations. As of February 1, 2026, it operated a fleet of 106 Airbus A320 series aircraft and 16 Boeing 737 series aircraft. The company also provides air-related services and products in conjunction with air transportation, including larger seats, baggage fees, advance seat assignments, travel protection products, change fees, priority boarding, customer convenience fee, food and beverage purchases on board, and other air-related services, as well as use of its call center for purchases. In addition, it offers third party travel products, such as hotel rooms, rental cars, and travel insurance from a third-party insurer; air transportation services; and charter services on a year-round and ad-hoc basis. Further, the company owns and operates a golf course. Allegiant Travel Company was founded in 1997 and is based in Las Vegas, Nevada.

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