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KRGKite Realty Group TrustSell4.4·$28.79-0.14%
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Kite Realty Group Trust (KRG) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $28.79 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.1% away).

Kite Realty Group Trust owns interests in 167 open-air shopping centers totaling 26.9 million sq ft, 95.1% leased and primarily grocery-anchored in Sun Belt and gateway U.S. markets. Revenue comes from contractual rents and reimbursements from retail tenants, with no single... Read more

$28.79+0.1% A.UpsideScore 4.4/10#22 of 23 REIT - Retail
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield1.77%
IncomeYield4.02%(5y avg 4.09%)Payout83.33%
Stop $27.79Target $28.81(resistance)A.R:R -1.4:1
Analyst target$28.55-0.8%11 analysts
$28.81our TP
$28.79price
$28.55mean
$26
$33

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $28.79 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.1% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Score 4.4/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 49d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Kite Realty Group Trust

About Kite Realty Group Trust

Kite Realty Group Trust owned interests in 167 open-air shopping centers and mixed-use properties totaling 26.9 million square feet, 95.1% leased, across Sun Belt and gateway markets at December 31, 2025. The company generated NAREIT FFO of $468.6 million in 2025 with same-property NOI growth of 2.9%. Texas represented 28.1% of annualized base rent — the largest single-state concentration — followed by Florida (11.4%), Indiana (6.5%), Virginia (6.5%), and Maryland (5.7%).

Kite Realty earns revenue through base rent and tenant expense reimbursements across 159 wholly owned properties and eight joint-venture properties. The company signed 683 new and renewal leases on approximately 4.6 million square feet in 2025, achieving a blended cash leasing spread of 13.8% on comparable leases, and 20.3% on new and non-option renewal leases. Grocery-anchored centers accounted for 79% of retail portfolio ABR, providing traffic-generating anchors for small shop tenants. ABR per square foot was $22.63 at year-end 2025, up 7.0% from the prior year. Capital structure includes approximately $3.0 billion in consolidated indebtedness, of which $497.2 million bore variable-rate interest; the 10-K notes a 1% rate increase on unhedged variable-rate debt would decrease future cash flows by approximately $5.0 million annually. Legacy West, a mixed-use asset in the Dallas–Fort Worth MSA, was acquired through a joint venture for $785.0 million in April 2025.

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Texas represents 28.1% of annualized base rent — the single largest state concentration — followed by Florida at 11.4% and Indiana at 6.5%. The 10-K flags this geographic concentration as a source of elevated market risk relative to a more geographically dispersed portfolio, particularly if adverse economic or real estate trends emerge in those states. With $410.6 million in debt principal maturing through December 31, 2026, refinancing conditions in capital markets during 2026 could weigh on the company's near-term capital allocation flexibility.

See also: Real Estate · REIT - Retail

From Kite Realty Group Trust's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-17
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202649d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Positive news sentiment (+1.00)
Recent Analyst detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.1% away)
Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)21.8
P/E (Fwd)54.4
Mkt Cap$6.0B
EV/EBITDA18.5
Profit Mgn34.7%
ROE9.2%
Rev Growth-9.2%
Beta0.85
Dividend4.02%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9

Options Flow

P/C0.80neutral
IV53%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMGeographicTexas28%
    10-K Item 1A: 'rents from our properties in the states of Texas, Florida, Indiana, Virginia, and Maryland comprised 28.1%,'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-03-20Item 5.02LOW
    Heath R. Fear (CFO) appointed as President effective March 20, 2026, in addition to retaining CFO role. Thomas K. McGowan continues as President and COO. New employment agreements executed for all executives. No officer departure.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Revenue shrinking — -9.2% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
0.2
Declining revenue: -9%

Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static

Ev Ebitda
0.9
Analyst Target
3.0
Ps
5.3
P Ocf
7.1
P/OCF: 14.8x (FFO proxy — REITs gated off P/E)
GatesA.R:R -1.4=NEGATIVEExecutive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNEWS BOOST ANALYST 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 49d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
67 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $25.85Resistance $29.40

Price Targets

$28
$29
A.Upside+0.1%
A.R:R-1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-13.7% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
M
M
M
1/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (49d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KRG stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $28.79 — A.R:R is negative (-1.4) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.1% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 67, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $27.79. Score 4.4/10, high confidence.

What is the KRG stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.81 (+0.1% upside). Prior stop was $27.79. Stop-loss: $27.79.

What are the risks of investing in KRG?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.1% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 1.0): -0.5.

Is KRG overvalued or undervalued?

Kite Realty Group Trust trades at a P/E of 21.8 (forward 54.4). TrendMatrix value score: 3.6/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KRG?

17 analysts cover KRG with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $29.

What does Kite Realty Group Trust do?Kite Realty Group Trust owns interests in 167 open-air shopping centers totaling 26.9 million sq ft, 95.1% leased and...

Kite Realty Group Trust owns interests in 167 open-air shopping centers totaling 26.9 million sq ft, 95.1% leased and primarily grocery-anchored in Sun Belt and gateway U.S. markets. Revenue comes from contractual rents and reimbursements from retail tenants, with no single tenant exceeding 2.6% of ABR at year-end 2025.

Related stocks: EPRT (Essential Properties Realty Tru) · FRT (Federal Realty Investment Trust) · CBL (CBL & Associates Properties, In) · NTST (NetSTREIT Corp.) · GTY (Getty Realty Corporation)
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