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ITT Inc. (ITT) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5High Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. At $194.98, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.2%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3).

ITT Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells engineered critical components and customized technology solutions for the transportation, industrial, and energy markets. The company operates three segments: Motion Technologies, Industrial Process, and Connect &... Read more

$194.98+9.2% A.UpsideScore 5.2/10#29 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield1.44%
IncomeYield0.79%(5y avg 1.00%)Payout25.38%sustainable
Stop $187.48Target $212.95(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.4:1
Analyst target$244.77+25.5%13 analysts
$212.95our TP
$194.98price
$244.77mean
$175
$271

Sell if holding. At $194.98, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.2%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — ITT Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Thin upside margin: 9.2%
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)34.4
P/E (Fwd)21.2
Mkt Cap$17.5B
EV/EBITDA22.5
Profit Mgn10.8%
ROE12.3%
Rev Growth32.7%
Beta1.32
Dividend0.79%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C0.12bullish
IV37%normal

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Obv
1.0
Volume
2.7
Ma Position
4.0
Rsi
8.2
Oversold in uptrend (RSI 27)Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.2<4.5A.R:R 1.4 < 1.5@spotInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 71d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
27 · Oversold
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $193.28Resistance $225.26

Price Targets

$187
$213
A.Upside+9.2%
A.R:R1.4:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.2/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Reward/Risk 1.4:1 at current price — below 1.5:1 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (71d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ITT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. At $194.98, A.R:R 1.4:1 is below the 1.5:1 minimum. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Thin upside margin: 9.2%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3). Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $187.48. Score 5.2/10, high confidence.

What is the ITT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $212.95 (+9.2% upside). Prior stop was $187.48. Stop-loss: $187.48.

What are the risks of investing in ITT?

Thin upside margin: 9.2%; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.3); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is ITT overvalued or undervalued?

ITT Inc. trades at a P/E of 34.4 (forward 21.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ITT?

20 analysts cover ITT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $245.

What does ITT Inc. do?ITT Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells engineered critical components and customized...

ITT Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells engineered critical components and customized technology solutions for the transportation, industrial, and energy markets. The company operates three segments: Motion Technologies, Industrial Process, and Connect & Control Technologies. The Motion Technologies segment manufactures brake pads, shock absorbers, energy absorption components, and damping technologies primarily for the transportation industry, including passenger cars, trucks, light and heavy-duty commercial and military vehicles, buses, and trains. This segment sells its products under the ITT Friction Technologies, KONI, Axtone, and Novitek brand names. The Industrial Process segment provides industrial pumps, valves, plant optimization, and remote monitoring systems and services; and aftermarket solutions, such as replacement parts and services. It serves various customers in the energy, chemical and petrochemical, pharmaceutical, general industrial, marine, mining, pulp and paper, food and beverage, power generation, and biopharmaceutical industries. This segment sells its products under the Goulds Pumps, Bornemann, Engineered Valves, Hamworthy Pumps, PRO Services, C'treat, Svanehøj, Rheinhütte Pumpen, and Habonim brand names. The Connect & Control Technologies segment offers engineered connectors, cable assemblies, and specialized products for critical applications supporting various markets, including aerospace and defence, industrial, transportation, medical, and energy under the Cannon, VEAM, BIW Connector Systems, CIA&D, Compulink, Aerospace Controls, Enidine, Compact Automation, Charles E. Gillman, Turn-Act, Neo-Dyn, TopFlite Components, Conoflow, VIDAR, kSARIA, and Micro-Mode brand names. It operates in North America, Europe, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and South America. The company was incorporated in 1920 and is headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut.

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