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EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellVALUE-TRAP 1/5Moderate Confidence

Industrials · Engineering & Construction

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $885.65 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5).

EMCOR Group is one of the largest U.S. specialty contractors providing electrical and mechanical construction (72% of $16.99 billion 2025 revenue), building services (21%) and industrial services (7%) through approximately 100 operating subsidiaries. Operations are approximately... Read more

$885.65+4.8% A.UpsideScore 5.4/10#15 of 30 Engineering & Construction
QualityF-score6 / 9FCF yield2.19%
IncomeYield0.14%(5y avg 0.30%)Payout3.86%sustainable
Stop $827.70Target $932.92(resistance)A.R:R -0.5:1
Analyst target$983.50+11.0%6 analysts
$932.92our TP
$885.65price
$983.50mean
$1123

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $885.65 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5). Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 6/8 gates (clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and favorable risk/reward ratio. Suitability: moderate.

Recent Developments — EMCOR Group, Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T21:06:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
Strong earnings beat streak (4/4)
Strong growth profile
Wide economic moat
Risks
Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining
V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5)
Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)30.7
P/E (Fwd)28.2
Mkt Cap$40.7B
EV/EBITDA21.7
Profit Mgn7.5%
ROE39.2%
Rev Growth19.7%
Beta1.17
Dividend0.14%
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F6/9MoatWideCompounder

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Macd
0.0
Volume
0.0
Obv
1.0
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 2.5<4.5A.R:R -0.5=NEGATIVEInsider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Moderate
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $829.16Resistance $951.96

Price Targets

$828
$933
A.Upside+5.3%
A.R:R-0.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Target reached (-3.9% upside)
! Momentum score 2.5/10 — below 4.5 minimum
! Negative risk/reward — downside exceeds upside

Earnings

B
B
B
B
4/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-30 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is EME stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Analyst target reached at $885.65 — A.R:R is negative (-0.5) — price has exceeded the analyst target. Reward from here is too thin for a buy — the engine flags exit. Additional concerns: V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5). Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $827.70. Score 5.4/10, moderate confidence.

What is the EME stock price target?

Take-profit target: $932.92 (+4.8% upside). Prior stop was $827.70. Stop-loss: $827.70.

What are the risks of investing in EME?

Analyst target reached - limited upside remaining; V7 low-quality RISK_OFF penalty: -0.5 (Q=5.5); Sector modifier (Industrials): -0.7.

Is EME overvalued or undervalued?

EMCOR Group, Inc. trades at a P/E of 30.7 (forward 28.2). TrendMatrix value score: 4.9/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about EME?

14 analysts cover EME with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $984.

What does EMCOR Group, Inc. do?EMCOR Group is one of the largest U.S. specialty contractors providing electrical and mechanical construction (72% of...

EMCOR Group is one of the largest U.S. specialty contractors providing electrical and mechanical construction (72% of $16.99 billion 2025 revenue), building services (21%) and industrial services (7%) through approximately 100 operating subsidiaries. Operations are approximately 97% U.S.-based following the December 2025 sale of UK operations, serving commercial, technology, healthcare, industrial and government customers.

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