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SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

An attractively valued franchise trading at a forward price-to-earnings multiple of 7.4 times with 43.6% implied upside to the analyst target is constrained by business quality that falls just short of the minimum threshold, most critically evidenced by free cash flow at only 23% of reported net income—a gap that calls into question the reliability of stated profits.

Thesis pillars

  • Fcf Earnings Quality Red Flag→Stable
  • Deep Value Large Analyst Upside→Stable
  • Quality Below Minimum Threshold↓Deteriorating
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

JBS N.V. (JBS) Stock Analysis

SellValueGrowthModerate Confidence

Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.57: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10 and A.R:R 6.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.67; Below-average business quality.

JBS N.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the processing of animal proteins, encompassing activities related to beef, pork, lamb, and poultry worldwide. The company is involved in the production and marketing of prepared foods and other related products, as well as... Read more

$11.57+35.9% A.UpsideScore 5.8/10#11 of 35 Packaged Foods
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield2.20%
IncomeYield11.66%(5y avg 6.98%)Payout93.46%at-risk
Stop $10.91Target $15.72(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 6.3:1
Analyst target$18.07+56.2%14 analysts
$15.72our TP
$11.57price
$18.07mean
$21

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.57: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10 and A.R:R 6.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.67; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 45d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-09-26

Recent Developments — JBS N.V.

Generated 2026-09-26T13:06:57Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Mon, Nov 9, 202645d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)10.7
P/E (Fwd)8.4
Mkt Cap$37.4B
EV/EBITDA6.4
Profit Mgn1.2%
ROE13.4%
Rev Growth13.8%
Beta—
Dividend11.66%
Rating analysts16

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9

Options Flow

P/C1.67bearish
IV51%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Obv
1.0
Macd
1.7
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
3.0
Volume
3.6
Capitulation risk (RSI 15, below 200MA)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+0.0%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Gross Margin
0.0
Net Margin
0.6
Operating Margin
1.2
Roa
3.3
Roe
4.5
Moat
5.4
Current Ratio
5.6
Fcf Quality
5.6
Piotroski F
7.8
Earnings quality warning: 74% FCF/NINo competitive moatStrong Piotroski F-Score: 7/9
GatesMomentum 2.3<4.5A.R:R 6.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 45d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Moderate
RSI
15 · Oversold
↓ 20D MA↓ 50D MA↓ 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $11.21Resistance $13.88

Price Targets

$11
$16
A.Upside+35.9%
A.R:R6.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0)
! momentum at 2.3 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-11-09 (45d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is JBS stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.57: Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.8/10 and A.R:R 6.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: High short interest: 17%; Elevated put/call ratio: 1.67; Below-average business quality. Chart setup: No clear chart pattern; technical signals are mixed. Prior stop was $10.91. Score 5.8/10, moderate confidence.

What is the JBS stock price target?

Take-profit target: $15.72 (+35.9% upside). Prior stop was $10.91. Stop-loss: $10.91.

What are the risks of investing in JBS?

Quality below floor (3.8 < 4.0).

Is JBS overvalued or undervalued?

JBS N.V. trades at a P/E of 10.7 (forward 8.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.3/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about JBS?

16 analysts cover JBS with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $18.

What does JBS N.V. do?JBS N.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the processing of animal proteins, encompassing activities related...

JBS N.V., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the processing of animal proteins, encompassing activities related to beef, pork, lamb, and poultry worldwide. The company is involved in the production and marketing of prepared foods and other related products, as well as operations in leather, collagen, hygiene and beauty products, metal packaging, biodiesel, and other related businesses. It offers its products under the Seara, Doriana, Pilgrim's, Moy Park, Primo, Friboi, Maturatta, Swift, Ozo, Adaptable Meals, and other brand names. The company was founded in 1953 and is based in Amstelveen, the Netherlands.

Related stocks: DAR (Darling Ingredients Inc.) · SFD (Smithfield Foods, Inc.) · SJM (The J.M. Smucker Company) · CAG (ConAgra Brands, Inc.) · MKC (McCormick & Company, Incorporat)
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