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TripAdvisor, Inc. (TRIP) Stock Analysis

Falling Knife setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Consumer Cyclical · Travel Services

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $9.32 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5.

Tripadvisor, Inc., an online travel company, engages in the provision of travel guidance products and services worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Experiences, Hotels and Other, and TheFork. The Experiences segment operates an online travel agency for tours,... Read more

$9.32+29.5% A.UpsideScore 4.2/10#15 of 15 Travel Services
QualityF-score5 / 9FCF yield16.73%
Stop $8.84Target $12.04(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 2.9:1
Analyst target$13.38+43.6%15 analysts
$12.04our TP
$9.32price
$13.38mean
$21

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $9.32 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 22, MACD bearish. Score 4.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and death cross (50MA < 200MA). Suitability: aggressive.

Val8.1Qual4.1Grw1.5Mom1.7Sent6.2Ins5.0Peer2.4Tech6.1Risk3.14.2OVERALL

Recent Developments — TripAdvisor, Inc.

Latest news

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:22Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Analyst upside: 29%
Risks
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1)
Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5
Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)84.5
P/E (Fwd)5.9
Mkt Cap$1.1B
EV/EBITDA9.0
Profit Mgn1.0%
ROE2.9%
Rev Growth-4.0%
Beta0.91
DividendNone
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F5/9

Options Flow

P/C0.18bullish
IV81%elevated
Max Pain$1-89.3% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

3 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -4.0% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
1.5
Declining revenue: -4%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.2
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
1.0
Rsi
3.0
Volume
3.5
Capitulation risk (RSI 22, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA, MA slope -5.7%/30d — confirmed downtrend

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
0.0
Quality Rank
0.3
Value Rank
4.3
GatesMomentum 1.7<4.5Death cross (50MA < 200MA)A.R:R 2.9 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARFalling KnifeSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
22 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $9.11Resistance $11.66

Price Targets

$9
$12
A.Upside+29.2%
A.R:R2.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 1.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Death cross — 50-day MA below 200-day MA

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-06 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is TRIP stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Momentum 1.7/10 is below the 5.0 floor at $9.32 — engine's falling-knife protection flags exit rather than catching a breakdown. Specifics: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5. Chart setup: Death cross, below all MAs, RSI 22, MACD bearish. Prior stop was $8.84. Score 4.2/10, high confidence.

What is the TRIP stock price target?

Take-profit target: $12.04 (+29.5% upside). Prior stop was $8.84. Stop-loss: $8.84.

What are the risks of investing in TRIP?

V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=4.1); Sector modifier (Consumer Cyclical): -1.5; Leverage penalty (D/E 2.0): -1.0.

Is TRIP overvalued or undervalued?

TripAdvisor, Inc. trades at a P/E of 84.5 (forward 5.9). TrendMatrix value score: 8.1/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about TRIP?

22 analysts cover TRIP with a consensus score of 2.9/5. Average price target: $13.

What does TripAdvisor, Inc. do?Tripadvisor, Inc., an online travel company, engages in the provision of travel guidance products and services...

Tripadvisor, Inc., an online travel company, engages in the provision of travel guidance products and services worldwide. The company operates through three segments: Experiences, Hotels and Other, and TheFork. The Experiences segment operates an online travel agency for tours, activities, and attractions, and acts as travel guidance platforms for travelers to discover, generate, and share authentic user-generated content in the form of ratings and reviews and opinions for destinations, points-of-interest, experiences, accommodations, restaurants, and cruises. The Hotels and Other segment primarily consist of the Tripadvisor hotel and restaurant guidance platform, which include hotel metasearch, and related advertising offerings primarily for hotels and restaurants. TheFork segment provides an online marketplace, which enables diners to discover and book online reservations at restaurants. Tripadvisor, Inc. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Needham, Massachusetts.

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