Imperial Oil Limited (IMO) Stock Analysis
Breakout setup
Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated
Sell if holding. At $137.70, A.R:R is negative (-3.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Canada (100.0%); Concentration risk — Commodity: bitumen.
Imperial Oil is Canada's largest petroleum refiner and a major integrated oil company, operating through Upstream (bitumen at Cold Lake and Kearl, synthetic crude at Syncrude), Downstream (three refineries), and Chemical segments. ExxonMobil owns approximately 69.6% of the... Read more
Sell if holding. At $137.70, A.R:R is negative (-3.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Canada (100.0%); Concentration risk — Commodity: bitumen. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Passes 7/8 gates (positive momentum, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 71d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.
Recent Developments — Imperial Oil Limited
Latest news
- Imperial Oil Limited (IMO) soars to 52-week high, time to cash out? - MSN — MSN positive
- Imperial Oil Ltd. stock rises Wednesday, outperforms market - MarketWatch — MarketWatch positive
- Chairman Dibella Joins The U.S. Delegation To The IMO - Marine News Magazine — Marine News Magazine neutral
- Imperial Oil (IMO): Why Rising Tensions Could Matter More Than Expected - Insider Monkey — Insider Monkey negative
- Imperial Oil (IMO): Why Rising Tensions Could Matter More Than Expected - Yahoo Finance — Yahoo Finance neutral
Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.
Thesis
Key Metrics
Quality Signals
Options Flow
Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)
- HIGHGeographicCanada100%10-K Item 1: 'All of the company's reported reserves are located in Canada'
- HIGHCommoditybitumen10-K Item 1: 'A significant portion of the company's production is bitumen, which is blended with diluent for transportation and marketability of heavy crude oil'
Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer
Rating Breakdown
4 floor-breakers
Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static
No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static
Negative sentiment — recent news tone and/or analyst downgrades drag the composite below neutral.static
Technicals below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static
Price Targets
Position Sizing
Risk Alerts
Earnings
Verdict History
Frequently Asked Questions
Sell if holding. At $137.70, A.R:R is negative (-3.9) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: Concentration risk — Geographic: Canada (100.0%); Concentration risk — Commodity: bitumen. Chart setup: Golden cross, above all MAs, RSI 60, MACD bullish. Prior stop was $129.40. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.
Take-profit target: $136.65 (-0.8% upside). Prior stop was $129.40. Stop-loss: $129.40.
Concentration risk — Geographic: Canada (100.0%); Concentration risk — Commodity: bitumen; Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining.
Imperial Oil Limited trades at a P/E of 32.2 (forward 18.2). TrendMatrix value score: 7.6/10. Verdict: Sell.
22 analysts cover IMO with a consensus score of 2.4/5. Average price target: $95.
What does Imperial Oil Limited do?Imperial Oil is Canada's largest petroleum refiner and a major integrated oil company, operating through Upstream...
Imperial Oil is Canada's largest petroleum refiner and a major integrated oil company, operating through Upstream (bitumen at Cold Lake and Kearl, synthetic crude at Syncrude), Downstream (three refineries), and Chemical segments. ExxonMobil owns approximately 69.6% of the company; all proved reserves and production are located in Canada. Net production averaged 382,000 barrels per day oil-equivalent in 2025.