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Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $60.61, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Loar Holdings designs and manufactures niche, mission-critical aerospace and defense components with 89% proprietary content; end markets are commercial (45%), business jet/GA (25%), and defense (25%) with ~55% aftermarket revenue. Products cover auto throttles, airbags, brakes,... Read more

$60.61+19.6% A.UpsideScore 6.3/10#1 of 47 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield1.34%
Stop $56.43Target $72.56(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.6:1
Analyst target$83.40+37.6%5 analysts
$72.56our TP
$60.61price
$83.40mean
$100

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $60.61, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 84d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Loar Holdings Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Positive insider activity
Risks
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7
Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)83.4
P/E (Fwd)37.5
Mkt Cap$5.5B
EV/EBITDA33.2
Profit Mgn12.6%
ROE5.9%
Rev Growth36.1%
Beta0.56
DividendNone
Rating analysts12

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.94neutral
IV55%elevated
Max Pain$115+89.7% vs spot

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCustomertop-2 customers19%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Our two largest customers accounted for approximately 19% of net sales during the year ended December 31, 2025.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
2.2
Bollinger
2.9
Support Resistance
3.6
Gap
5.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Value Rank
1.6
Quality Rank
5.6
Growth Rank
7.8
GatesINSIDER 0.26%=MODERATEDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Momentum 5.6>=5.5A.R:R 1.6 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 84d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Moderate
RSI
61 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $53.15Resistance $64.84

Price Targets

$56
$73
A.Upside+19.7%
A.R:R1.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Analyst Consensus

Analysts12
Consensus4.3/5
Avg Target$83

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-13 (84d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LOAR stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $60.61, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend). Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 61. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $72.56 (+19.7%), stop $56.43 (−7.4%), A.R:R 1.6:1. Score 6.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LOAR stock price target?

Take-profit target: $72.56 (+19.6% upside). Target $72.56 (+19.7%), stop $56.43 (−7.4%), A.R:R 1.6:1. Stop-loss: $56.43.

What are the risks of investing in LOAR?

Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7; Below 200-MA, MA slope -3.6%/30d (confirmed downtrend).

Is LOAR overvalued or undervalued?

Loar Holdings Inc. trades at a P/E of 83.4 (forward 37.5). TrendMatrix value score: 4.6/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about LOAR?

12 analysts cover LOAR with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $83.

What does Loar Holdings Inc. do?Loar Holdings designs and manufactures niche, mission-critical aerospace and defense components with 89% proprietary...

Loar Holdings designs and manufactures niche, mission-critical aerospace and defense components with 89% proprietary content; end markets are commercial (45%), business jet/GA (25%), and defense (25%) with ~55% aftermarket revenue. Products cover auto throttles, airbags, brakes, sensors, lighting, and more across 250+ aircraft platforms; top 2 customers represent ~19% of net sales.

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