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Realty Income Corporation (O) Stock Analysis

SellModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $61.22 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Realty Income is an S&P 500 net lease REIT with over 15,500 commercial properties across all 50 U.S. states, the UK, and eight other European countries. It generates stable, contractually defined rental income from a diversified base of retail, industrial, data center, and... Read more

$61.22+0.8% A.UpsideScore 5.5/10#14 of 23 REIT - Retail
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield3.15%
IncomeYield5.31%(5y avg 5.02%)Payout265.00%
Stop $59.28Target $61.61(analyst − 10%)A.R:R 0.2:1
Analyst target$68.45+11.8%20 analysts
$61.61our TP
$61.22price
$68.45mean
$75

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $61.22 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, earnings proximity 78d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — Realty Income Corporation

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.3 in RISK_OFF)
High-quality business
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2
Consecutive earnings misses (4)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)50.1
P/E (Fwd)33.6
Mkt Cap$57.0B
EV/EBITDA17.0
Profit Mgn18.9%
ROE2.8%
Rev Growth12.0%
Beta0.76
Dividend5.31%
Rating analysts31

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • LOWGeographicU.K. and European assets19%
    10-K Item 1: 'our U.K. and European assets represented approximately 19% of our annualized base rent'
  • MEDIUMCustomertop 20 clients36%
    10-K Item 1: 'Our top 20 clients (based on percentage of total portfolio annualized base rent) represented 35.8% of our annualized base rent'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
2.9
Ma Position
4.0
Obv
5.1
Rsi
5.5
Above 200-day MA

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
4.8
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
7.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/4MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe
GatesMomentum 3.5<4.5A.R:R 0.2 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsEARNINGS PROXIMITY 78d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
42 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $61.11Resistance $65.07

Price Targets

$59
$62
A.Upside+0.6%
A.R:R0.2:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.8% upside)
! Momentum score 3.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 0.2:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-03 (78d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is O stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $61.22 — A.R:R 0.2:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $59.28. Score 5.5/10, moderate confidence.

What is the O stock price target?

Take-profit target: $61.61 (+0.8% upside). Prior stop was $59.28. Stop-loss: $59.28.

What are the risks of investing in O?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2; Consecutive earnings misses (4).

Is O overvalued or undervalued?

Realty Income Corporation trades at a P/E of 50.1 (forward 33.6). TrendMatrix value score: 4.7/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about O?

31 analysts cover O with a consensus score of 3.5/5. Average price target: $68.

What does Realty Income Corporation do?Realty Income is an S&P 500 net lease REIT with over 15,500 commercial properties across all 50 U.S. states, the UK,...

Realty Income is an S&P 500 net lease REIT with over 15,500 commercial properties across all 50 U.S. states, the UK, and eight other European countries. It generates stable, contractually defined rental income from a diversified base of retail, industrial, data center, and gaming tenants under long-term triple-net leases.

Related stocks: BRX (Brixmor Property Group Inc.) · FRT (Federal Realty Investment Trust) · EPRT (Essential Properties Realty Tru) · KIM (Kimco Realty Corporation (HC)) · SPG (Simon Property Group, Inc.)