Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR) Stock Analysis
Falling Knife setup
Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $53.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Negative momentum.
Loar Holdings designs, manufactures, and sells niche aerospace and defense components, with ~89% proprietary products and ~55% aftermarket sales in 2025. It serves commercial, business jet/general aviation, and defense markets with mission-critical, highly engineered solutions... Read more
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $53.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 4/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA) and earnings proximity 6d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- LOWCustomertwo largest customers19%10-K Item 1A: 'Our two largest customers accounted for approximately 19% of net sales during the year ended December 31, 2025'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $53.00, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Negative momentum. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 33, MACD bearish. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $77.60 (+46.4%), stop $51.56 (−2.8%), A.R:R 3.9:1. Score 6.0/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $77.60 (+44.4% upside). Target $77.60 (+46.4%), stop $51.56 (−2.8%), A.R:R 3.9:1. Stop-loss: $51.56.
Earnings in 6 days (event risk); Negative momentum; Below 200-MA, MA slope -4.7%/30d (confirmed downtrend).
Loar Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 71.7 (forward 51.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Hold.
12 analysts cover LOAR with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $89.
What does Loar Holdings Inc. do?Loar Holdings designs, manufactures, and sells niche aerospace and defense components, with ~89% proprietary products...
Loar Holdings designs, manufactures, and sells niche aerospace and defense components, with ~89% proprietary products and ~55% aftermarket sales in 2025. It serves commercial, business jet/general aviation, and defense markets with mission-critical, highly engineered solutions across nearly every major aircraft platform.