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ORealty Income CorporationSell5.8·$57.50
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

Realty Income Corporation carries an exceptional quality score anchored by a perfect Piotroski F-Score of 9/9, 160% free cash flow conversion, and strong momentum above its 200-day moving average, but four consecutive earnings misses averaging minus 23% and analyst targets already exceeded leave no near-term price upside.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Piotroski Quality→Stable
  • Consecutive Earnings Misses↑Improving
  • Positive Momentum Accumulation↑Improving
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Pillars as of Jul 3, 2026, based on the 10-K filed Feb 25, 2026· older than 90 days

Full reasoning →

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Realty Income Corporation (O) Stock Analysis

SellGrowthModerate Confidence

Real Estate · REIT - Retail

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $57.50 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2.

Realty Income is a net lease REIT with over 15,500 freestanding commercial properties across all 50 U.S. states, the UK, and eight European countries, leased to a diversified base of commercial operators under long-term net leases. Revenue comes from contractually defined rental... Read more

$57.50+0.4% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#10 of 23 REIT - Retail
QualityF-score9 / 9FCF yield2.91%
IncomeYield5.66%(5y avg 5.07%)Payout234.71%
Stop $55.52Analyst target $57.74(−10% haircut)A.R:R 0.1:1
Analyst consensus$64.15+11.6%21 analysts with price targets
$57.74Analyst target
$57.50price
$64.15mean
$74

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $57.50 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost earnings 0.60, earnings proximity 111d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Realty Income Corporation

About Realty Income Corporation

Realty Income held over 15,500 net-leased freestanding commercial properties in all 50 U.S. states, the United Kingdom, and eight other European countries at December 31, 2025, with top-20 clients representing 35.8% of annualized base rent. U.K. and European assets grew to approximately 19% of annualized base rent by year-end 2025, up from roughly 14% at year-end 2024, as international properties accounted for approximately 60% of total acquisition volume in 2025. The company also held loans and preferred equity interests totaling $3.1 billion at December 31, 2025, compared with $1.5 billion a year earlier.

Realty Income earns revenue through net lease contracts under which clients typically pay real estate taxes, insurance, and maintenance, leaving the company entitled to contractually defined base rent — many with embedded escalators tied to fixed amounts, inflation indices, or a percentage of clients' gross sales. Retail properties represent a significant portion of the portfolio, with a focus on service-oriented, non-discretionary, and/or low-price-point formats considered resilient to e-commerce. The top-20 client roster included 11 investment-grade-rated companies or their affiliates as of December 31, 2025, with 32.2% of total portfolio annualized base rent coming from investment-grade clients. In recent years the company has added property types beyond traditional freestanding retail — including data centers, gaming facilities, and industrial properties — and entered Poland and the Netherlands in 2025. In January 2026, Realty Income made initial investments in Mexico through a joint venture with institutional partners.

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Gaming properties expose Realty Income to a distinct regulatory layer: gaming authorities retain broad discretion over licensing, staffing, and operational requirements and could subject the company as landlord to compliance obligations or restrictions on its gaming clients. The 10-K also notes that international expansion introduces foreign currency risk, with local-currency indebtedness funding international investments and hedging instruments that may not fully offset exchange rate volatility. The company's private capital vehicle and joint ventures introduce additional risks including partner redemption rights, valuation disputes, and possible termination of management arrangements.

See also: Real Estate · REIT - Retail

From Realty Income Corporation's most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 11, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated Nov 2, 2026

Recent Developments — Realty Income Corporation

Latest item Nov 2, 2026 · Generated 2026-11-04T11:49:37Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Tue, Feb 23, 2027111d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong growth profile
Recent Earnings detected in news
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2
Consecutive earnings misses (3)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)39.4
P/E (Fwd)37.0
Mkt Cap$54.4B
EV/EBITDA16.3
Profit Mgn20.9%
ROE3.2%
Rev Growth9.6%
Beta0.65
Dividend5.66%
Analysts with ratings31

Quality Signals

Piotroski F9/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C2.85bearish
IV30%normal
Max Pain$38-34.8% vs spot

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. How we score · Editorial policy

Show full disclosure ▾

About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

Not investment advice. TrendMatrix is not a registered investment adviser. Our content is for informational and educational purposes only. Consult your own licensed investment adviser, broker, or tax professional before making any investment decision.

Conflicts and positions. People who build TrendMatrix, or entities they control, may hold positions, long or short, in securities it covers, and may trade them at any time. Positions are not disclosed individually. Verdicts are generated by an automated model applied by the same rules to every covered stock, and are not adjusted for any position held by the people who build TrendMatrix. We do not accept payment from issuers for coverage.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Earnings History
0.0
Surprise Avg
0.0
Dividend Safety
4.0
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
News Activity
8.0
Earnings concerns: 0B/3MYield trap warning: high yield but unsafe

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.5
Bollinger
1.5
Gap
6.0
52w Position
7.4
GatesA.R:R 0.1 < 1.5@spotMomentum 6.5>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS BOOST EARNINGS 0.60EARNINGS PROXIMITY 111d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
66 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $52.90Resistance $57.72

Price Targets

$56
$58
A.Upside+0.4%
A.R:R0.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0%
Max %0%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (0.4% upside)
! asymmetry at 0.1 (below the engine's 1.5 threshold)@spot

Earnings

M
M
M
M
0/4 beats
Next Earnings2027-02-23 (111d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is O stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $57.50 — A.R:R 0.1:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $55.52. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the O stock price target?

Analyst target: $57.74 (+0.4% upside). Prior stop was $55.52. Stop-loss: $55.52.

What are the risks of investing in O?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Sector modifier (Real Estate): -1.2; Consecutive earnings misses (3).

Is O overvalued or undervalued?

Realty Income Corporation trades at a P/E of 39.4 (forward 37.0). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about O?

31 analysts rate O, with a consensus score of 3.5/5. 21 analysts publish price targets averaging $64.

What does Realty Income Corporation do?Realty Income is a net lease REIT with over 15,500 freestanding commercial properties across all 50 U.S. states, the...

Realty Income is a net lease REIT with over 15,500 freestanding commercial properties across all 50 U.S. states, the UK, and eight European countries, leased to a diversified base of commercial operators under long-term net leases. Revenue comes from contractually defined rental payments where clients bear most operating expenses; 32.2% of annualized base rent derives from investment-grade-rated clients or affiliates. The company has increased its dividend for over 31 consecutive years.

Related stocks: EPRT (Essential Properties Realty Tru) · ADC (Agree Realty Corporation) · KIM (Kimco Realty Corporation (HC)) · PECO (Phillips Edison & Company, Inc.) · REG (Regency Centers Corporation)
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