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Ivanhoe Electric Inc. (IE) Stock Analysis

SellVALUE-TRAP 2/5High Confidence

Basic Materials · Copper

Earnings in 5 days (2026-05-06). Expect elevated volatility around the report — consider waiting for post-earnings price action before new entries.

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.66: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10 and A.R:R 3.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend.

Ivanhoe Electric is a US-focused critical minerals exploration and development company using its proprietary Typhoon geophysical survey system to discover copper and other metals, with exploration joint ventures in Saudi Arabia (with Maaden) and Chile (with SQM). Its sole... Read more

$12.66+50.3% A.UpsideScore 4.0/10#6 of 6 Copper
Stop $11.80Target $19.07(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 3.7:1
Analyst target$21.92+73.1%6 analysts
$19.07our TP
$12.66price
$21.92mean
$29

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.66: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10 and A.R:R 3.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Score 4.0/10, high confidence.

Passes 5/7 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, semi cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum and earnings proximity 5d<=7d. Suitability: aggressive.

Thesis

Rewards
No bull case signals
Risks
Concentration risk — Commodity: copper
Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 4.0), Material insider selling (18 sells, 0.05% of cap)

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)
P/E (Fwd)-22.4
Mkt Cap$1.9B
EV/EBITDA-16.8
Profit Mgn0.0%
ROE-35.5%
Rev Growth-32.7%
Beta1.21
DividendNone
Rating analysts14

Quality Signals

Piotroski F3/9

Options Flow

P/C0.50bullish
IV90%elevated

Concentration Risks(10-K Item 1A)

  • HIGHCommoditycopper
    10-K Item 1A: 'Changes in the prices of copper or other metals Ivanhoe Electric Inc. ("Ivanhoe", "Ivanhoe Electric" or the "Company") is exploring for.'

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

5 floor-breakers·1 ceiling hit

Revenue shrinking — -32.7% YoY. Growth thesis broken unless recovery story develops.static

Revenue Growth
0.0
Declining revenue: -33%
Low model confidence on this dimension (33%).

Price action weak — below key moving averages, no momentum carry. Needs a base before trend-continuation setups apply.static

Volume
0.0
Macd
0.7
Obv
1.0
Ma Position
2.2
Rsi
4.5
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Below 200-MA but MA still rising (+4.8%/30d) — pullback in uptrend, not confirmed weakness

Ranks in the bottom of its industry peers on the composite signal. Better names in the same sector exist.static

Quality Rank
0.0
Growth Rank
0.0
Value Rank
5.0

Quality below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Roe
0.0
Roa
0.0
Net Margin
0.0
Fcf Quality
0.0
Rule Of 40
3.0
Piotroski F
3.3
Moat
5.0
Gross Margin
9.1
Current Ratio
9.7
Cash-burning: FCF -1110% of revenueNo competitive moatRule of 40: -1143 (fail)Weak Piotroski F-Score: 3/9

No near-term catalyst priced in. Thesis progression will come from fundamentals grinding, not event reaction.static

Surprise Avg
0.4
Earnings History
3.3
Erm
5.0
Earnings Timing
5.0
Earnings concerns: 2B/2MEarnings in 5 days
GatesMomentum 1.7<4.5EARNINGS PROXIMITY 5d<=7dA.R:R 3.7 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
45 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $11.53Resistance $15.66

Price Targets

$12
$19
A.Upside+50.6%
A.R:R3.7:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeSteady

Risk Alerts

! Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0)
! Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 4.0), Material insider selling (18 sells, 0.05% of cap)
! Momentum score 1.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
M
M
2/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-05-06 (5d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is IE stock a buy right now?

Sell if holding. Engine safety override at $12.66: Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0) triggers a hard block regardless of the otherwise-positive setup — overall score 4.0/10 and A.R:R 3.7:1 is above the 1.5:1 BUY gate. Specifically: Below-average business quality; Negative price momentum; Below long-term trend. Chart setup: No recognized chart pattern (not a breakout, bounce, continuation, recovery, falling knife, or range) — technicals mixed. Prior stop was $11.80. Score 4.0/10, high confidence.

What is the IE stock price target?

Take-profit target: $19.07 (+50.3% upside). Prior stop was $11.80. Stop-loss: $11.80.

What are the risks of investing in IE?

Concentration risk — Commodity: copper; Quality below floor (3.3 < 4.0); Value-trap signals (2/5): High leverage (D/E 4.0), Material insider selling (18 sells, 0.05% of cap).

Is IE overvalued or undervalued?

Ivanhoe Electric Inc. trades at a P/E of N/A (forward -22.4). TrendMatrix value score: 9.0/10. Verdict: Sell.

What do analysts say about IE?

14 analysts cover IE with a consensus score of 4.2/5. Average price target: $22.

What does Ivanhoe Electric Inc. do?Ivanhoe Electric is a US-focused critical minerals exploration and development company using its proprietary Typhoon...

Ivanhoe Electric is a US-focused critical minerals exploration and development company using its proprietary Typhoon geophysical survey system to discover copper and other metals, with exploration joint ventures in Saudi Arabia (with Maaden) and Chile (with SQM). Its sole material mineral project is the Santa Cruz Copper Project in Arizona, with a June 2025 PFS projecting 1.4 million tonnes of copper cathode over 23 years.

Related stocks: ERO (Ero Copper Corp.) · HBM (Hudbay Minerals Inc.) · TGB (Taseko Mines, Ltd.) · CGAU (Centerra Gold Inc.) · IAG (Iamgold Corporation)