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Coca Cola Femsa S.A.B. de C.V. (KOF) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $105.83 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V., a franchise bottler, produces, markets, sells, and distributes Coca-Cola trademarked beverages in Mexico, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, and Uruguay. The company offers sparkling beverages, including colas... Read more

$105.83+0.3% A.UpsideScore 4.7/10#12 of 13 Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield117.49%
IncomeYield3.86%(5y avg 3.78%)Payout623.47%at-risk
Stop $100.75Target $106.17(resistance)A.R:R -0.7:1
Analyst target$115.24+8.9%13 analysts
$106.17our TP
$105.83price
$115.24mean
$102
$130

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $105.83 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 64d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Coca Cola Femsa S.A.B. de C.V.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Weak overall score: 4.7/10

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)12.3
Mkt Cap$22.2B
EV/EBITDA28.2
Profit Mgn7.9%
ROE15.8%
Rev Growth1.1%
Beta0.53
Dividend3.86%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.50bearish
IV31%normal
Max Pain$75-29.1% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
0.0
Revenue Growth
2.8

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
2.3
Growth Rank
2.3
Value Rank
9.1
GatesA.R:R -0.7=NEGATIVEMomentum 5.6>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 64d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
64 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $97.68Resistance $108.34

Price Targets

$101
$106
A.Upside+0.3%
A.R:R-0.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-5.3% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-22 (64d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KOF stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $105.83 — A.R:R is negative (-0.7) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 64, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $100.75. Score 4.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KOF stock price target?

Take-profit target: $106.17 (+0.3% upside). Prior stop was $100.75. Stop-loss: $100.75.

What are the risks of investing in KOF?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak overall score: 4.7/10.

Is KOF overvalued or undervalued?

Coca Cola Femsa S.A.B. de C.V. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 12.3). TrendMatrix value score: 5.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KOF?

18 analysts cover KOF with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $115.

What does Coca Cola Femsa S.A.B. de C.V. do?Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V., a franchise bottler, produces, markets, sells, and distributes Coca-Cola trademarked...

Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V., a franchise bottler, produces, markets, sells, and distributes Coca-Cola trademarked beverages in Mexico, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, and Uruguay. The company offers sparkling beverages, including colas and flavored sparkling beverages; waters; and other non-carbonated beverages, including tea, sports drinks, energy drinks, fruit-based beverages, juice, coffee, milk, value-added dairy, and plant-based drinks. It also distributes and sells beer products under the Heineken, Estrella Galicia, and Therezópolis brands; alcoholic ready-to-drink beverages, such as Bacardí Coca-Cola and Topo Chico Hard Seltzer; and Monster products. The company sells its products to distributors, retail outlets, wholesale supermarkets, discount and convenience stores, retailers, points-of-sale outlets, restaurants and bars, stadiums, auditoriums, theaters, and home deliveries. Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V. was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.

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