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Imperial Oil Limited (IMO) Stock Analysis

Breakout setup

HoldVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated

Earnings in 0 days (2026-05-01). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $132.72, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.5% away).

Imperial Oil is one of Canada's largest integrated oil companies with Upstream (crude oil, natural gas, synthetic crude oil, bitumen), Downstream (refining, petroleum products marketing), and Chemical segments; ExxonMobil owns approximately 69.6% of shares. All 2,036 million... Read more

$132.72+8.8% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#9 of 17 Oil & Gas Integrated
Entry $120.11(support + ATR)Stop $115.03Target $130.70(resistance)A.R:R -3.6:1Setup A.R:R 2.1:1
Analyst target$95.93-27.7%1 analysts
Range unavailable (1 analysts)

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $132.72, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.5% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $132.68 has reached target $130.70. No upside to wait for. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio and earnings proximity 0d<=7d. Suitability: moderate.

Val7.8Qual4.5Grw5.0Mom6.9Sent4.0Ins5.0Peer3.5Tech3.7Risk5.75.4OVERALL

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
Near 52-week high (0.5% away)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)27.5
P/E (Fwd)17.9
Mkt Cap$64.9B
EV/EBITDA9.4
Profit Mgn7.0%
ROE14.3%
Rev Growth-10.3%
Beta0.89
Dividend1.92%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9

Options Flow

P/C0.46bullish
IV53%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • MEDIUMCommoditybitumen
    10-K Item 1A: 'A significant portion of the company's production is bitumen, which is blended with diluent for transportation and marketability of heavy crude oil.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

2 floor-breakers

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Growth Rank
1.8
Value Rank
1.9
Quality Rank
5.3

Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Support Resistance
0.5
Bollinger
0.8
52w Position
9.9
GatesA.R:R -3.6=NEGATIVEEARNINGS PROXIMITY 0d<=7dMomentum 6.9>=5.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARBreakoutSuitability: Moderate
RSI
57 · Neutral
↑ 20D MA↑ 50D MA↑ 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $118.59Resistance $133.37

Price Targets

$115
$120
$131
A.Upside-1.5%
A.R:R-3.6:1
Setup A.R:R (at entry)2.1:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeCautious

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-38.5% upside)
! Earnings in 0 days - binary event risk
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-01 (0d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IMO stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $132.72, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.5% away). Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 57, MACD bullish. Downgraded from BUY WAIT — price $132.68 has reached target $130.70. No upside to wait for. Target $130.70 (-1.5%), stop $115.03 (−15.4%), A.R:R -3.6:1. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IMO stock price target?

Take-profit target: $130.70 (+8.8% upside). Target $130.70 (-1.5%), stop $115.03 (−15.4%), A.R:R -3.6:1. Stop-loss: $115.03.

What are the risks of investing in IMO?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; Near 52-week high (0.5% away).

Is IMO overvalued or undervalued?

Imperial Oil Limited trades at a P/E of 27.5 (forward 17.9). TrendMatrix value score: 7.8/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about IMO?

22 analysts cover IMO with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $96.

What does Imperial Oil Limited do?Imperial Oil is one of Canada's largest integrated oil companies with Upstream (crude oil, natural gas, synthetic crude...

Imperial Oil is one of Canada's largest integrated oil companies with Upstream (crude oil, natural gas, synthetic crude oil, bitumen), Downstream (refining, petroleum products marketing), and Chemical segments; ExxonMobil owns approximately 69.6% of shares. All 2,036 million barrels of proved reserves equivalent are located in Canada, with bitumen comprising the dominant portion.

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