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IEIvanhoe Electric Inc.Sell5.3·$11.54+4.58%
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Ivanhoe Electric Inc. (IE) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

SellModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Copper

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.54: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 4.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 14.67; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum.

Ivanhoe Electric is a US-focused copper and critical metals exploration company that uses its proprietary Typhoon geophysical surveying system to identify subsurface deposits. Its sole material project is the Santa Cruz Copper Project in Arizona, a development-stage underground... Read more

$11.54+65.3% A.UpsideScore 5.3/10#6 of 6 Copper
QualityF-score4 / 9FCF yield-3.39%
Stop $10.73Target $19.07(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 4.3:1
Analyst target$21.92+89.9%6 analysts
$19.07our TP
$11.54price
$21.92mean
$29

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.54: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 4.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 14.67; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 40 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 51d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

10-K grounded · weekly refresh

About Ivanhoe Electric Inc.

About Ivanhoe Electric Inc.

Ivanhoe Electric's sole material mineral project, the Santa Cruz Copper Project in Pinal County, Arizona, completed a Preliminary Feasibility Study on June 23, 2025 projecting 1.4 million tonnes of copper cathode over a 23-year mine life, with an after-tax NPV of $1.4 billion at an 8% discount rate and a 20% internal rate of return. No ore is in production; initial capital for the project stands at $1.24 billion.

The company earns limited revenue through its 94.3%-owned data inversion subsidiary, Computational Geosciences Inc. (CGI), which provides geophysical data analysis services under a services agreement with the Maaden joint venture and through the company's proprietary Typhoon geophysical survey technology. The Santa Cruz project sits on roughly 26.0 square kilometers of private land with access to rail, interstate highways, and electric transmission lines. Ivanhoe Electric operates two joint ventures: a 50/50 venture with Saudi Arabian Mining Company (Maaden) covering about 50,000 km² under exploration license in Saudi Arabia (first mineral discovery at Al Amar announced January 2025) and a three-year BHP Alliance across Arizona, New Mexico, Utah, and Nevada initially funded by BHP at $15 million. In January 2026, the company entered a collaboration with SQM to explore 2,002 km² of mining concessions in northern Chile, funded by SQM's initial $9 million commitment.

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The Santa Cruz project sits entirely on private land, which the 10-K notes "has the potential to reduce lengthy permitting timelines that result from federal permitting processes." However, major permits from the Arizona Department of Environmental Quality (Areawide Aquifer Protection Permit, Class V Underground Injection Control Permit) and Arizona Department of Water Resources (Groundwater Withdrawal Permit) remain in various stages of preparation and submission. Nine separate royalty owners hold net smelter return and fair-market-value obligations on the Santa Cruz, East Ridge, and Texaco deposits, with the largest (Royalty Owner F) capped at $7 million — a structure that could affect project economics if copper prices depart significantly from the PFS base case of $4.25/lb.

See also: Basic Materials · Copper

From Ivanhoe Electric Inc.'s most recent 10-K filing, extracted June 10, 2026.

news + 30-day 8-K events · 5-min refresh

Recent developments

updated 2026-06-15

Recent Developments — Ivanhoe Electric Inc.

Generated 2026-06-17T08:26:48Z.

TrendMatrix Research · upcoming catalyst calendar

Upcoming dated catalysts

Wed, Aug 5, 202651d to earnings· next earnings call

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Geographic: Santa Cruz Copper Project
Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-21.5
Mkt Cap$1.7B
EV/EBITDA-13.8
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-2.2%
Rev Growth16.7%
Beta1.15
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F4/9MoatNarrow

Options Flow

P/C14.67bearish
IV98%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHGeographicSanta Cruz Copper Project
    10-K Item 1: 'we consider our sole material mineral project to be the Santa Cruz Copper Project in Arizona'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

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Performance. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Performance figures reflect the published model only and do not reflect any individual subscriber's actual results.

Methodology · Editorial policy & full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
1.7
Value Rank
5.0

Volatile — 8.1% daily ATR makes tight stops impractical. Position-size conservatively.static

Volatility
0.0
Put Call
0.0
Implied Vol
0.0
Debt Equity
0.0
Beta
6.4
Days To Cover
6.9
Short Interest
7.0
Elevated put/call: 14.67High IV: 98%Concentration risks: 1 HIGH (10-K Item 1A — sized via position_sizing, validated via buy_confidence)

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Piotroski F
4.4
Moat
5.8
Current Ratio
6.7
Gross Margin
9.0
Cash-burning: FCF -1758% of revenue

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.0
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2M

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Macd
0.3
Ma Position
2.2
Volume
2.6
Rsi
4.5
Obv
10.0
Volume accumulation (rising OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+2.9%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness
GatesMomentum 3.9<4.5A.R:R 4.3 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 51d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
40 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MADEATH CROSSSupport $10.00Resistance $14.58

Price Targets

$11
$19
A.Upside+65.3%
A.R:R4.3:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0)
! momentum at 3.9 (below the engine's 4.5 threshold)

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-08-05 (51d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $11.54: Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 5.3/10 and A.R:R 4.3:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Elevated put/call ratio: 14.67; Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum. Chart setup: RSI 40 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Prior stop was $10.73. Score 5.3/10, moderate confidence.

What is the IE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.07 (+65.3% upside). Prior stop was $10.73. Stop-loss: $10.73.

What are the risks of investing in IE?

Concentration risk — Geographic: Santa Cruz Copper Project; Quality below floor (3.2 < 4.0).

Is IE overvalued or undervalued?

Ivanhoe Electric Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -21.5). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IE?

14 analysts cover IE with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Ivanhoe Electric Inc. do?Ivanhoe Electric is a US-focused copper and critical metals exploration company that uses its proprietary Typhoon...

Ivanhoe Electric is a US-focused copper and critical metals exploration company that uses its proprietary Typhoon geophysical surveying system to identify subsurface deposits. Its sole material project is the Santa Cruz Copper Project in Arizona, a development-stage underground copper mine with a 2025 PFS projecting 1.4 million tonnes of copper cathode over 23 years at $1.24B initial capex. Joint ventures with Maaden (Saudi Arabia) and SQM (Chile) provide additional exploration exposure.

Related stocks: ERO (Ero Copper Corp.) · HBM (Hudbay Minerals Inc.) · TGB (Taseko Mines, Ltd.) · IAG (Iamgold Corporation) · FSM (Fortuna Mining Corp.)
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