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ITTITT Inc.Sell5.4·$190.40-1.36%
SellModerate Confidence
Investment thesis

ITT has delivered a perfect earnings beat record across the last 4 quarters, including a 14% positive surprise in the most recent period, and 33% year-over-year revenue growth has established it as the growth leader among its industry peers. With approximately 9% upside to the analyst-based target and a roughly 2.2-to-1 reward-to-risk ratio, the setup supports a small initial position, tempered by free cash flow converting at only 55 cents per dollar of net income and an elevated put/call ratio.

Thesis pillars

  • Perfect Earnings Beat StreakStable
  • Industry Leading Revenue GrowthStable
  • Strong Momentum Volume ConfirmationStable
  • +1 more pillar — see the Why tab for full reasoning

Full reasoning →

Open full analysis

ITT Inc. (ITT) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $190.40: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (65.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single source of supply.

ITT Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells engineered critical components and customized technology solutions for the transportation, industrial, and energy markets. The company operates three segments: Motion Technologies, Industrial Process, and Connect &... Read more

$190.40+12.4% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#25 of 48 Specialty Industrial Machinery
QualityF-score7 / 9FCF yield1.46%
IncomeYield0.80%(5y avg 1.00%)Payout25.38%sustainable
Stop $177.58Target $214.02(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.8:1
Analyst target$246.00+29.2%12 analysts
$214.02our TP
$190.40price
$246.00mean
$175
$271

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $190.40: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (65.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single source of supply. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/9 gates (positive momentum, favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, news events none recent, earnings proximity 30d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Suitability: moderate.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-29
TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Thu, Jul 30, 202630d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (65.0%)
Concentration risk — Supplier: single source of supply

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)34.0
P/E (Fwd)20.8
Mkt Cap$17.3B
EV/EBITDA22.3
Profit Mgn10.8%
ROE12.3%
Rev Growth32.7%
Beta1.27
Dividend0.80%
Rating analysts20

Quality Signals

Piotroski F7/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C7.10bearish
IV46%normal

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicoutside the United States65%
    10-K Item 1A: 'In 2025, approximately 65% of our total sales were to customers operating outside of the United States.'
  • LOWCustomerAumovio SE6.0%
    10-K Item 1A: 'Sales to Aumovio SE, a supplier to the automotive industry and ITT's largest customer, were approximately 6% of our total revenue in 2025.'
  • HIGHSuppliersingle source of supply
    10-K Item 1A: 'In limited instances, we depend on a single source of supply, manufacturing or assembly'

Material Events(8-K, last 90d)

  • 2026-05-07Item 5.02MEDIUM
    CFO Emmanuel Caprais resigned effective May 8, 2026 for personal reasons after nearly 14 years; no disagreement with Company operations cited. Michael J. Savinelli (VP, Treasurer, Chief Tax Officer) named interim CFO; permanent successor search underway.
    SEC filing →

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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About TrendMatrix. TrendMatrix is a publisher of general securities research and market commentary. We publish on a regular schedule. All content is the same for every subscriber in a tier — we do not provide personalized investment advice and we do not take into account any individual subscriber's financial situation, investment objectives, risk tolerance, tax situation, or holdings.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

10 dimensions · all in-band

GatesMomentum 5.2<5.5 (soft — BUY_NOW allowed but watch)Executive change: officer departure/appointmentMomentum 5.2>=4.5A.R:R 1.8 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 30d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
49 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $182.78Resistance $201.82

Price Targets

$178
$214
A.Upside+12.4%
A.R:R1.8:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Analyst Consensus

Analysts20
Consensus4.0/5
Avg Target$246

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (30d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is ITT stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Multiple concerning factors at $190.40: Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (65.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single source of supply. Chart setup: RSI 49 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $177.58. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the ITT stock price target?

Take-profit target: $214.02 (+12.4% upside). Prior stop was $177.58. Stop-loss: $177.58.

What are the risks of investing in ITT?

Concentration risk — Geographic: outside the United States (65.0%); Concentration risk — Supplier: single source of supply.

Is ITT overvalued or undervalued?

ITT Inc. trades at a P/E of 34.0 (forward 20.8). TrendMatrix value score: 4.8/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about ITT?

20 analysts cover ITT with a consensus score of 4.0/5. Average price target: $246.

What does ITT Inc. do?ITT Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells engineered critical components and customized...

ITT Inc., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells engineered critical components and customized technology solutions for the transportation, industrial, and energy markets. The company operates three segments: Motion Technologies, Industrial Process, and Connect & Control Technologies. The Motion Technologies segment manufactures brake pads, shock absorbers, energy absorption components, and damping technologies primarily for the transportation industry, including passenger cars, trucks, light and heavy-duty commercial and military vehicles, buses, and trains. This segment sells its products under the ITT Friction Technologies, KONI, Axtone, and Novitek brand names. The Industrial Process segment provides industrial pumps, valves, plant optimization, and remote monitoring systems and services; and aftermarket solutions, such as replacement parts and services. It serves various customers in the energy, chemical and petrochemical, pharmaceutical, general industrial, marine, mining, pulp and paper, food and beverage, power generation, and biopharmaceutical industries. This segment sells its products under the Goulds Pumps, Bornemann, Engineered Valves, Hamworthy Pumps, PRO Services, C'treat, Svanehøj, Rheinhütte Pumpen, and Habonim brand names. The Connect & Control Technologies segment offers engineered connectors, cable assemblies, and specialized products for critical applications supporting various markets, including aerospace and defence, industrial, transportation, medical, and energy under the Cannon, VEAM, BIW Connector Systems, CIA&D, Compulink, Aerospace Controls, Enidine, Compact Automation, Charles E. Gillman, Turn-Act, Neo-Dyn, TopFlite Components, Conoflow, VIDAR, kSARIA, and Micro-Mode brand names. It operates in North America, Europe, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and South America. The company was incorporated in 1920 and is headquartered in Stamford, Connecticut.

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