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Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. - S (LLYVA) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Communication Services · Entertainment

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $96.37: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation.

Liberty Live Holdings is a holding company that beneficially owns approximately 30% of Live Nation Entertainment and 100% of QuintEvents; it was spun off from Liberty Media in December 2025. Value is derived primarily from the Live Nation equity stake (~69.6M shares), with the... Read more

$96.37+0.8% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#20 of 28 Entertainment
QualityF-score3 / 9FCF yield
Stop $90.67Target $97.18(resistance)A.R:R 0.0:1

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $96.37: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 79d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. - S

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Counterparty: Live Nation (30.0%)
Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)51.8
Mkt Cap$8.9B
EV/EBITDA-411.3
Profit Mgn-88.2%
ROE
Rev Growth35.2%
Beta0.98
DividendNone
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

IV43%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHcounterpartyLive Nation30%
    10-K Item 1: 'the Company beneficially owned approximately 69.6 million shares of Live Nation Common Stock...which represented approximately 30% of the issued and outstanding shares of Live Nation'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-06Item 5.02LOW
    Renee L. Wilm will transition from Chief Legal Officer and Chief Administrative Officer of Liberty Live Holdings to Senior Advisor, effective later in 2026. No successor named for the CLO/CAO roles.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

4 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Hyper-growth tech sacrificing current profitability for scale. Floor tripped because model treats negative margins uniformly; the growth dimension tells the other half of the story.static

Roa
0.0
Gross Margin
0.0
Operating Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Current Ratio
1.2
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
5.5
Weak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9Quality concerns

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Value Rank
0.4
Growth Rank
7.9

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 1B/3M

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ps
0.0
Forward Pe
2.2
Peg Ratio
10.0
Forward P/E: 51.8xPEG: 0.35
GatesA.R:R UPSIDE_EXHAUSTED (upside=0.0%)Momentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 79d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
67 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $88.33Resistance $99.16

Price Targets

$91
$97
A.Upside+0.8%
A.R:R0.0:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0)

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (79d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LLYVA stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $96.37: Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.0/10. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Rich valuation. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $90.67. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the LLYVA stock price target?

Take-profit target: $97.18 (+0.8% upside). Prior stop was $90.67. Stop-loss: $90.67.

What are the risks of investing in LLYVA?

Concentration risk — Counterparty: Live Nation (30.0%); Quality below floor (1.4 < 4.0).

Is LLYVA overvalued or undervalued?

Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. - S trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 51.8). TrendMatrix value score: 3.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LLYVA?

18 analysts cover LLYVA with a consensus score of 4.3/5.

What does Liberty Live Holdings, Inc. - S do?Liberty Live Holdings is a holding company that beneficially owns approximately 30% of Live Nation Entertainment and...

Liberty Live Holdings is a holding company that beneficially owns approximately 30% of Live Nation Entertainment and 100% of QuintEvents; it was spun off from Liberty Media in December 2025. Value is derived primarily from the Live Nation equity stake (~69.6M shares), with the company unable to receive cash from Live Nation except as a shareholder.

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