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AVEXAEVEX Corp.Buy Wait5.9·$22.10-0.23%
Buy WaitModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

AEVEX Corp pairs positive news sentiment and an industry-leading growth rank with a rich forward multiple, an EXTREME insider-selling gate failure, and a stock still sitting at the bottom of its 52-week range.

Thesis pillars

  • Positive Sentiment Growth LeadershipStable
  • Extreme Insider Selling Neutral SignalStable
  • Rich Forward Multiple Vs PegDeteriorating
  • +2 more pillars — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

AEVEX Corp. (AVEX) Stock Analysis

Buy WaitGrowthQualityModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Earnings in 0 days (2026-08-12). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Wait for pullback to $21.06. Insider activity concern — blocks BUY_NOW at $22.10. Engine's entry $21.06 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Overbought (RSI 82).

AEVEX Corp. operates as a defense technology contractor and enabler of the U.S. Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS) dominance strategy mission. The company operates in two segments, Tactical Systems and Global Solutions. The Tactical Systems designs and manufactures battle-tested,... Read more

$22.10+35.3% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#24 of 62 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield
Entry $21.06(Default 5pct Sticky)Stop $18.16Target $30.78(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 2.4:1
Analyst target$35.38+60.1%8 analysts
$30.78our TP
$22.10price
$35.38mean
$45

Wait for pullback to $21.06. Insider activity concern — blocks BUY_NOW at $22.10. Engine's entry $21.06 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Overbought (RSI 82). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.80, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on clean insider activity and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-08-13
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 12, 2026today· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Positive momentum
Analyst upside: 35%
Risks
Overbought (RSI 82)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)55.4
P/E (Fwd)44.4
Mkt Cap$1.3B
EV/EBITDA18.4
Profit Mgn5.3%
ROE
Rev Growth306.9%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.71neutral
IV143%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.0
52w Position
0.7
Bollinger
0.8
Gap
5.0
GatesINSIDER 4.72%=EXTREMEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dMomentum 7.2>=5.5A.R:R 2.4 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.80SEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Speculative
RSI
82 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $13.07Resistance $22.75

Price Targets

$18
$21
$31
A.Upside+35.3%
A.R:R2.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! Insider activity: 4.72%=extreme
! EARNINGS_PROXIMITY:0d<=7d

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-12 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AVEX stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $21.06. Insider activity concern — blocks BUY_NOW at $22.10. Engine's entry $21.06 (Default 5pct Sticky) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Key risk: Overbought (RSI 82). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Earnings in 0 days. Wait until post-earnings. Target $30.78 (+39.3%), stop $18.16 (−21.7%), A.R:R 2.4:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AVEX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $30.78 (+35.3% upside). Target $30.78 (+39.3%), stop $18.16 (−21.7%), A.R:R 2.4:1. Stop-loss: $18.16.

What are the risks of investing in AVEX?

Overbought (RSI 82).

Is AVEX overvalued or undervalued?

AEVEX Corp. trades at a P/E of 55.4 (forward 44.4). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about AVEX?

15 analysts cover AVEX with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $35.

What does AEVEX Corp. do?AEVEX Corp. operates as a defense technology contractor and enabler of the U.S. Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS) dominance...

AEVEX Corp. operates as a defense technology contractor and enabler of the U.S. Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS) dominance strategy mission. The company operates in two segments, Tactical Systems and Global Solutions. The Tactical Systems designs and manufactures battle-tested, autonomous, modular, and attritable unmanned systems, including UAS and unmanned surface vehicles with other mission critical products. The Global Solutions provides bespoke mission solutions, including AI-enabled airborne intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR), C-UAS, additive manufacturing, and specialized mission aircraft engineering, modification, and testing. The company was founded in 2020 and is based in Solana Beach, California.

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