Simon Property Group, Inc. (SPG) Stock Analysis
Range Bound setup
Real Estate · REIT - Retail
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $203.00 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.5% away).
Simon Property Group is a self-administered REIT owning 212 income-producing U.S. retail properties (108 malls, 70 Premium Outlets, 16 Mills, and others) across 38 states, plus 42 international properties and a 22.2% stake in Klépierre. Revenue derives primarily from retail... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $203.00 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.5% away). Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.
Passes 5/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Material Events(8-K, last 90d)
- 2026-03-24Item 5.02HIGHDavid Simon, Chairman/CEO/President, died March 23, 2026. Eli Simon (age 38, COO, Board member) appointed CEO and President effective March 23, 2026. No change to Eli Simon's compensation announced.SEC filing →
- 2026-02-05Item 5.02LOWMartin J. Cicco appointed to Board effective Feb 5, 2026; Board size increased from 13 to 14 members. Independent director. Committee assignments not yet determined. No arrangements cited.SEC filing →
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
1 floor-breaker
Priced at a premium — multiples above sector norms. Needs delivery on growth + margins to justify.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $203.00 — A.R:R is negative (-0.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Near 52-week high (2.5% away). Chart setup: RSI 54 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $195.78. Score 5.5/10, high confidence.
Take-profit target: $204.11 (+0.6% upside). Prior stop was $195.78. Stop-loss: $195.78.
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (2.5% away); Leverage penalty (D/E 4.4): -1.5.
Simon Property Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.1 (forward 28.9). TrendMatrix value score: 3.5/10. Verdict: Sell.
26 analysts cover SPG with a consensus score of 3.7/5. Average price target: $209.
What does Simon Property Group, Inc. do?Simon Property Group is a self-administered REIT owning 212 income-producing U.S. retail properties (108 malls, 70...
Simon Property Group is a self-administered REIT owning 212 income-producing U.S. retail properties (108 malls, 70 Premium Outlets, 16 Mills, and others) across 38 states, plus 42 international properties and a 22.2% stake in Klépierre. Revenue derives primarily from retail tenant rents and overage rents based on reported tenant sales. The company had no single customer exceeding 10% of revenues.