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LNGCheniere Energy, Inc.Sell6.1·$230.50-2.02%
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Cheniere Energy, Inc. (LNG) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $230.50: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.2): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Cheniere Energy, Inc., an energy infrastructure company, primarily engages in the liquefied natural gas (LNG) related businesses in the United States. The company owns and operates the Sabine Pass LNG terminal in Cameron Parish, Louisiana; and the Corpus Christi LNG terminal... Read more

$230.50+18.7% A.UpsideScore 6.1/10#15 of 42 Oil & Gas Midstream
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield3.49%
IncomeYield0.94%Payout35.70%sustainable
Stop $217.12Target $273.94(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.9:1
Analyst target$304.38+32.1%21 analysts
$273.94our TP
$230.50price
$304.38mean
$340

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $230.50: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.2): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 50d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Cheniere Energy, Inc.

About Cheniere Energy, Inc.

Cheniere Energy owns and operates the Sabine Pass LNG Terminal in Louisiana and the Corpus Christi LNG Terminal in Texas, exporting liquefied natural gas under long-term sale and purchase agreements (SPAs) with approximately 30 third-party customers at initial terms of 10 or more years. Total consolidated debt stood at $23.0 billion as of December 31, 2025, with $7.2 billion in available credit facility commitments and $1.1 billion in cash and cash equivalents. The company is in active construction on the Corpus Christi Stage 3 Project and the CCL Midscale Trains 8 & 9 Project, with the SPL Expansion Project and CCL Expansion Project in earlier-stage development.

Cheniere earns revenue principally through long-term SPAs under which customers pay a fixed liquefaction fee plus a variable component. The company also participates in integrated production marketing (IPM) agreements; net income for 2025 included $3.6 billion in derivative fair-value gains, substantially all tied to IPM agreements indexed to international LNG prices. Construction of expansion capacity is executed under fixed-price EPC contracts with Bechtel, though change orders may increase costs and certain SPAs include customer termination rights if Trains do not commence commercial operations on schedule. Revenue stability depends on approximately 30 counterparties performing under 10-year-plus contracts; while substantially all arrangements are executed with creditworthy entities or secured by parent guarantees, the 10-K identifies customer default as a material risk. In February 2026, the Board authorized a $9 billion increase in share repurchase authority, raising total capacity to approximately $10 billion through 2030.

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Timely completion of the Corpus Christi Stage 3 Project and CCL Midscale Trains 8 & 9 Project depends on Bechtel's performance under fixed-price EPC contracts; the 10-K notes that disagreements with contractors or inability to perform could require engagement of a substitute contractor, resulting in significant project delays and increased costs. Natural gas supply to the terminals depends on third-party pipelines, and any disruption — whether from weather, capacity constraints, or failure to renew contracted firm transportation — may impact the ability to fulfill SPA delivery obligations.

See also: Energy · Oil & Gas Midstream

From Cheniere Energy, Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202650d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Risks
Leverage penalty (D/E 3.2): -1.5
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -53.7%), High leverage (D/E 3.2)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)39.9
P/E (Fwd)12.1
Mkt Cap$49.3B
EV/EBITDA13.4
Profit Mgn7.1%
ROE28.9%
Rev Growth24.2%
Beta0.00
Dividend0.94%
Rating analysts28

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.93neutral
IV44%normal
Max Pain$440+90.9% vs spot

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-04-06Item 5.02LOW
    Chairman G. Andrea Botta to retire at the 2026 Annual Meeting; CEO Jack Fusco named successor Chairman, Patricia Collawn named Lead Director. Scott Peak appointed to the Board under CQP Holdco LP investor rights agreement; Matthew Runkle resigned per the same agreement.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 4.6<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 4.6>=4.5A.R:R 2.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 50d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
50 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $223.83Resistance $251.73

Price Targets

$217
$274
A.Upside+18.8%
A.R:R2.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts28
Consensus4.3/5
Avg Target$304

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (50d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
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Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LNG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $230.50: Leverage penalty (D/E 3.2): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $217.12. Score 6.1/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LNG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $273.94 (+18.7% upside). Prior stop was $217.12. Stop-loss: $217.12.

What are the risks of investing in LNG?

Leverage penalty (D/E 3.2): -1.5; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Value-trap signals (2/5): Margin compression (op margin -53.7%), High leverage (D/E 3.2).

Is LNG overvalued or undervalued?

Cheniere Energy, Inc. trades at a P/E of 39.9 (forward 12.1). TrendMatrix value score: 5.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LNG?

28 analysts cover LNG with a consensus score of 4.3/5. Average price target: $304.

What does Cheniere Energy, Inc. do?Cheniere Energy, Inc., an energy infrastructure company, primarily engages in the liquefied natural gas (LNG) related...

Cheniere Energy, Inc., an energy infrastructure company, primarily engages in the liquefied natural gas (LNG) related businesses in the United States. The company owns and operates the Sabine Pass LNG terminal in Cameron Parish, Louisiana; and the Corpus Christi LNG terminal near Corpus Christi, Texas. It also owns and operates the Creole Trail pipeline, a 94-mile natural gas supply pipeline that interconnects the Sabine Pass LNG Terminal with several large interstate and intrastate pipelines; and the Corpus Christi pipeline, a 21-mile natural gas supply pipeline that interconnects the Corpus Christi LNG terminal with interstate and intrastate natural gas pipelines. In addition, the company engages in the LNG and natural gas marketing business. Cheniere Energy, Inc. was incorporated in 1983 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Related stocks: FRO (Frontline Plc) · VG (Venture Global, Inc.) · GLNG (Golar LNG Limited) · AM (Antero Midstream Corporation) · WES (Western Midstream Partners, LP)
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