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AVEXAEVEX Corp.Buy Wait5.9·$20.75+5.71%
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AEVEX Corp. (AVEX) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

Buy WaitModerate Confidence

Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Wait for pullback to $19.66. Insider activity concern — blocks BUY_NOW at $20.75. Engine's entry $19.66 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum.

AEVEX Corp. operates as a defense technology contractor and enabler of the U.S. Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS) dominance strategy mission. The company operates in two segments, Tactical Systems and Global Solutions. The Tactical Systems designs and manufactures battle-tested,... Read more

$20.75+58.2% A.UpsideScore 5.9/10#13 of 64 Aerospace & Defense
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield
Entry $19.66(5% below current)Stop $18.28Target $31.10(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.4:1
Analyst target$35.75+72.3%8 analysts
$31.10our TP
$20.75price
$35.75mean
$45

Wait for pullback to $19.66. Insider activity concern — blocks BUY_NOW at $20.75. Engine's entry $19.66 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 40d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on clean insider activity. Suitability: speculative.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-07-05
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 13, 202640d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Strong growth profile
Analyst upside: 50%
Risks
No bear case signals

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)53.1
P/E (Fwd)41.5
Mkt Cap$1.2B
EV/EBITDA17.5
Profit Mgn5.3%
ROE
Rev Growth306.9%
Beta
DividendNone
Rating analysts15

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.22bearish
IV141%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

52w Position
0.0
Bollinger
4.2
Gap
5.0
Support Resistance
5.1
GatesINSIDER 4.93%=EXTREMEMomentum 6.6>=5.5A.R:R 3.4 ≥ 1.5No SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 40d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Speculative
RSI
48 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MASupport $15.07Resistance $26.50

Price Targets

$18
$20
$31
A.Upside+49.9%
A.R:R3.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionMedium conviction
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! NEWS_MOD=+1: HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT
! Insider activity: 4.93%=extreme

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-13 (40d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is AVEX stock a buy right now?

Wait for pullback to $19.66. Insider activity concern — blocks BUY_NOW at $20.75. Engine's entry $19.66 (5% below current) is the shallowest technical level that clears the 2:1 A.R:R minimum. Chart setup: RSI 48 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Mixed signals. Hold existing position. | News modifier +1 (HOLD_IF_HOLDING → STRONG_BUY_WAIT) Target $31.10 (+49.9%), stop $18.28 (−13.5%), A.R:R 3.4:1. Score 5.9/10, moderate confidence.

What is the AVEX stock price target?

Take-profit target: $31.10 (+58.2% upside). Target $31.10 (+49.9%), stop $18.28 (−13.5%), A.R:R 3.4:1. Stop-loss: $18.28.

Is AVEX overvalued or undervalued?

AEVEX Corp. trades at a P/E of 53.1 (forward 41.5). TrendMatrix value score: 5.0/10. Verdict: Buy (Wait for Entry).

What do analysts say about AVEX?

15 analysts cover AVEX with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $36.

What does AEVEX Corp. do?AEVEX Corp. operates as a defense technology contractor and enabler of the U.S. Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS) dominance...

AEVEX Corp. operates as a defense technology contractor and enabler of the U.S. Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS) dominance strategy mission. The company operates in two segments, Tactical Systems and Global Solutions. The Tactical Systems designs and manufactures battle-tested, autonomous, modular, and attritable unmanned systems, including UAS and unmanned surface vehicles with other mission critical products. The Global Solutions provides bespoke mission solutions, including AI-enabled airborne intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR), C-UAS, additive manufacturing, and specialized mission aircraft engineering, modification, and testing. The company was founded in 2020 and is based in Solana Beach, California.

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