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LINDLindblad Expeditions Holdings ISell5.1·$33.52
SellHigh Confidence
Investment thesis

Technical momentum is constructive — a golden cross, all moving averages aligned bullishly, and rising volume accumulation — but with only about 1.5% headroom to the near-term resistance target, a reward-to-risk ratio of 0.21, and an unusually elevated put/call ratio of 5.60, the setup does not offer an attractive entry at current prices.

Thesis pillars

  • Technical Breakout Momentum↓Deteriorating
  • Institutional Accumulation↓Deteriorating
  • Extreme Put Call Pressure→Stable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 26, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Lindblad Expeditions Holdings I (LIND) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5ValueQualityHigh Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $33.52 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4).

Lindblad Expeditions Holdings operates marine expedition cruises and land-based adventure travel under the Lindblad Expeditions, Natural Habitat, Off the Beaten Path, DuVine, Classic Journeys and Thomson Group brands. The company's Lindblad segment operates 12 owned and 10... Read more

$33.52-6.6% A.UpsideScore 5.1/10#11 of 12 Travel Services
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield6.47%
Stop $31.17Analyst target $31.32(reached)A.R:R -0.6:1
Analyst consensus$36.00+7.4%6 analysts with price targets
$33.52price
$36.00mean
$30
$40

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $33.52 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/8 gates (no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.70, earnings proximity 111d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and clean insider activity. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Lindblad Expeditions Holdings I

About Lindblad Expeditions Holdings I

Lindblad Expeditions Holdings operates a fleet of 12 owned and 10 seasonal chartered expedition vessels reaching over 40 destinations on six continents, marketed under a Brand License Agreement with National Geographic that runs through 2040 and puts the National Geographic name on Lindblad's owned ships. The company's Land Experiences segment adds guided adventure travel through five brands -- Natural Habitat, Off the Beaten Path, DuVine, Classic Journeys and Thomson Group -- serving affluent travelers, predominantly U.S. residents aged 50 and older.

Lindblad earns premium pricing with minimal discounting by operating nimble, intimately-scaled vessels (16 to 148 guests) that reach remote destinations larger cruise ships cannot, including Antarctica, the Arctic, the Galapagos Islands and Alaska, supported by National Geographic photographers, naturalists and researchers who join expeditions under the companies' co-marketing arrangement. The Land Experiences segment's Natural Habitat brand licenses the World Wildlife Fund name and logo for royalty payments through December 2028 as the exclusive conservation-travel partner promoted to WWF's member base, while DuVine and Classic Journeys run small-group cycling and walking tours in more than 50 countries each. In 2026, Lindblad is retiring its National Geographic Sea Bird and Sea Lion vessels after their Alaska season, replacing them with a chartered Greg Mortimer for 2027-2029, and adding a new European river ship charter, the Evolve, for 2027 Danube itineraries.

Show full overview

Lindblad's entire ship-based segment carries a structural dependency on a single brand partner: National Geographic can unilaterally terminate the license early on a change of control, a failure to hit specified growth or capacity benchmarks by December 31, 2032, or a failure to meet product-quality score benchmarks, and the agreement itself is described as a significant resource for bookings. A parallel, smaller-scale dependency sits in Land Experiences, where Natural Habitat's access to WWF's brand and member base runs only through December 2028; loss or non-renewal of either license would strip a namesake marketing asset that Lindblad cannot easily replace given its premium-pricing model.

See also: Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services

From Lindblad Expeditions Holdings I's most recent 10-K filing, extracted July 6, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 2, 2026

Recent Developments — Lindblad Expeditions Holdings I

Latest item Nov 2, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-05T11:59:10Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Feb 25, 2027111d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Recent Earnings detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)—
P/E (Fwd)65.2
Mkt Cap$2.2B
EV/EBITDA18.7
Profit Mgn0.7%
ROE—
Rev Growth12.1%
Beta—
DividendNone
Analysts with ratings13

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.13bullish
IV65%elevated
Max Pain$30-10.5% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.8
Forward Pe
1.6
Analyst Target
4.0
Ps
8.6
Forward P/E: 65.2x
GatesMomentum 4.2<4.5A.R:R -0.6=NEGATIVEINSIDER 0.95%=HEAVYNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.70EARNINGS PROXIMITY 111d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
43 · Neutral
↓ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $30.57Resistance $38.85

Price Targets

A.Upside-6.6%
A.R:R-0.6:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-6.6% upside)
! momentum at 4.2 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-25 (111d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is LIND stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $33.52 — A.R:R is negative (-0.6) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $31.17. Score 5.1/10, high confidence.

What is the LIND stock price target?

Analyst target $31.32 reached (−6.6% from $33.52); no take-profit level is published. Prior stop was $31.17. Stop-loss: $31.17.

What are the risks of investing in LIND?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.4); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Is LIND overvalued or undervalued?

Lindblad Expeditions Holdings I trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 65.2). TrendMatrix value score: 3.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about LIND?

13 analysts rate LIND, with a consensus score of 4.0/5. 6 analysts publish price targets averaging $36.

What does Lindblad Expeditions Holdings I do?Lindblad Expeditions Holdings operates marine expedition cruises and land-based adventure travel under the Lindblad...

Lindblad Expeditions Holdings operates marine expedition cruises and land-based adventure travel under the Lindblad Expeditions, Natural Habitat, Off the Beaten Path, DuVine, Classic Journeys and Thomson Group brands. The company's Lindblad segment operates 12 owned and 10 chartered expedition vessels under a Brand License Agreement with National Geographic extended through 2040, whose name appears on Lindblad's owned ships and which co-markets and co-sells expeditions through its internal travel division.

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