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KOFCoca Cola Femsa S.A.B. de C.V.Hold5.3·$116.92
HoldModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Despite a forward earnings multiple of 12.7x and a Piotroski F-Score of 7 out of 9, two of the most recent four quarters missed estimates, revenue and earnings growth are near-zero, and the stock has already reached its near-term resistance target with only about 1.3% of headroom remaining — the setup favors patience over adding exposure.

Thesis pillars

  • Dividend Coverage Uncertainty↓Deteriorating
  • Attractive Valuation At Resistance→Stable
  • Consecutive Earnings Misses↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

Coca Cola Femsa S.A.B. de C.V. (KOF) Stock Analysis

Catalyst-Driven edge

HoldQualityModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $116.92, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.1% away).

Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V., a franchise bottler, produces, markets, sells, and distributes Coca-Cola trademarked beverages in Mexico, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, and Uruguay. The company offers sparkling beverages, including colas... Read more

$116.92-9.5% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#12 of 14 Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield66.67%
IncomeYield3.74%(5y avg 3.55%)Payout525.17%at-risk
Stop $111.44Target $134.46(default +15%)A.R:R -0.8:1
Analyst target$121.59+4.0%13 analysts
$134.46our TP
$116.92price
$121.59mean
$106
$134

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $116.92, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.1% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Oct 27, 202613d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Sector modifier (Consumer Defensive): +0.8
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
Positive momentum
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.1% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)146.3
P/E (Fwd)14.6
Mkt Cap$24.3B
EV/EBITDA1.6
Profit Mgn8.1%
ROE17.1%
Rev Growth4.7%
Beta0.52
Dividend3.74%
Rating analysts17

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C3.00bearish
IV66%elevated
Max Pain$95-18.7% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Bollinger
0.0
Support Resistance
0.3
52w Position
9.9

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.5
Quality Rank
2.9
Value Rank
4.6
GatesA.R:R -0.8=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 13d<=14d (soft)Momentum 7.3>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
72 · Overbought
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $103.47Resistance $117.27

Price Targets

$111
$134
A.Upside-9.5%
A.R:R-0.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.5% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-10-27 (13d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KOF stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $116.92, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.1% away). Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $134.46 (+15.0%), stop $111.44 (−4.9%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KOF stock price target?

Take-profit target: $134.46 (-9.5% upside). Target $134.46 (+15.0%), stop $111.44 (−4.9%), A.R:R -0.8:1. Stop-loss: $111.44.

What are the risks of investing in KOF?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.1% away).

Is KOF overvalued or undervalued?

Coca Cola Femsa S.A.B. de C.V. trades at a P/E of 146.3 (forward 14.6). TrendMatrix value score: 6.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about KOF?

17 analysts cover KOF with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $122.

What does Coca Cola Femsa S.A.B. de C.V. do?Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V., a franchise bottler, produces, markets, sells, and distributes Coca-Cola trademarked...

Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V., a franchise bottler, produces, markets, sells, and distributes Coca-Cola trademarked beverages in Mexico, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, and Uruguay. The company offers sparkling beverages, including colas and flavored sparkling beverages; waters; and other non-carbonated beverages, including tea, sports drinks, energy drinks, fruit-based beverages, juice, coffee, milk, value-added dairy, and plant-based drinks. It also distributes and sells beer products under the Heineken, Estrella Galicia, and Therezópolis brands; alcoholic ready-to-drink beverages, such as Bacardí Coca-Cola and Topo Chico Hard Seltzer; and Monster products. The company sells its products to distributors, retail outlets, wholesale supermarkets, discount and convenience stores, retailers, points-of-sale outlets, restaurants and bars, stadiums, auditoriums, theaters, and home deliveries. Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V. was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.

Related stocks: COCO (The Vita Coco Company, Inc.) · MNST (Monster Beverage Corporation) · COKE (Coca-Cola Consolidated, Inc.) · AKO-A (Embotelladora Andina S.A.) · KDP (Keurig Dr Pepper Inc.)
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