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Hudbay Minerals Inc. (HBM) Stock Analysis

Range Bound setup

HoldModerate Confidence

Basic Materials · Copper

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $23.96, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum.

Hudbay Minerals Inc., a diversified mining company, focuses on the exploration, development, operation, and optimization of properties in North and South America. It primarily explores for copper concentrates containing copper, gold, zinc, molybdenum concentrates, and silver. It... Read more

$23.96+18.6% A.UpsideScore 6.7/10#2 of 6 Copper
QualityF-score8 / 9FCF yield5.66%
IncomeYield0.12%(5y avg 0.22%)Payout0.87%sustainable
Stop $22.28Target $28.41(analyst − 13%)A.R:R 1.5:1
Analyst target$32.65+36.3%5 analysts
$28.41our TP
$23.96price
$32.65mean
$35

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $23.96, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

Passes 7/8 gates (favorable risk/reward ratio, clean insider activity, no SEC red flags, news events none recent, earnings proximity 72d clear, semi cycle peak clear, materials cycle peak clear). Fails on weak momentum. Suitability: aggressive.

Recent Developments — Hudbay Minerals Inc.

Generated 2026-05-20T20:21:21Z.

Thesis

Rewards
V7 quality resilience bonus: +0.2 (Q=7.4 in RISK_OFF)
Strong earnings beat streak (3/4)
High-quality business
Risks
Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1
Negative momentum

Key Metrics

P/E (TTM)14.5
P/E (Fwd)11.4
Mkt Cap$9.6B
EV/EBITDA9.2
Profit Mgn27.7%
ROE19.5%
Rev Growth27.3%
Beta2.15
Dividend0.12%
Rating analysts22

Quality Signals

Piotroski F8/9MoatWideCompounder

Options Flow

P/C0.22bullish
IV70%elevated

Model-generated analysis — not investment advice. Not a registered investment advisor. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Full disclaimer

Rating Breakdown

1 floor-breaker·1 ceiling hit

Momentum below the gate floor. Component breakdown shows what dragged the score down.static

Obv
1.0
Volume
2.5
Macd
3.3
Rsi
5.5
Ma Position
6.0
Volume distribution (falling OBV)Above 200-day MA
GatesMomentum 3.7<4.5A.R:R 1.5 ≥ 1.5Insider activity: OKNo SEC red flagsNEWS EVENTS NONE RECENTEARNINGS PROXIMITY 72d clearSEMI CYCLE PEAK CLEARMATERIALS CYCLE PEAK CLEARRange BoundSuitability: Aggressive
RSI
56 · Neutral
20D MA 50D MA 200D MAGOLDEN CROSSSupport $21.74Resistance $28.42

Price Targets

$22
$28
A.Upside+18.6%
A.R:R1.5:1

Position Sizing

ConvictionNone
Suggested %0.5%
Max %1%
RegimeRisk-Off

Risk Alerts

! Momentum score 3.7/10 — below 4.5 minimum

Earnings

B
B
B
M
3/4 beats
Next Earnings2026-07-31 (72d)

Verdict History

reverse chrono — latest first
Loading history...
Verdicts are recorded on every nightly pipeline run. Rows capture transitions (verdict flips, score deltas ≥0.3, entry/TP/SL changes). Rows with a ▶ can be expanded to see the change reason. Aggregate cohort performance is tracked in the recommendation ledger.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is HBM stock a buy right now?

Hold if already holding. Not a fresh buy at $23.96, but acceptable to hold if already in. Reasons: Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum. Chart setup: RSI 56 mid-range, Bollinger mid-band. Maintain position. Not compelling to add more. Target $28.41 (+18.6%), stop $22.28 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.5:1. Score 6.7/10, moderate confidence.

What is the HBM stock price target?

Take-profit target: $28.41 (+18.6% upside). Target $28.41 (+18.6%), stop $22.28 (−7.5%), A.R:R 1.5:1. Stop-loss: $22.28.

What are the risks of investing in HBM?

Sector modifier (Basic Materials): -0.1; Negative momentum.

Is HBM overvalued or undervalued?

Hudbay Minerals Inc. trades at a P/E of 14.5 (forward 11.4). TrendMatrix value score: 8.3/10. Verdict: Hold.

What do analysts say about HBM?

22 analysts cover HBM with a consensus score of 4.1/5. Average price target: $33.

What does Hudbay Minerals Inc. do?Hudbay Minerals Inc., a diversified mining company, focuses on the exploration, development, operation, and...

Hudbay Minerals Inc., a diversified mining company, focuses on the exploration, development, operation, and optimization of properties in North and South America. It primarily explores for copper concentrates containing copper, gold, zinc, molybdenum concentrates, and silver. It owns 100% interest in Copper Mountain mine located approximately 20 kilometers south of Princeton, British Columbia, in the Similkameen valley. Hudbay Minerals Inc. was formerly known as HudBay Minerals Inc. and changed its name to Hudbay Minerals Inc. in 2017. Hudbay Minerals Inc. was founded in 1927 and is based in Toronto, Canada.

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