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TRIPTripAdvisor, Inc.Sell4.0·$11.93+0.97%
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TripAdvisor, Inc. (TRIP) Stock Analysis

Recovery setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.93: Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 33%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Tripadvisor, Inc., an online travel company, engages in the provision of travel guidance products and services worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Experiences, Hotels and Other, and TheFork. The Experiences segment operates an online travel agency for tours,... Read more

$11.93+3.5% A.UpsideScore 4.0/10#15 of 15 Travel Services
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield13.18%
Stop $11.11Target $12.36(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$13.73+15.1%16 analysts
$12.36our TP
$11.93price
$13.73mean
$9
$21

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.93: Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 33%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 89. Score 4.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/9 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 58d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-09
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Aug 6, 202658d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)107.4
P/E (Fwd)7.4
Mkt Cap$1.4B
EV/EBITDA11.2
Profit Mgn1.0%
ROE2.9%
Rev Growth-4.0%
Beta0.91
DividendNone
Rating analysts21

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.88neutral
IV78%elevated
Max Pain$1-91.6% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

6 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -4.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.5
Declining revenue: -4%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
1.2
52w Position
1.9
Bollinger
2.0

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
0.3
Value Rank
4.7

Risk profile below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Short Interest
0.0
Days To Cover
0.0
Implied Vol
0.3
Volatility
1.2
Max Pain Risk
3.0
Debt Equity
3.0
Put Call
7.5
Beta
7.5
High short interest: 33%High IV: 78%Above max pain $1

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
1.7
Ma Position
6.0
Macd
10.0
Overbought bear rally (RSI 89)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -7.0%/30d — confirmed downtrend
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5A.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotDeath cross (50MA < 200MA)Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 58d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRecoverySuitability: Aggressive
RSI
89 · Overbought
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.04Resistance $12.34

Price Targets

$11
$12
A.Upside+3.6%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0)
! momentum at 3.7 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)
! asymmetry at 0.2 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (58d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TRIP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.93: Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10. Specifically: High short interest: 33%; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: Death cross but MACD improving, RSI 89. Prior stop was $11.11. Score 4.0/10, high confidence.

What is the TRIP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.36 (+3.5% upside). Prior stop was $11.11. Stop-loss: $11.11.

What are the risks of investing in TRIP?

Risk below floor (2.8 < 3.0).

Is TRIP overvalued or undervalued?

TripAdvisor, Inc. trades at a P/E of 107.4 (forward 7.4). TrendMatrix value score: 6.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TRIP?

21 analysts cover TRIP with a consensus score of 2.9/5. Average price target: $14.

What does TripAdvisor, Inc. do?Tripadvisor, Inc., an online travel company, engages in the provision of travel guidance products and services...

Tripadvisor, Inc., an online travel company, engages in the provision of travel guidance products and services worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Experiences, Hotels and Other, and TheFork. The Experiences segment operates an online travel agency for tours, activities, and attractions, and acts as travel guidance platforms for travelers to discover, generate, and share authentic user-generated content in the form of ratings and reviews and opinions for destinations, points-of-interest, experiences, accommodations, restaurants, and cruises. The Hotels and Other segment primarily consist of the Tripadvisor hotel and restaurant guidance platform, which include hotel metasearch, and related advertising offerings primarily for hotels and restaurants. TheFork segment provides an online marketplace, which enables diners to discover and book online reservations at restaurants. Tripadvisor, Inc. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Needham, Massachusetts.

Related stocks: PRSU (Pursuit Attractions and Hospita) · TNL (Travel Leisure Co.) · GBTG (Global Business Travel Group, I) · NCLH (Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings ) · LIND (Lindblad Expeditions Holdings I)
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