Smithfield Foods, Inc. (SFD) Stock Analysis
Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $26.50 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Commodity: hog feed ingredients (corn, grains, soybean meal, wheat).
Smithfield Foods produces packaged meats and fresh pork in the U.S. through three segments: Packaged Meats, Fresh Pork, and Hog Production, employing approximately 32,000 people in the U.S. Brands include Smithfield, Eckrich, and Nathan's Famous; it is a majority-owned... Read more
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $26.50 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Commodity: hog feed ingredients (corn, grains, soybean meal, wheat). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 5/7 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news boost analyst 0.60, earnings proximity 89d clear, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHCommodityhog feed ingredients (corn, grains, soybean meal, wheat)10-K Item 1A: 'hog raising costs are largely dependent on the fluctuations of commodity prices for corn, grains, soybean meal, wheat and other feed ingredients'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
2 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit
Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Growth below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $26.50 — A.R:R 0.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Commodity: hog feed ingredients (corn, grains, soybean meal, wheat). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $24.97. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $27.28 (+2.8% upside). Prior stop was $24.97. Stop-loss: $24.97.
Concentration risk — Commodity: hog feed ingredients (corn, grains, soybean meal, wheat); Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Negative news sentiment (-0.83).
Smithfield Foods, Inc. trades at a P/E of 10.3 (forward 10.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.7/10. Verdict: Sell.
11 analysts cover SFD with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $31.
What does Smithfield Foods, Inc. do?Smithfield Foods produces packaged meats and fresh pork in the U.S. through three segments: Packaged Meats, Fresh Pork,...
Smithfield Foods produces packaged meats and fresh pork in the U.S. through three segments: Packaged Meats, Fresh Pork, and Hog Production, employing approximately 32,000 people in the U.S. Brands include Smithfield, Eckrich, and Nathan's Famous; it is a majority-owned subsidiary of Hong Kong-based WH Group Limited.