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KIMKimco Realty Corporation (HC)Sell5.4·$25.48-1.68%
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Kimco Realty Corporation (HC) (KIM) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $25.48 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.2% away).

Kimco Realty is a self-administered REIT and the nation's largest owner and operator of open-air, grocery-anchored shopping centers and mixed-use properties, with 565 properties totaling 100.2M sqft of GLA across 29 states as of Dec 31, 2025. Revenue comes from rental income;... Read more

$25.48+0.2% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#15 of 23 REIT - Retail
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield4.80%
IncomeYield4.01%(5y avg 4.11%)Payout117.24%
Stop $24.52Target $25.55(resistance)A.R:R -0.9:1
Analyst target$25.77+1.1%22 analysts
$25.55our TP
$25.48price
$25.77mean
$24
$28

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $25.48 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.2% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 44d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Kimco Realty Corporation (HC)

About Kimco Realty Corporation (HC)

Kimco Realty's 565 open-air shopping centers covered 100.2 million square feet of GLA in 29 states at December 31, 2025, with 82% of annualized base rental revenues concentrated in top major metro Sun Belt and coastal markets. The five largest tenants contributed 10.9% of annualized base rental revenues in aggregate, and no single center exceeded 1.2% of the total. Investment grade unsecured debt ratings of A-/A-/A3 and a 7.9-year consolidated weighted average debt maturity underscore the balance sheet position.

Kimco earns revenue primarily from base rents on open-air shopping centers anchored by grocery stores, home improvement centers, off-price retailers, discounters, and service-oriented tenants. The RPT Merger completed January 2, 2024 added 56 open-air shopping centers comprising 13.3 million square feet of GLA. More than 525 unencumbered properties representing approximately 91% of the shopping center portfolio carry no mortgage liens, providing capacity for unsecured debt issuance. The company had 14,196 multi-family units entitled for residential development at year-end 2025, of which 3,505 have been constructed, reflecting a mixed-use densification strategy. The $2.0 billion unsecured revolving credit facility and $310.0 million in term loans carry interest rate adjustments tied to Scope 1 and 2 greenhouse gas emissions targets that the company met in 2025.

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Kimco's 7.9-year consolidated weighted average debt maturity profile reduces near-term refinancing exposure, and with over $2.2 billion of immediate liquidity and more than 525 unencumbered properties the company retains structural access to capital markets even if spreads widen. Elevated interest rates cited in the 10-K could weigh on cap rates for new acquisitions and tenant operating costs depending on their trajectory, while the focus on grocery-anchored and essential-service tenants provides partial insulation from e-commerce displacement that may affect discretionary retail-oriented peers.

See also: Real Estate · REIT - Retail

From Kimco Realty Corporation (HC)'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202644d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (2.2% away)
Expensive valuation

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)29.8
P/E (Fwd)30.0
Mkt Cap$17.5B
EV/EBITDA19.6
Profit Mgn28.5%
ROE5.9%
Rev Growth4.0%
Beta0.98
Dividend4.01%
Rating analysts29

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C1.00neutral
IV68%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. The TrendMatrix editorial team frequently holds personal long-term positions in securities discussed. We disclose positions held at the time of publication on each piece. We maintain a trading-window policy: we do not initiate or close positions in the same direction as a TrendMatrix publication within 24 hours before or 72 hours after publication.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
2.2
Quality Rank
3.7
Value Rank
4.7
GatesA.R:R -0.9=NEGATIVEMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 44d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
66 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $22.91Resistance $26.07

Price Targets

$25
$26
A.Upside+0.3%
A.R:R-0.9:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-9.0% upside)
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (44d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is KIM stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $25.48 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.2% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 66, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $24.52. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the KIM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $25.55 (+0.2% upside). Prior stop was $24.52. Stop-loss: $24.52.

What are the risks of investing in KIM?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.2% away); Expensive valuation.

Is KIM overvalued or undervalued?

Kimco Realty Corporation (HC) trades at a P/E of 29.8 (forward 30.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about KIM?

29 analysts cover KIM with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $26.

What does Kimco Realty Corporation (HC) do?Kimco Realty is a self-administered REIT and the nation's largest owner and operator of open-air, grocery-anchored...

Kimco Realty is a self-administered REIT and the nation's largest owner and operator of open-air, grocery-anchored shopping centers and mixed-use properties, with 565 properties totaling 100.2M sqft of GLA across 29 states as of Dec 31, 2025. Revenue comes from rental income; the single largest tenant represents only 3.8% and the five largest aggregate to 10.9% of annualized base rental revenues.

Related stocks: EPRT (Essential Properties Realty Tru) · FRT (Federal Realty Investment Trust) · NTST (NetSTREIT Corp.) · GTY (Getty Realty Corporation) · SKT (Tanger Inc.)
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