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Coca Cola Femsa S.A.B. de C.V. (KOF) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $100.83 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2).

Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V., a franchise bottler, produces, markets, sells, and distributes Coca-Cola trademarked beverages in Mexico, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, and Uruguay. The company offers sparkling beverages, including colas... Read more

$100.83+3.2% A.UpsideScore 5.0/10#10 of 13 Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
Stop $96.79Target $104.01(resistance)A.R:R -0.1:1
Analyst target$115.12+14.2%13 analysts
$104.01our TP
$100.83price
$115.12mean
$130

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $100.83 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 4/6 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity no date, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Thesis

Rewards
Attractive valuation
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Consecutive earnings misses (2)
Weak growth

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)11.3
Mkt Cap$20.8B
EV/EBITDA5.3
Profit Mgn8.2%
ROE16.4%
Rev Growth2.4%
Beta0.54
Dividend4.13%
Rating analysts18

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9

Options Flow

P/C1.15bearish
IV47%normal
Max Pain$130+28.9% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Macd
1.1
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
7.5
Uptrend pullback (RSI 40) - buy opportunityVolume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA

Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Earnings Growth
2.6
Revenue Growth
3.1
GatesMomentum 2.7<4.5A.R:R -0.1=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY NO DATESEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
40 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $95.12Resistance $106.13

Price Targets

$97
$104
A.Upside+3.2%
A.R:R-0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-0.6% upside)
! Momentum score 2.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-04-29 (nulld)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KOF stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $100.83 — A.R:R is negative (-0.1) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Consecutive earnings misses (2). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $96.79. Score 5.0/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KOF stock price target?

Take-profit target: $104.01 (+3.2% upside). Prior stop was $96.79. Stop-loss: $96.79.

What are the risks of investing in KOF?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Consecutive earnings misses (2); Weak growth.

Is KOF overvalued or undervalued?

Coca Cola Femsa S.A.B. de C.V. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward 11.3). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KOF?

18 analysts cover KOF with a consensus score of 3.9/5. Average price target: $115.

What does Coca Cola Femsa S.A.B. de C.V. do?Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V., a franchise bottler, produces, markets, sells, and distributes Coca-Cola trademarked...

Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V., a franchise bottler, produces, markets, sells, and distributes Coca-Cola trademarked beverages in Mexico, Guatemala, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama, Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, and Uruguay. The company offers sparkling beverages, including colas and flavored sparkling beverages; waters; and other non-carbonated beverages, including tea, sports drinks, energy drinks, fruit-based beverages, juice, coffee, milk, value-added dairy, and plant-based drinks. It also distributes and sells beer products under the Heineken, Estrella Galicia, and Therezópolis brands; alcoholic ready-to-drink beverages, such as Bacardí Coca-Cola and Topo Chico Hard Seltzer; and Monster products. The company sells its products to distributors, retail outlets, wholesale supermarkets, discount and convenience stores, retailers, points-of-sale outlets, restaurants and bars, stadiums, auditoriums, theaters, and home deliveries. Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A.B. de C.V. was founded in 1979 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico.

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